Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$286,941
$3,204 in 24h
Trades
13,733
Unique wallets
689
Liquidity
$41,949
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-21 06:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $549
vs crowd: 1% YES on $162.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $145 | $29.2K | $29.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $898 | $39.7K | $38.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 125 | $275 | $59.0K | $58.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 513 | $612 | $32.7K | $32.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $549 | — | +$549 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $261 | $18.4K | $18.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $20 | $10.1K | $10.1K |
| Median | 78 | $18 | $25.0K | $25.0K |
| Below median | 47 | $157 | $5.8K | $5.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 23 | $9 | $6.2K | $6.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $12 | $7.3K | $7.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $251 | $10.8K | $10.6K |
| unranked | 489 | $652 | $76.9K | $76.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3e36…31c3 | Yes | +10,621 | $175 | $175 | 2 | 07-11 18:27 |
| Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | +8,114 | $8,040 | $11,960 | 2 | 07-11 01:03 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +6,942 | $6,820 | $7,379 | 389 | 07-01 00:51 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +6,770 | $111 | $111 | 365 | 06-25 13:25 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +5,070 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 06-04 03:58 |
| Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | +4,968 | $4,856 | $28,223 | 200 | 07-21 06:01 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +4,505 | $61 | $1,038 | 2,116 | 07-17 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +1,603 | $1,568 | $16,441 | 929 | 07-15 08:49 |
| Rotten-Dishwasher 0x60eb…4a56 | No | +1,541 | $1,514 | $1,514 | 50 | 07-11 18:26 |
| Jittery-Novel 0x4e9f…3340 | Yes | +1,147 | $25 | $175 | 3 | 06-09 10:21 |
| Shy-Ingredient 0x373f…1878 | No | +1,010 | $982 | $982 | 4 | 06-05 14:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd65b…d67a | No | +998 | $974 | $12,244 | 25 | 07-17 10:29 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | +548 | $19 | $181 | 70 | 07-15 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4176…a875 | Yes | +543 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 07:39 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | +536 | $521 | $521 | 3 | 07-01 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a46…34cf | No | +500 | $492 | $492 | 2 | 06-10 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x97d0…17eb | No | +500 | $492 | $492 | 2 | 06-13 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b3…5fa0 | Yes | +425 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-17 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7f4…335b | No | +411 | $405 | $405 | 1 | 06-13 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c4c…4fec | No | +409 | $403 | $403 | 2 | 07-03 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | +400 | $393 | $517 | 11 | 06-11 11:56 |
| Snappy-Fall 0xc914…c458 | Yes | +400 | $11 | $11 | 9 | 05-28 11:07 |
| Willing-Proximal 0x641c…456d | No | +388 | $383 | $383 | 1 | 07-08 10:19 |
| Ethical-Mallard 0xbc26…190e | No | +381 | $376 | $376 | 1 | 07-06 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xe82a…9edc | No | +370 | $366 | $366 | 1 | 07-10 10:42 |
| Carefree-Waterspout 0x3d4c…a20f | No | +366 | $362 | $362 | 1 | 07-08 09:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fff…5b1b | Yes | +357 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 21:31 |
| Minor-Tuition 0xe1a8…2045 | No | +350 | $343 | $343 | 2 | 06-09 18:18 |
| Nervous-Fiddle 0x43da…01a8 | Yes | +345 | $7 | $20 | 3 | 06-27 10:35 |
| Mad-Shower 0xdc20…b266 | Yes | +333 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 09:25 |
| Delicious-Memory 0x53ec…80a8 | No | +322 | $318 | $318 | 1 | 07-09 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2775…e796 | Yes | +302 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa38a…3b2f | No | +300 | $296 | $296 | 2 | 06-09 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc90…ab10 | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 2 | 06-09 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 2 | 06-13 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 2 | 06-13 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | +300 | $296 | $296 | 2 | 06-22 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | +300 | $295 | $496 | 85 | 06-19 06:45 |
| Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | +300 | $296 | $328 | 4 | 06-12 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8685…7ad9 | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 3 | 06-12 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa43e…f8d2 | No | +300 | $295 | $307 | 31 | 06-19 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7af6…776b | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 2 | 07-15 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 2 | 06-30 16:39 |
| cryptonepal 0xa4f0…380f | Yes | +263 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-05 09:53 |
