Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
open
Total volume
$32,797
$456 in 24h
Trades
183
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$7,147
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 16:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $0 | $12.6K | $12.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $14 | $8.1K | $8.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $7 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $34 | $314 | $280 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $13 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $12 | $31 | $19 |
| Median | 10 | $0 | $6.6K | $6.6K |
| Below median | 13 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $0 | $12.6K | $12.6K |
| unranked | 13 | $24 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | No | +12,627 | $12,614 | $12,614 | 1 | 06-18 16:58 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +7,554 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-18 16:58 |
| Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | +5,992 | $5,932 | $5,932 | 6 | 06-18 16:52 |
| Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | +3,666 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-18 16:58 |
| Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | +2,380 | $2,350 | $2,350 | 9 | 06-18 16:56 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +1,878 | $5 | $13 | 9 | 06-18 16:58 |
| Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | +1,497 | $1,493 | $1,493 | 1 | 06-18 16:58 |
| Personal-Singular 0x8d30…c338 | Yes | +710 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-10 20:27 |
| Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 16:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | +485 | $3 | $6 | 19 | 06-18 16:56 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +294 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 16:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xad2c…694f | No | +202 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-18 16:41 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +137 | $1 | $4 | 5 | 06-10 20:25 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +84 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 06-16 09:41 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +82 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 16:40 |
| Reflecting-Candidate 0x29d6…1388 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-18 16:40 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fae…1ab6 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 22:54 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +1 | $1 | $61 | 4 | 06-14 04:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 16:58:44 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 1,501 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6bfe4e… |
| 06-18 16:58:44 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bfe4e… |
| 06-18 16:58:44 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 3,333 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x6bfe4e… |
| 06-18 16:58:44 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 333 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bfe4e… |
| 06-18 16:58:44 | Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | No | BUY | 12,627 | 100¢ | $12,614 | 0x6bfe4e… |
| 06-18 16:58:44 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | BUY | 294 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bfe4e… |
| 06-18 16:58:07 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 888 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xac271b… |
| 06-18 16:58:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 434 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xac271b… |
| 06-18 16:58:07 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 175 | 100¢ | $174 | 0xac271b… |
| 06-18 16:58:07 | Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | BUY | 1,497 | 100¢ | $1,493 | 0xac271b… |
| 06-18 16:56:56 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 541 | 100¢ | $539 | 0xf17eb8… |
| 06-18 16:56:56 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 253 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf17eb8… |
| 06-18 16:56:56 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 288 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf17eb8… |
| 06-18 16:54:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x081ab8… |
| 06-18 16:54:31 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x081ab8… |
| 06-18 16:54:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a14d3… |
| 06-18 16:54:29 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a14d3… |
| 06-18 16:52:17 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4b56c9… |
| 06-18 16:52:17 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4b56c9… |
| 06-18 16:52:13 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | BUY | 5,662 | 99¢ | $5,606 | 0xfcae00… |
| 06-18 16:52:13 | (anonymous) 0xcaf1…9ad1 | No | SELL | 5,662 | 99¢ | $5,606 | 0xfcae00… |
| 06-18 16:49:52 | Basic-Walker 0x37b3…062c | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xc03eb6… |
| 06-18 16:49:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc03eb6… |
| 06-18 16:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 148 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x434ec4… |
| 06-18 16:48:37 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | BUY | 148 | 99¢ | $146 | 0x434ec4… |
| 06-18 16:42:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91fd82… |
| 06-18 16:42:52 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x91fd82… |
| 06-18 16:41:29 | (anonymous) 0xcaf1…9ad1 | No | SELL | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0xc3d794… |
| 06-18 16:41:29 | (anonymous) 0xad2c…694f | No | BUY | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0xc3d794… |
