(anonymous) 0x54498e…46992b
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$573
Hit rate
23.9%
Resolved
50
Trades
61,012
lifetime
Volume
$215.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 07-05 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
77% 71% +$10
Other
15% 59% $-50
Crypto
6% 75% $-4
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 33% $-14
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +598 $489 72¢ $433 $-56 07-05 12:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +312 $280 90¢ $283 +$3 07-05 13:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +285 $273 96¢ $273 $-0 07-05 09:41
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +243 $214 100¢ $242 +$28 07-04 22:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +307 $-221 72¢ $223 +$444 06-21 20:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -142 $-135 98¢ $-139 $-4 06-13 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +93 $79 100¢ $93 +$14 07-04 20:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -51 $-47 88¢ $-45 +$2 07-05 00:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +52 $37 84¢ $44 +$7 07-01 19:17
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +45 $40 88¢ $40 +$0 07-05 00:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +134 $-94 28¢ $37 +$131 06-20 08:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +38 $36 96¢ $36 +$0 07-05 07:21
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +35 $34 98¢ $35 +$0 07-05 09:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +37 $33 88¢ $32 $-1 07-05 12:24
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No -32 $-31 96¢ $-31 +$0 07-04 09:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +35 $28 84¢ $29 +$2 07-02 19:19
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-23 94¢ $-23 +$0 06-22 14:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -24 $-21 94¢ $-22 $-2 06-24 15:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $25 38¢ $21 $-4 07-03 08:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +25 $19 80¢ $20 +$1 06-16 15:10
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +21 $14 75¢ $16 +$2 06-24 17:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -19 $-14 78¢ $-15 $-0 07-02 23:48
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +19 $14 74¢ $14 +$0 07-05 02:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -14 $-13 94¢ $-13 $-0 07-05 00:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $12 95¢ $13 +$0 06-23 18:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +15 $14 88¢ $13 $-1 06-25 16:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +39 $7 28¢ $11 +$4 07-04 14:29
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-12 08:48
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$2 06-20 15:09
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 71¢ $7 +$1 07-01 21:00