| Reflecting-Excuse 0x5199…c819 | Yes | +200 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 11:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 06:01:36 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x205bcf… |
| 07-21 06:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x2476…70ea | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x205bcf… |
| 07-21 05:41:03 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1cd590… |
| 07-21 05:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x556c…e91e | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1cd590… |
| 07-21 05:17:55 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x7e67a1… |
| 07-21 05:17:55 | Linear-Application 0x994f…78b4 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x7e67a1… |
| 07-21 03:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x9bc8…0139 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xe8d8dc… |
| 07-21 03:25:37 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xe8d8dc… |
| 07-20 19:28:16 | Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | SELL | 286 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xcf95f9… |
| 07-20 19:28:16 | Bite-Sized-Burro 0x73fd…c3a7 | No | SELL | 286 | 98¢ | $281 | 0xcf95f9… |
| 07-20 13:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…5464 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x7b09ef… |
| 07-20 13:21:04 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x7b09ef… |
| 07-20 11:54:21 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x993b8a… |
| 07-20 11:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xff72…a0b3 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x993b8a… |
| 07-20 11:21:55 | (anonymous) 0x9648…0f95 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xe8d357… |
| 07-20 11:21:55 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xe8d357… |
| 07-20 09:18:21 | (anonymous) 0xef38…adc9 | No | SELL | 135 | 98¢ | $132 | 0xeb3161… |
| 07-20 09:18:21 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | SELL | 256 | 98¢ | $251 | 0xeb3161… |
| 07-20 09:18:21 | Bite-Sized-Burro 0x73fd…c3a7 | No | BUY | 390 | 98¢ | $383 | 0xeb3161… |
| 07-20 08:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xef38…adc9 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x61e90a… |
| 07-20 08:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xb3c0…ab49 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x61e90a… |
| 07-20 06:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xef38…adc9 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9a0dd8… |
| 07-20 06:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x463a…5c39 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9a0dd8… |
| 07-19 21:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x3699…42a7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe4bd75… |
| 07-19 21:04:24 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xe4bd75… |
| 07-19 19:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x20f8…f21f | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x7fe6a5… |
| 07-19 19:22:45 | (anonymous) 0xef38…adc9 | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x7fe6a5… |
| 07-19 19:10:15 | (anonymous) 0xaef0…d92f | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x21797b… |
| 07-19 19:10:15 | (anonymous) 0xef38…adc9 | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x21797b… |
| 07-19 17:42:49 | (anonymous) 0x3038…b804 | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xe61ec3… |
| 07-19 17:42:49 | (anonymous) 0xef38…adc9 | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xe61ec3… |
| 07-19 17:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xef38…adc9 | No | SELL | 372 | 98¢ | $365 | 0x64f924… |
| 07-19 17:38:00 | Tinted-Loss-Harp 0xeb14…ac37 | No | SELL | 168 | 98¢ | $165 | 0x64f924… |
| 07-19 17:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x9451…63d0 | Yes | SELL | 540 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x64f924… |
| 07-19 16:41:54 | Palatable-Spray 0x9d0a…2346 | No | SELL | 74 | 98¢ | $73 | 0xefb502… |
| 07-19 16:41:54 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 74 | 98¢ | $73 | 0xefb502… |
| 07-19 16:37:16 | Tinted-Loss-Harp 0xeb14…ac37 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x641730… |
| 07-19 16:37:16 | (anonymous) 0xc389…2259 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x641730… |
| 07-19 16:34:55 | Palatable-Spray 0x9d0a…2346 | No | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0x601893… |
| 07-19 16:34:55 | Tinted-Loss-Harp 0xeb14…ac37 | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0x601893… |
| 07-19 16:06:22 | Palatable-Spray 0x9d0a…2346 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xfcd729… |
| 07-19 16:06:22 | Tinted-Loss-Harp 0xeb14…ac37 | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xfcd729… |
| 07-19 15:46:06 | Tinted-Loss-Harp 0xeb14…ac37 | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xc43e42… |
| 07-19 15:46:06 | (anonymous) 0xa327…797f | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xc43e42… |
| 07-19 12:01:10 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 68 | 98¢ | $66 | 0x1e1dfe… |
| 07-19 12:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x30ad…5075 | No | SELL | 68 | 98¢ | $66 | 0x1e1dfe… |
