Frail-Motorcycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

285

Trades

6,010

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 08-03 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

99% 33% -$2,164

Tech

0% 50% +$49

Crypto

0% 0% -$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	201	$3.9K	21,970	21,264	+706	Yes	+$3,076	04-14 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	23	$2.1K	2,035	1,535	+500	No	+$323	05-26 16:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	26	$1.8K	15,058	15,058	+0	No	+$112	05-22 00:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	6	$1.3K	697	697	+0	No	+$79	05-21 00:37
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	40	$948	20,342	3,926	+16,416	No	+$227	06-18 20:40
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	58	$931	5,858	2,081	+3,777	No	+$105	04-16 23:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	76	$700	6,797	2,872	+3,926	No	-$27	04-28 15:40
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	46	$657	3,307	1,600	+1,707	No	-$43	04-14 14:48
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	25	$642	600	1,100	-500	Yes	-$340	04-17 03:12
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	47	$613	2,842	1,238	+1,603	No	-$203	04-18 17:03
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	30	$514	3,212	1,380	+1,832	No	+$172	04-10 14:31
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	63	$514	33,100	537	+32,563	No	-$389	04-17 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$472	300	300	+0	No	+$127	05-22 13:57
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	13	$449	11,200	500	+10,700	No	+$127	04-13 01:34
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	20	$424	2,000	600	+1,400	No	-$157	04-17 12:48
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	44	$415	8,132	2,200	+5,932	No	-$101	04-17 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	19	$407	14,296	4,000	+10,296	No	-$303	05-29 07:34
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	22	$405	3,252	1,880	+1,372	No	-$81	04-18 07:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	5	$379	284	284	+0	No	+$137	06-02 13:41
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	26	$339	194	820	-627	Yes	-$570	04-07 15:41
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	100	$332	17,946	1,245	+16,701	No	+$202	04-14 15:00
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	109	$324	19,251	263	+18,988	No	-$319	04-14 14:13
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	26	$314	1,795	1,019	+776	No	+$90	04-21 14:32
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	17	$284	2,425	1,604	+821	No	-$65	04-23 13:31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$273	350	350	+0	Yes	+$9	05-22 00:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	32	$249	2,950	650	+2,300	No	-$31	06-19 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	171	$238	108,000	52,310	+55,690	No	+$21	04-30 21:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	11	$227	1,570	0	+1,570	Yes	-$227	06-05 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	10	$219	6,488	0	+6,488	No	-$219	05-19 13:13
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	31	$202	350	885	-535	No	+$127	04-07 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 00:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x3f55e5…
08-01 04:21:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xd274a6…
08-01 04:16:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x4b1488…
08-01 04:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xf25ae3…
08-01 03:10:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x13bd6e…
08-01 00:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xf73cd0…
07-31 15:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7fb4dc…
07-31 06:15:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2ad379…
07-31 06:12:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x33cf10…
07-31 05:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x9f0915…
07-31 04:59:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x67e7f0…
07-31 04:48:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0xc064fe…
07-31 00:49:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xbdcf6f…
07-28 15:38:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xda5efe…
07-28 15:38:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	421	0¢	$2	0x5d4ce1…
07-28 15:38:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcc2f2a…
07-28 15:38:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xb45692…
07-28 15:38:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7daae5…
07-28 15:37:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x2e1138…
07-28 15:37:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x232aa0…
07-28 15:37:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfd451a…
07-28 15:37:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x368777…
07-28 15:37:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x35b611…
07-28 15:37:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x31cd08…
07-28 15:37:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xdfecb8…
07-28 15:37:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xcf5a35…
07-28 15:37:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xdf238d…
07-28 15:37:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x994a6c…
07-28 15:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x7455bd…
07-28 15:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x3f4292…
07-28 15:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0x044cc3…
07-28 15:36:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x667933…
07-28 15:36:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x086463…
07-28 15:36:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x653afe…
07-28 15:36:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x20bcb1…
07-28 15:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2,590	0¢	$8	0x2f33a4…
07-28 15:36:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	214	0¢	$0	0xa08437…
07-28 15:36:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	286	0¢	$1	0x7edabd…
07-28 15:35:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x4c3931…
07-28 15:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xf754d5…
07-28 15:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xecf3dd…
07-28 15:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x7909f5…
07-28 15:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x31b351…
07-28 15:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	225	0¢	$1	0x3bbd02…
07-28 15:35:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	130	0¢	$1	0xe6ce9c…
07-28 15:35:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xd0cf40…
07-28 15:35:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x903d62…
07-28 15:35:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x67c30a…
07-28 15:35:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	620	0¢	$1	0xa0dbea…
07-28 15:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	310	0¢	$1	0xd07f65…
07-28 15:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x86a22c…
07-28 15:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x43f45c…
07-28 15:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0xecb99f…
07-28 15:33:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe9e8cb…
07-28 15:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa38437…
07-28 15:27:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x89843d…
07-28 15:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x17f31f…
07-28 02:57:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	18¢	$13	0x330996…
07-27 06:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	535	2¢	$8	0x7f71eb…
07-26 22:28:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xa841cf…
07-26 21:01:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0xdf347d…
07-26 14:43:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x735d10…
07-26 14:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,447	2¢	$33	0xb45de5…
07-26 14:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	2¢	$5	0xfd3a6a…
07-26 14:37:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xe45db7…
07-26 14:20:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	498	2¢	$9	0x738887…
07-26 03:26:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0xceb64e…
07-26 01:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	5¢	$13	0x777e33…
07-26 00:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	18¢	$16	0xf141df…
07-25 23:59:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xa416e8…
07-25 23:19:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	16¢	$29	0x22f432…
07-25 23:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x3aaa39…
07-25 23:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x8079ef…
07-25 14:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	13¢	$13	0x30ddff…
07-25 12:03:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	13¢	$7	0xc4b872…
07-25 11:59:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	13¢	$20	0x045f5e…
07-25 04:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x3ff215…
07-25 04:35:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x20dc46…
07-25 04:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x3a220c…
07-25 04:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	673	1¢	$9	0xad66ff…
07-25 04:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	7¢	$16	0x41944e…
07-25 04:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	673	1¢	$7	0xaa99e6…
07-25 04:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$1	0x03e6a8…
07-25 04:13:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x179eb1…
07-25 04:13:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	5¢	$11	0x0eb7f7…
07-25 02:02:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	6¢	$13	0x622010…
07-25 01:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xcde044…
07-25 01:50:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0b9649…
07-25 01:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	5¢	$11	0xe4664a…
07-25 01:45:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x9be795…
07-25 01:44:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x5f90e6…
07-25 00:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	5¢	$8	0xa13817…
07-24 23:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	4¢	$6	0x6e21de…
07-24 22:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x4efb34…
07-24 20:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x444e69…
07-24 19:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	17¢	$5	0x02e21e…
07-24 18:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x1f64ac…
07-24 13:12:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	5¢	$4	0xaf787c…
07-24 12:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x585f20…
07-24 12:20:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xabdd67…