Obvious-Erosion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

907

Trades

1,451

lifetime

Volume

$598.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$412

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-05 08:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

50% 97% +$778

Politics

29% 97% +$912

Sports

14% 100% +$341

Tech

6% 100% +$49

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$33

Crypto

0% 100% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	18	$17.2K	8,744	8,744	+0	No	+$235	06-11 14:13
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	2	$11.5K	11,532	0	+11,532	No	+$12	06-11 16:07
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$11.4K	11,405	0	+11,405	Yes	+$29	06-24 12:11
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	4	$11.2K	11,215	0	+11,215	Yes	+$22	06-09 10:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	10	$10.5K	10,530	0	+10,530	Yes	+$21	06-21 11:37
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	12	$10.2K	10,267	0	+10,267	Yes	+$22	06-12 11:57
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$10.1K	10,111	0	+10,111	No	+$10	06-02 20:00
Exact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros?	8	$10.0K	10,133	0	+10,133	Yes	+$94	06-08 14:11
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	4	$10.0K	4,986	4,986	+0	No	+$0	06-25 03:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	32	$9.9K	8,133	2,000	+6,133	No	+$255	05-30 23:06
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	1	$8.7K	8,745	0	+8,745	Yes	+$9	06-09 17:06
israeli forces enter choukine by may 31	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$8	06-04 23:38
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$8	06-01 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25?	2	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$6	06-25 02:32
starmer out by june 21 2026	1	$7.6K	7,581	0	+7,581	No	+$8	06-22 04:49
will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	3	$7.0K	7,039	0	+7,039	No	+$8	06-17 19:24
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?	1	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$7	06-15 19:44
will trump say ufc this week 20260612151047666	5	$6.8K	6,879	0	+6,879	Yes	+$34	06-16 15:02
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	2	$6.8K	6,822	0	+6,822	No	+$7	06-06 04:35
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$6.6K	6,583	0	+6,583	No	+$7	06-15 03:41
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$12	06-02 13:23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	1	$5.9K	5,900	0	+5,900	Yes	+$12	06-21 11:48
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	3	$5.8K	5,858	0	+5,858	No	+$12	06-08 04:57
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	5	$5.3K	2,709	2,709	+0	Yes	+$133	06-28 20:25
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Iceland?	1	$5.1K	5,149	0	+5,149	No	+$5	06-10 03:05
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	1	$5.1K	5,057	0	+5,057	No	+$5	06-05 06:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	06-08 04:10
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	06-10 18:41
wta andrees mertens 2026 06 08 first set total 10pt5	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Under	+$10	06-08 12:01
Will Nina Linh advance from the CA-40 primary election?	3	$4.8K	4,592	250	+4,342	No	+$5	06-10 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 08:58:47	Will Stephen Kina win Chopped Castaways Season 1?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xadfc86…
07-03 19:05:23	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439806 536	No	SELL	1,489	100¢	$1,488	0x017b70…
07-02 21:23:53	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439806 536	No	BUY	422	99¢	$419	0x2ee1d8…
07-02 21:15:08	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439806 536	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,064	0x64b8fd…
06-30 02:26:10	will the announcers say history during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259135	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x6db472…
06-29 22:00:07	will the announcers say arsenal during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841614	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x7f67db…
06-29 21:59:58	will the announcers say brazil during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841616	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcd8b31…
06-29 21:59:47	will the announcers say unbelievable during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841623	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x189123…
06-29 21:59:38	will the announcers say frustration during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841621	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x092d08…
06-29 21:59:29	will the announcers say back of the net during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841618	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe1b9b2…
06-29 21:59:23	will the announcers say back of the net during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841618	Yes	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0xdf1fa0…
06-29 21:47:14	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,095	0xaa257b…
06-29 21:15:22	will leylah fernandez advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193806913	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xaf67d4…
06-29 21:15:10	will aoi ito advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193806942	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaa470b…
06-29 21:14:47	will emiliana arango advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193806918	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8692ed…
06-29 21:14:37	will mimi xu advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193806915	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4bb830…
06-29 21:14:28	will hanne vandewinkel advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193806964	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb59f5d…
06-29 21:14:19	will anna bondar advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193806966	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe88264…
06-29 18:58:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x091135…
06-29 18:57:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x057dc8…
06-29 18:52:58	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x3ffc4a…
06-29 18:51:35	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	352	13¢	$46	0x351093…
06-29 17:32:58	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xc6e93c…
06-29 16:17:56	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xb31e52…
06-29 13:30:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb3553e…
06-28 20:25:01	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	SELL	2,709	100¢	$2,706	0xa9ad3a…
06-28 06:39:02	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xd586fe…
06-28 06:38:13	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	73	94¢	$68	0x09cd0b…
06-28 06:37:49	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	1,400	95¢	$1,330	0x016e1c…
06-28 06:36:40	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	1,156	95¢	$1,098	0x1efd09…
06-28 03:19:02	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716829	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7106fb…
06-28 03:18:50	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716808	Yes	BUY	392	100¢	$390	0x155565…
06-27 16:11:14	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next youtube video 20260616145800191	Yes	BUY	2,577	100¢	$2,572	0x7a3c86…
06-26 14:34:50	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415040	No	BUY	736	100¢	$735	0x99ce60…
06-26 14:34:22	will the announcers say verizon during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415033	No	BUY	851	100¢	$850	0xd4b987…
06-26 14:34:14	will the announcers say golden boot during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415034	No	BUY	989	100¢	$988	0x373198…
06-25 22:27:31	will trump say state during tele rally 20260625143743111	Yes	BUY	561	100¢	$561	0xab8c62…
06-25 22:27:20	will trump say iran during tele rally 20260625143743105	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2c42e2…
06-25 22:27:11	will trump say louisiana 5 times during tele rally 20260625143743100	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x5a57f1…
06-25 22:26:55	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859866	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x0fdd17…
