Realized P&L
+$221
Unrealized P&L
+$624
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
194
Trades
104,524
lifetime
Volume
$229.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$426
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 06-21 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
45% 54% $-110
Politics
28% 48% +$254
Crypto
18% 41% $-117
Sports
6% 70% +$208
Tech
3% 0% $-14
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2569 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? Yes +6,480 $29 $65 +$36 06-20 07:38
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes +3,678 $-28 $26 +$54 06-11 13:53
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? Yes +2,557 $-6 $23 +$29 06-20 13:34
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +405 $5 $20 +$15 06-15 14:35
Will Alec Pierce be traded? Yes +1,589 $-25 $19 +$44 06-12 15:54
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? Yes +4,939 $25 $17 $-7 06-21 09:13
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +685 $12 $17 +$5 06-17 10:11
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -1,217 $-11 $-17 $-6 06-07 10:20
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -900 $-15 $-17 $-1 05-29 20:41
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? Yes +628 $14 $17 +$3 06-20 15:37
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,039 $45 $15 $-30 06-20 08:15
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +432 $6 $13 +$6 06-21 12:11
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +445 $14 $12 $-2 06-05 13:36
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,586 $-6 $12 +$18 06-16 10:06
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +1,646 $21 $12 $-9 06-21 12:21
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1,408 $23 $11 $-12 06-21 13:35
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? Yes +7,200 $-438 $11 +$449 06-21 09:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +1,433 $14 $10 $-4 06-21 12:35
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +613 $10 $9 $-1 06-21 12:54
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +857 $4 $9 +$5 06-21 08:52
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +3,254 $27 $8 $-19 06-21 13:04
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -305 $-16 $-8 +$8 06-15 03:26
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? Yes +3,196 $7 $8 +$1 06-20 15:53
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election? Yes +988 $11 $8 $-3 06-19 07:40
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? Yes -757 $-14 $-8 +$6 06-10 14:40
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Yes +2,481 $-5 $7 +$13 06-21 06:01
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +1,044 $7 $7 +$0 06-21 13:12
Macron out by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,834 $0 $7 +$7 06-21 13:30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? Yes -900 $-31 $-7 +$24 06-15 13:39
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? Yes +1,874 $10 $7 $-4 06-20 18:22