| 07-19 08:18:31 | (anonymous) 0x1a4f…9704 | No | SELL | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x547b8b… |
| 07-19 08:18:31 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x547b8b… |
| 07-19 04:35:30 | (anonymous) 0xf1d2…7bc4 | No | SELL | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0xc94c95… |
| 07-19 04:35:30 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0xc94c95… |
| 07-19 01:03:30 | Second-Hand-Indicator 0x2dd2…dcae | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xd4fecb… |
| 07-19 01:03:30 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xd4fecb… |
| 07-18 21:13:55 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 68 | 98¢ | $66 | 0xc0b5c5… |
| 07-18 21:13:55 | (anonymous) 0xee14…9976 | No | SELL | 68 | 98¢ | $66 | 0xc0b5c5… |
| 07-18 18:18:52 | Tinted-Loss-Harp 0xeb14…ac37 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe0437f… |
| 07-18 18:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x7ec6…f169 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe0437f… |
| 07-18 17:36:55 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xadc92b… |
| 07-18 17:36:55 | (anonymous) 0xe1f1…a512 | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xadc92b… |
| 07-18 17:09:04 | Required-Dagger 0xb8ef…b407 | No | SELL | 178 | 98¢ | $174 | 0xbab595… |
| 07-18 17:09:04 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 178 | 98¢ | $174 | 0xbab595… |
| 07-18 16:54:15 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 130 | 98¢ | $127 | 0xb9922a… |
| 07-18 16:54:15 | Rotten-Poisoning 0x3465…4b9d | No | SELL | 130 | 98¢ | $127 | 0xb9922a… |
| 07-18 16:37:55 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 236 | 98¢ | $231 | 0x6ecb3d… |
| 07-18 16:37:55 | Discrete-Airman 0x9887…a458 | No | SELL | 236 | 98¢ | $231 | 0x6ecb3d… |
| 07-18 14:07:24 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 62 | 98¢ | $61 | 0x45dc0a… |
| 07-18 14:07:24 | (anonymous) 0x2b26…7b77 | No | SELL | 62 | 98¢ | $61 | 0x45dc0a… |
| 07-18 12:09:09 | Handsome-Jicama 0x950a…6790 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x0440e8… |
| 07-18 12:09:09 | Tinted-Loss-Harp 0xeb14…ac37 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x0440e8… |
| 07-18 10:20:42 | (anonymous) 0x8fef…bb72 | No | SELL | 38 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x534996… |
| 07-18 10:20:42 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 38 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x534996… |
| 07-18 09:17:33 | Tinted-Loss-Harp 0xeb14…ac37 | No | BUY | 383 | 98¢ | $376 | 0x3628bf… |
| 07-18 09:17:33 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | SELL | 383 | 98¢ | $376 | 0x3628bf… |
| 07-17 11:47:18 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 605 | 98¢ | $593 | 0x345e0c… |
| 07-17 11:47:18 | Attached-Congressperson 0xa296…d047 | No | SELL | 605 | 98¢ | $593 | 0x345e0c… |
| 07-17 11:06:31 | Fluffy-Synod 0x9135…19b6 | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x5e8186… |
| 07-17 11:06:31 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x5e8186… |
| 07-17 10:29:04 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | SELL | 680 | 98¢ | $668 | 0xa6431e… |
| 07-17 10:29:04 | (anonymous) 0xd65b…d67a | No | BUY | 680 | 98¢ | $668 | 0xa6431e… |
| 07-17 10:28:45 | Whispered-Rake 0x02a0…93ca | No | SELL | 318 | 98¢ | $312 | 0xd6a31a… |
| 07-17 10:28:45 | (anonymous) 0xd65b…d67a | No | BUY | 318 | 98¢ | $312 | 0xd6a31a… |
| 07-17 09:38:51 | Fluffy-Synod 0x9135…19b6 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x8074de… |
| 07-17 09:38:51 | Whispered-Rake 0x02a0…93ca | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x8074de… |
| 07-17 07:57:55 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3f4357… |
| 07-17 07:57:55 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3f4357… |
| 07-17 07:57:28 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x2d4e8e… |
| 07-17 07:57:28 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x2d4e8e… |
| 07-17 07:57:13 | Whispered-Rake 0x02a0…93ca | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x2c5928… |
| 07-17 07:57:13 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x2c5928… |
| 07-17 06:35:30 | Whispered-Rake 0x02a0…93ca | No | BUY | 381 | 98¢ | $374 | 0xd7eb2a… |
| 07-17 06:35:30 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | SELL | 381 | 98¢ | $374 | 0xd7eb2a… |
| 07-17 05:38:21 | Flickering-Experience 0x91d7…5f2e | No | SELL | 360 | 98¢ | $353 | 0x65820f… |
| 07-17 05:38:21 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 360 | 98¢ | $353 | 0x65820f… |
| 07-17 05:34:31 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x58d897… |
| 07-17 05:34:31 | Annual-Ounce 0x4e41…288b | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x58d897… |
| 07-17 05:34:12 | Annual-Ounce 0x4e41…288b | No | SELL | 361 | 98¢ | $354 | 0x1bf9c9… |
| 07-17 05:34:12 | Submissive-Milk 0xde74…ad63 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x1bf9c9… |
| 07-17 05:34:12 | Vengeful-Object 0xbd87…574a | No | BUY | 87 | 98¢ | $85 | 0x1bf9c9… |
| 07-17 05:34:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 224 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x1bf9c9… |
| 07-16 10:57:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x246659… |
| 07-16 10:57:47 | (anonymous) 0x965e…5bc1 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x246659… |