| 06-18 16:40:31 | (anonymous) 0xcaf1…9ad1 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb8cdd6… |
| 06-18 16:40:31 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb8cdd6… |
| 06-18 16:40:23 | (anonymous) 0xcaf1…9ad1 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8ffe54… |
| 06-18 16:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8ffe54… |
| 06-18 16:40:22 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x04903a… |
| 06-18 16:40:22 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | BUY | 94 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x04903a… |
| 06-18 16:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04903a… |
| 06-18 16:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x12f77e… |
| 06-18 16:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x65df…8397 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x12f77e… |
| 06-18 16:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x035e…086d | No | SELL | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x12f77e… |
| 06-18 16:40:20 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | BUY | 63 | 99¢ | $63 | 0x12f77e… |
| 06-18 16:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4d118f… |
| 06-18 16:40:13 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x4d118f… |
| 06-18 13:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x65df…8397 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x384328… |
| 06-18 13:11:44 | Scholarly-Waffle 0xb45b…28f4 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x384328… |
| 06-17 15:26:32 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf6b307… |
| 06-17 15:26:32 | (anonymous) 0x5d3e…a03f | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf6b307… |
| 06-17 13:52:55 | Basic-Walker 0x37b3…062c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x876611… |
| 06-17 13:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x65df…8397 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x876611… |
| 06-17 13:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x65df…8397 | No | SELL | 42 | 99¢ | $41 | 0x9c8390… |
| 06-17 13:16:55 | Downright-Poppy 0x2e8c…ad74 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9c8390… |
| 06-17 12:36:19 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x807b7b… |
| 06-17 12:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x807b7b… |
| 06-16 09:41:45 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 304 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x6d8271… |
| 06-16 09:41:45 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6d8271… |
| 06-16 09:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d8271… |
| 06-16 09:41:45 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d8271… |
| 06-16 09:41:45 | (anonymous) 0xc2ed…2cfa | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x6d8271… |
| 06-14 16:25:24 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa39edb… |
| 06-14 16:25:24 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xa39edb… |
| 06-14 04:47:45 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0c6131… |
| 06-14 04:47:45 | Optimistic-Meal 0x2162…ccf7 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0c6131… |
| 06-12 19:29:52 | Reflecting-Candidate 0x29d6…1388 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3fbb81… |
| 06-12 19:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3fbb81… |
| 06-12 19:29:52 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x3fbb81… |
| 06-12 11:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x553792… |
| 06-12 11:41:10 | Flowery-Pulley 0xeac8…1817 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x553792… |
| 06-11 22:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xda62d3… |
| 06-11 22:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x4fae…1ab6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xda62d3… |
| 06-11 12:04:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x333768… |
| 06-11 12:04:37 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x333768… |
| 06-11 12:04:37 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 111 | 97¢ | $108 | 0x333768… |
| 06-11 12:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x333768… |
| 06-10 20:27:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc1c18b… |
| 06-10 20:27:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xc1c18b… |
| 06-10 20:27:52 | Personal-Singular 0x8d30…c338 | Yes | BUY | 223 | 4¢ | $9 | 0xc1c18b… |
| 06-10 20:27:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc1c18b… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | (anonymous) 0x035e…086d | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 20:25:27 | Personal-Singular 0x8d30…c338 | Yes | BUY | 403 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x2fd23d… |
| 06-10 18:04:36 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x9d21fa… |
| 06-10 18:04:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d21fa… |
| 06-10 18:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d21fa… |
| 06-10 17:49:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xddd5db… |
| 06-10 17:49:28 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xddd5db… |
| 06-10 17:32:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x899791… |
| 06-10 17:32:25 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x899791… |
| 06-10 17:01:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x759aef… |
| 06-10 17:01:07 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x759aef… |
| 06-10 16:44:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdacff7… |
| 06-10 16:44:39 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xdacff7… |
| 06-10 16:28:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x48aa4a… |
| 06-10 16:28:58 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x48aa4a… |
| 06-10 16:10:43 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x50c8b4… |
| 06-10 16:10:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x50c8b4… |