(anonymous) 0x54498e…46992b
new
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
19
19 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$29
$29 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 20:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
91% — —
Other
9% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +15 $12 84¢ $12 +$0 05-05 19:17
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes +3 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 05-05 18:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes +15 $2 14¢ $2 $-0 05-05 18:42
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No -17 $-2 12¢ $-2 +$0 05-05 14:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +18 $2 10¢ $2 $-0 05-05 03:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 05-05 03:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 $-0 05-05 18:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 94¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 12:55