Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$703

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

3,097

Trades

40,169

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-09 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

61% 47% +$1,024

Politics

19% 39% -$503

Sports

13% 46% -$60

Crypto

6% 42% +$241

Tech

0% 38% +$7

Pop-Culture

0% 20% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?	Yes		+3	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	05-28 14:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	315	$358	2,812	2,751	+61	No	-$1	02-24 08:30
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	305	$322	2,956	2,730	+226	No	-$9	02-24 13:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	210	$280	2,540	2,358	+183	Yes	-$8	02-22 02:51
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	44	$255	953	912	+41	No	-$7	02-24 13:08
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	462	$250	4,702	4,617	+85	No	+$2	02-24 04:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	44	$230	461	550	-89	Yes	-$75	02-22 08:11
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	200	$217	2,223	1,931	+292	No	-$14	03-06 20:13
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	117	$211	1,632	1,673	-41	No	+$2	02-24 15:23
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	76	$201	1,262	1,077	+184	No	-$17	02-24 07:55
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	271	$193	2,283	2,110	+173	No	-$5	02-24 14:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	50	$170	1,425	1,456	-31	Yes	+$5	04-27 01:11
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	221	$165	3,144	2,954	+190	No	-$3	02-24 12:18
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	42	$165	653	702	-49	No	+$2	03-18 03:09
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	24	$164	463	417	+46	Yes	-$9	02-22 13:15
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	181	$162	1,664	1,428	+236	No	-$10	03-07 08:31
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	41	$158	301	283	+19	Yes	+$15	02-20 04:57
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	80	$152	932	951	-19	No	+$3	02-22 03:40
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	38	$146	511	502	+10	No	-$4	02-23 23:40
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	215	$141	2,555	2,201	+354	No	-$10	02-24 06:07
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	93	$138	641	603	+37	No	-$10	02-23 09:15
GTA VI released before June 2026?	247	$135	8,464	8,258	+206	No	+$10	05-28 21:59
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	135	$132	1,279	1,410	-131	No	+$7	03-01 00:48
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	26	$127	272	272	-0	No	$0	02-22 01:29
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	23	$125	314	289	+25	Yes	+$20	02-22 03:08
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	12	$121	320	320	+0	Yes	-$3	02-22 04:44
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	183	$121	1,972	1,744	+228	No	-$6	02-24 20:12
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	233	$121	2,311	2,287	+24	No	+$0	03-07 13:55
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	15	$121	241	232	+9	Yes	+$0	02-21 23:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	32	$120	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$60	06-17 17:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	62	$120	60,000	60,000	+0	No	+$0	06-09 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 16:41:49	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x253284…
10-08 19:27:53	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xd4dc02…
09-22 21:14:01	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xcc68c5…
08-29 03:50:55	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0xb91c43…
07-26 11:50:39	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0415d4…
07-25 07:07:24	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	497	0¢	$0	0x898334…
07-19 23:44:10	Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,382	0¢	$2	0x845715…
07-17 10:54:37	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	995	0¢	$1	0x94c4ae…
07-17 03:51:00	Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x2e2dc4…
07-15 20:46:08	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x1c58a9…
07-15 05:02:01	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,020	0¢	$1	0xc8fb91…
07-13 21:58:58	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xdf486c…
07-13 15:26:29	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,491	0¢	$1	0x063d02…
07-10 16:44:46	Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	595	0¢	$1	0xa053f3…
07-10 13:34:26	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	0¢	$0	0x513f54…
07-10 08:57:11	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x43576b…
07-08 06:25:58	Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	346	0¢	$1	0x7d4fc4…
07-07 23:33:13	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc2644f…
07-07 13:06:52	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,215	0¢	$1	0x38f416…
07-07 13:06:08	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe1afc5…
07-07 12:38:53	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x57feba…
07-07 12:36:11	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf49e77…
07-07 12:00:38	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,142	0¢	$1	0x8a7831…
07-07 11:59:14	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x97035f…
07-06 21:50:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xc81ba8…
07-06 21:50:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xbb964e…
07-06 21:50:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xa5288a…
07-06 21:50:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x8947f4…
07-06 21:50:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	420	0¢	$1	0x772d5d…
07-06 21:50:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x295dde…
07-06 21:50:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x150888…
07-06 16:34:13	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,656	0¢	$3	0xf132c8…
07-06 16:09:58	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe1547d…
07-06 12:50:55	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x85d379…
07-06 06:00:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x462db0…
07-06 05:31:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x59b070…
07-06 05:28:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xfc675f…
07-06 05:05:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa6de46…
07-06 04:37:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	0¢	$0	0x6b7d1f…
07-06 04:17:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x34aa81…
07-06 04:12:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$1	0xcbef42…
07-06 04:08:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x97cbb7…
07-06 03:48:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x16c200…
07-06 03:43:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x2232aa…
07-06 03:22:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8384f2…
07-06 03:22:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xdec7fd…
07-06 02:33:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x3cc768…
07-06 02:27:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x66f6bc…
07-06 02:10:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x70d738…
07-06 01:58:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x4af060…
07-06 01:48:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf9aa44…
07-06 01:32:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x049050…
07-06 00:25:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x905a0d…
07-06 00:05:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xedeb2c…
07-05 23:47:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x871780…
07-05 23:34:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x4a4821…
07-05 23:19:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x7d7692…
07-05 22:19:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc86e78…
07-05 21:28:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xb5bdc4…
07-05 21:18:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xe6a1e7…
07-05 21:16:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfaca89…
07-05 21:11:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5b31df…
07-05 19:41:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xd356a7…
07-05 19:25:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x025861…
07-05 19:09:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xd4f875…
07-05 19:08:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x04239d…
07-05 17:58:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1efe26…
07-05 17:47:37	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x59a0df…
07-05 17:47:19	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf2912d…
07-05 17:37:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xce4b8a…
07-05 17:24:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x81c4b7…
07-05 17:10:20	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	762	0¢	$1	0xdb7e50…
07-05 17:09:02	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	883	0¢	$1	0xb2be46…
07-05 17:08:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x83e265…
07-05 17:07:11	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x87a3ab…
07-05 17:00:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xcc4124…
07-05 16:50:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf9dd6d…
07-05 15:49:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x221d2b…
07-05 14:47:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xdbc040…
07-05 14:33:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x43bff4…
07-05 14:31:34	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb38b40…
07-05 14:27:35	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xccff34…
07-05 14:08:49	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x301227…
07-05 13:55:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xcc21a0…
07-05 13:51:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xffb7f0…
07-05 12:45:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x9b3e00…
07-05 12:39:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x035260…
07-05 12:11:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x3f0e83…
07-05 11:45:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0xb62030…
07-05 11:39:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x15b1c0…
07-05 11:18:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x5a198e…
07-05 10:38:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xa9ac42…
07-05 10:30:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0xaf04e1…
07-05 10:10:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x2ac5e0…
07-05 09:54:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x16d188…
07-05 09:45:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3c64dc…
07-05 09:32:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x55cb8d…
07-05 09:30:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x152ed5…
07-05 08:48:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x63421b…
07-05 08:44:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x4db80c…