Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$385,228
$3,204 in 24h
Trades
18,084
Unique wallets
872
Liquidity
$41,949
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-10 16:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+99.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $636
vs crowd: 1% YES on $216.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $145 | $63.7K | $63.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 44 | $1.2K | $54.6K | $53.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 148 | $283 | $60.9K | $60.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 661 | $615 | $34.7K | $34.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $636 | — | +$636 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $261 | $28.9K | $28.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $20 | $10.5K | $10.5K |
| Median | 86 | $18 | $33.3K | $33.3K |
| Below median | 46 | $135 | $22.2K | $22.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 25 | $37 | $5.5K | $5.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 25 | $12 | $8.3K | $8.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $452 | $24.3K | $23.8K |
| unranked | 657 | $656 | $80.9K | $80.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | +13,403 | $13,164 | $19,861 | 340 | 08-09 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e36…31c3 | Yes | +10,621 | $175 | $175 | 2 | 07-11 18:27 |
| Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | +8,114 | $8,040 | $11,960 | 2 | 07-11 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +7,429 | $7,288 | $7,288 | 178 | 07-31 11:55 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +6,942 | $6,820 | $7,379 | 389 | 07-01 00:51 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +6,770 | $111 | $111 | 365 | 06-25 13:25 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +6,286 | $83 | $1,190 | 2,749 | 08-10 16:09 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +5,070 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 06-04 03:58 |
| Rotten-Dishwasher 0x60eb…4a56 | No | +1,561 | $1,533 | $1,533 | 51 | 07-28 15:21 |
| Jittery-Novel 0x4e9f…3340 | Yes | +1,147 | $25 | $175 | 3 | 06-09 10:21 |
| Shy-Ingredient 0x373f…1878 | No | +1,010 | $982 | $982 | 4 | 06-05 14:35 |
| Peppery-Syndicate 0x4700…41ce | No | +890 | $875 | $875 | 1 | 08-05 11:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd65b…d67a | No | +668 | $650 | $12,569 | 35 | 07-28 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4176…a875 | Yes | +543 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 07:39 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | +536 | $521 | $521 | 3 | 07-01 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x97d0…17eb | No | +500 | $492 | $492 | 2 | 06-13 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a46…34cf | No | +500 | $492 | $492 | 2 | 06-10 10:47 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | +497 | $43 | $558 | 96 | 08-09 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c4c…4fec | No | +409 | $403 | $403 | 2 | 07-03 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | +400 | $393 | $517 | 11 | 06-11 11:56 |
| Snappy-Fall 0xc914…c458 | Yes | +400 | $11 | $11 | 9 | 05-28 11:07 |
| Willing-Proximal 0x641c…456d | No | +388 | $383 | $383 | 1 | 07-08 10:19 |
| Ethical-Mallard 0xbc26…190e | No | +381 | $376 | $376 | 1 | 07-06 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xe82a…9edc | No | +370 | $366 | $366 | 1 | 07-10 10:42 |
| Shady-Plough 0xd77d…b11d | No | +361 | $357 | $357 | 36 | 08-10 13:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fff…5b1b | Yes | +357 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 21:31 |
| Minor-Tuition 0xe1a8…2045 | No | +350 | $343 | $343 | 2 | 06-09 18:18 |
| Nervous-Fiddle 0x43da…01a8 | Yes | +345 | $7 | $20 | 3 | 06-27 10:35 |
| Mad-Shower 0xdc20…b266 | Yes | +333 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 09:25 |
| Delicious-Memory 0x53ec…80a8 | No | +322 | $318 | $318 | 1 | 07-09 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2775…e796 | Yes | +302 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | +300 | $296 | $296 | 2 | 06-22 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa38a…3b2f | No | +300 | $296 | $296 | 2 | 06-09 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 2 | 06-13 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 2 | 06-13 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc90…ab10 | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 2 | 06-09 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | +300 | $295 | $496 | 85 | 06-19 06:45 |
| Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | +300 | $296 | $328 | 4 | 06-12 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8685…7ad9 | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 3 | 06-12 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa43e…f8d2 | No | +300 | $295 | $307 | 31 | 06-19 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7af6…776b | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 2 | 07-15 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 2 | 06-30 16:39 |
| cryptonepal 0xa4f0…380f | Yes | +263 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-05 09:53 |
| Eager-Ritual 0x31ff…209b | Yes | +225 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-30 08:45 |
| Reflecting-Excuse 0x5199…c819 | Yes | +200 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe756…3503 | Yes | +182 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-10 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc9…c59e | Yes | +125 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 06:50 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | +122 | $0 | $16 | 3 | 06-09 13:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 16:09:36 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc73657… |
| 08-10 16:09:36 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc73657… |
| 08-10 16:09:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc73657… |
| 08-10 16:03:10 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2a5137… |
| 08-10 16:03:10 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2a5137… |
| 08-10 15:49:33 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1e3c62… |
| 08-10 15:49:33 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1e3c62… |
| 08-10 15:43:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 129 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x095dec… |
| 08-10 15:43:42 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x095dec… |
| 08-10 15:43:42 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x095dec… |
| 08-10 15:43:42 | (anonymous) 0xe756…3503 | Yes | BUY | 182 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x095dec… |
| 08-10 15:43:39 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbc9bfa… |
| 08-10 15:43:39 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc9bfa… |
| 08-10 15:42:54 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x9251c2… |
