Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
+$103
Hit rate
24.4%
Resolved
66
Trades
23,756
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$77
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 06-30 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
60% 47% +$66
Sports
17% 40% $-12
Politics
14% 18% $-99
Crypto
8% 60% +$6
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 481 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -28,000 $-88 $-28 +$60 06-17 17:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -17,000 $-35 $-17 +$18 06-25 00:18
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -12,000 $-23 $-12 +$11 06-10 05:49
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -4,000 $-4 $-4 +$0 06-29 12:18
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -2,000 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-27 14:33
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-27 05:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,907 $2 $2 $-0 06-27 09:05
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? Yes +853 $1 $2 +$1 06-29 16:17
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes -1,458 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-28 16:21
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,378 $1 $1 +$0 06-26 23:08
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? Yes -1,000 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-25 20:58
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? Yes -1,000 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-30 02:36
Will Walmart acquire TikTok? Yes +538 $1 $1 +$0 06-30 12:31
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? Yes +508 $1 $1 $-0 06-25 13:41
Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30? Yes +457 $0 $0 +$0 06-30 19:19
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes -291 $-7 $-0 +$7 06-16 01:59
Bill Gates charged by June 30? Yes +248 $0 $0 +$0 06-26 23:14
Macron out by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $0 $0 +$0 06-30 12:52
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Yes +8 $-0 $0 +$0 06-27 03:01