06-25 22:26:35	will trump say no tax during tele rally 20260625143743116	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x82e725…
06-25 22:26:28	will trumps remarks not air 20260625143743121 612	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc30907…
06-25 21:57:29	will the announcers say qatar during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221715	No	BUY	553	100¢	$552	0xce9a40…
06-25 21:49:17	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221730	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0xe8269f…
06-25 21:48:56	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221730	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc8a72c…
06-25 21:45:14	will the announcers say messi during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859865	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x20b9b9…
06-25 21:45:05	will the announcers say captain during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859852	Yes	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0xfd7acb…
06-25 21:44:58	will the announcers say history during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859853	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x145ed4…
06-25 20:10:13	will the announcers say group 5 times during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859845	Yes	BUY	864	100¢	$863	0x13a175…
06-25 20:09:02	will leroy san score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x7f572c…
06-25 19:52:50	will the announcers say ronaldo during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033336	No	BUY	476	100¢	$475	0x04022d…
06-25 19:52:25	will the announcers say ronaldo during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033336	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x419245…
06-25 19:52:07	will the announcers say qatar during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033317	No	BUY	724	100¢	$723	0xd84ba6…
06-25 13:24:53	will the announcers say mexico 5 times during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033313	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xfcfcff…
06-25 13:24:46	will the announcers say mexico 5 times during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033313	Yes	BUY	328	100¢	$327	0x4012fd…
06-25 05:49:56	will spacex have exactly 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	648	100¢	$647	0x8c53d8…
06-25 05:34:35	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	SELL	379	100¢	$378	0xb26de2…
06-25 03:55:28	will spacex have exactly 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	545	98¢	$535	0x1ec258…
06-25 03:25:37	mlb atl sd 2026 06 24 extra innings	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a84e2…
06-25 03:24:04	will the announcers say messi during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221731	Yes	BUY	367	100¢	$367	0xb8d2ac…
06-25 03:23:53	will the announcers say captain during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221718	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x678189…
06-25 03:23:41	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0xac77b4…
06-25 03:22:26	Will Scotland be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x94658d…
06-25 03:22:14	Will Austria be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x83adec…
06-25 03:21:59	Will Czechia be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x53a735…
06-25 03:16:23	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	4,986	100¢	$4,981	0xad4c91…
06-25 02:33:08	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	3,997	100¢	$3,993	0x55b412…
06-25 02:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25?	No	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x28767a…
06-25 02:31:59	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xa2d742…
06-25 01:57:23	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	758	100¢	$757	0x153fe3…
06-25 01:23:29	will trump say maha or make america healthy again during june 24 rally 20260616194255614	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3e26ff…
06-25 01:17:50	will trump say birthday during june 24 rally 20260616194255607	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8a58e8…
06-25 00:53:56	will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x84e9e8…
06-25 00:19:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 25?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x90e9ec…
06-25 00:17:19	will brazil be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003063	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x727c9d…
06-24 23:56:01	will the announcers say assist during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947269	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4ed73f…
06-24 23:25:44	will the announcers say messi during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947278	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xad3bdf…
06-24 23:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25?	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,990	0x6535a9…
06-24 22:52:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 25?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xb5b239…
06-24 22:21:28	will the announcers say ronaldo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947281	Yes	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xc7fce6…
06-24 22:21:19	will the announcers say trump during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947276	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x91f0e4…
06-24 22:21:08	will the announcers say golden boot during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947274	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x24c572…
06-24 22:20:59	will the announcers say tempo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947259	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7fda3c…
06-24 22:20:50	will the announcers say header during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947260	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0x81c376…
06-24 21:42:26	will the announcers say crossbar during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646398	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x60ea6e…
06-24 21:41:34	will the announcers say powerade during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646402	No	BUY	633	100¢	$632	0x385dbb…
06-24 21:41:22	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646406	No	BUY	849	100¢	$848	0x21612f…
06-24 21:38:23	will the announcers say powerade during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646402	No	BUY	755	100¢	$754	0xef66c6…
06-24 21:38:14	will the announcers say what a save during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646399	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x4cc99e…
06-24 21:36:53	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646383	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce0f3a…
06-24 21:36:38	will the announcers say crossbar during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646398	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7fc387…
06-24 21:36:04	will the announcers say crossbar during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646398	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf36fbb…
06-24 21:34:28	will the announcers say ankle during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646386	No	BUY	1,098	100¢	$1,096	0x597b93…
06-24 21:33:44	will the announcers say ronaldo during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646408	No	BUY	796	100¢	$795	0xbc88ac…
06-24 21:31:38	will the announcers say ankle during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646386	No	BUY	805	100¢	$804	0x3a7b97…
06-24 21:31:25	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646383	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2abbb4…
06-24 21:27:59	will the announcers say champion during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646397	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xa5f644…
06-24 21:24:02	will the announcers say verizon during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646400	No	BUY	769	100¢	$768	0x9c73f4…
06-24 21:23:29	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646407	No	BUY	810	100¢	$809	0x5d515c…
06-24 21:23:13	will the announcers say trump during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646403	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf2817e…