| 08-10 15:42:54 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9251c2… |
| 08-10 15:42:54 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x9251c2… |
| 08-10 15:34:46 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x83d501… |
| 08-10 15:34:46 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x83d501… |
| 08-10 15:33:57 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7299fc… |
| 08-10 15:33:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7299fc… |
| 08-10 15:16:16 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x5eafdb… |
| 08-10 15:16:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5eafdb… |
| 08-10 15:05:13 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x10ac4a… |
| 08-10 15:05:13 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x10ac4a… |
| 08-10 15:04:55 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2941f9… |
| 08-10 15:04:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2941f9… |
| 08-10 15:03:52 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x8c21bb… |
| 08-10 15:03:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c21bb… |
| 08-10 15:03:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1097a0… |
| 08-10 15:03:30 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x1097a0… |
| 08-10 15:03:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x11f6f6… |
| 08-10 15:03:04 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x11f6f6… |
| 08-10 15:00:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x299484… |
| 08-10 15:00:03 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x299484… |
| 08-10 14:57:33 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xaff7be… |
| 08-10 14:57:33 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xaff7be… |
| 08-10 14:45:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x460bba… |
| 08-10 14:45:25 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x460bba… |
| 08-10 14:42:33 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x9cc5fb… |
| 08-10 14:42:33 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x9cc5fb… |
| 08-10 14:38:33 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x29a97c… |
| 08-10 14:38:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x29a97c… |
| 08-10 14:36:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfae533… |
| 08-10 14:36:58 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xfae533… |
| 08-10 14:36:58 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfae533… |
| 08-10 14:35:10 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x9b74f4… |
| 08-10 14:35:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b74f4… |
| 08-10 14:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x051149… |
| 08-10 14:34:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x051149… |
| 08-10 14:34:48 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x051149… |
| 08-10 14:33:33 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5077f7… |
| 08-10 14:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5077f7… |
| 08-10 14:33:06 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x9f44a9… |
| 08-10 14:33:06 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x9f44a9… |
| 08-10 14:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x14801c… |
| 08-10 14:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x14801c… |
| 08-10 14:31:55 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x14801c… |
| 08-10 14:27:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xecfafd… |
| 08-10 14:27:43 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xecfafd… |
| 08-10 14:18:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f0995… |
| 08-10 14:18:28 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x4f0995… |
| 08-10 14:14:18 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3844f4… |
| 08-10 14:14:18 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3844f4… |
| 08-10 14:12:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7a1cc… |
| 08-10 14:12:31 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf7a1cc… |
| 08-10 14:03:09 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x493b54… |
| 08-10 14:03:09 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x493b54… |
| 08-10 13:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x7e0872… |
| 08-10 13:48:16 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x7e0872… |
| 08-10 13:44:03 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x5c6be0… |
| 08-10 13:44:03 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5c6be0… |
| 08-10 13:44:03 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x5c6be0… |
| 08-10 13:37:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x00c5c9… |
| 08-10 13:37:28 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x00c5c9… |
| 08-10 13:37:28 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x00c5c9… |
| 08-10 13:35:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63e7d9… |
| 08-10 13:35:40 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x63e7d9… |
| 08-10 13:31:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x021df9… |
| 08-10 13:31:51 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x021df9… |
| 08-10 13:31:25 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbfd83… |
| 08-10 13:31:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcbfd83… |
| 08-10 13:30:34 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xe2b509… |
| 08-10 13:30:34 | Shady-Plough 0xd77d…b11d | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xe2b509… |
| 08-10 13:28:01 | Shady-Plough 0xd77d…b11d | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xb3526f… |
| 08-10 13:28:01 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xb3526f… |
| 08-10 13:15:30 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x52d8b5… |
| 08-10 13:15:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52d8b5… |
| 08-10 13:13:57 | Shady-Plough 0xd77d…b11d | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x47228a… |
| 08-10 13:13:57 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x47228a… |
| 08-10 12:58:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb4408… |
| 08-10 12:58:40 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xfb4408… |
| 08-10 12:52:22 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7d6ca1… |
| 08-10 12:52:22 | Shady-Plough 0xd77d…b11d | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7d6ca1… |
| 08-10 12:48:18 | Shady-Plough 0xd77d…b11d | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x00de96… |
| 08-10 12:48:18 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x00de96… |
| 08-10 12:48:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd153c2… |
| 08-10 12:48:04 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd153c2… |
| 08-10 12:46:21 | Shady-Plough 0xd77d…b11d | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x21e412… |
| 08-10 12:46:21 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x21e412… |
| 08-10 12:45:25 | Shady-Plough 0xd77d…b11d | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xfa9926… |