Realized P&L
+$221
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
194
Trades
111,028
lifetime
Volume
$252.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$161
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 07-12 06:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
44% 54% $-110
Politics
27% 48% +$254
Crypto
19% 41% $-117
Sports
7% 70% +$208
Tech
3% 0% $-14
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1395 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alec Pierce be traded? Yes +1,589 $-25 $19 +$44 06-12 15:54
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? Yes +576 $14 $18 +$4 07-05 16:02
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +685 $-20 $18 +$37 07-06 23:27
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +1,198 $16 $14 $-2 07-11 08:59
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -964 $-8 $-13 $-5 07-12 05:30
Will MrBeast get married by December 31? No +395 $5 $13 +$8 07-12 07:58
Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +900 $29 $11 $-18 07-08 21:06
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -900 $-15 $-9 +$7 05-29 20:41
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +949 $16 $9 $-7 07-11 11:24
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +598 $6 $7 +$0 07-09 18:20
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +490 $4 $5 +$1 07-09 22:35
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +626 $9 $4 $-5 07-10 19:54
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +82 $1 $4 +$3 07-11 20:12
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +576 $14 $3 $-11 07-08 21:22
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes +100 $4 $3 $-0 07-08 06:41
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 $-3 $-2 +$0 05-30 05:59
Will Feid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +207 $-0 $2 +$2 07-04 16:55
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1,408 $23 $1 $-22 06-21 13:35
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes +89 $1 $1 +$0 07-10 20:39
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-01 06:17
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? Yes +46 $1 $1 +$0 07-02 01:08
Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +18 $7 $0 $-7 07-07 23:22
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 $0 $-0 07-10 01:15
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-10 13:53
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +2 $0 11¢ $0 $-0 07-07 03:02
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $-12 14¢ $0 +$12 07-08 00:15
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $-1 $0 +$1 07-07 05:56
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +2 $-2 $0 +$2 06-26 08:14
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $-5 $0 +$5 06-04 02:16
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 +$0 06-10 00:16