Realized P&L
-$817
Unrealized P&L
-$123
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
1,326
Trades
3,942
lifetime
Volume
$18.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$77
26 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-26 13:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Crypto
59% 54% -$497
Other
35% 42% -$122
Sports
5% 29% -$218
Tech
1% 75% +$22
Politics
0% 56% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 453 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +955 $56 2¢ $16 -$40 07-21 09:00
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,968 $97 0¢ $15 -$82 10-05 08:22
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 10-20 16:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 08-28 03:46
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 10-20 13:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 08-31 16:31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-08 01:37
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 $0 10-22 06:59
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +288 $5 1¢ $2 -$3 09-14 06:35
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +2 -$5 91¢ $2 +$7 10-20 15:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +22 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 10-16 02:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-08 13:47
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 10-20 15:43
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-13 09:16
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 10-22 14:52
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $0 08-29 11:22
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 Yes +22 $1 4¢ $1 $0 07-27 03:04
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +2 $3 20¢ $0 -$2 10-20 16:52
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-05 08:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 09-14 06:35
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-27 13:23
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +1 $1 26¢ $0 -$1 08-12 17:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $0 28¢ $0 $0 10-20 03:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +141 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-20 15:41
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +3 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-19 18:00
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 24¢ $0 -$1 09-23 09:08