Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
open
Total volume
$10,923
Trades
84
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$1,236
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-06 04:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $798
vs crowd: 1% YES on $10.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $10 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $7 | $7.1K | $7.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $23 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $26 | — | +$26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | — | $798 | $798 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $7 | $252 | $245 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $11 | $93 | $82 |
| Median | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Below median | 3 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $18 | $72 | $54 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $3 | $45 | $42 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $186 | $186 |
| unranked | 5 | $11 | $8.5K | $8.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | +6,822 | $6,815 | $6,815 | 2 | 06-06 04:35 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +3,333 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 04:35 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-06 04:39 |
| Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-06 04:40 |
| Starry-Digestion 0xe8fd…f411 | No | +1,633 | $1,631 | $1,631 | 1 | 06-06 04:40 |
| Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 04:35 |
| Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | +629 | $591 | $591 | 6 | 06-06 04:19 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +341 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-06 04:16 |
| Indelible-Try 0x9aeb…2729 | No | +204 | $191 | $191 | 1 | 06-02 14:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +143 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-06 04:29 |
| Super-Bathroom 0x90a6…f8a9 | Yes | +102 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 12:00 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +102 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-06 04:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 2 | 06-02 05:38 |
| Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | +100 | $-1 | $3 | 11 | 06-06 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xe292…2791 | Yes | +88 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 05:38 |
| Impartial-Tatami 0x789a…1dda | No | +79 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-02 14:42 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +77 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-02 14:42 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | No | +73 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 05-29 16:08 |
| Kosher-Icebreaker 0x1547…d066 | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-06 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +69 | $60 | $83 | 3 | 06-02 14:42 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +64 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-01 17:51 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-06 04:16 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | +39 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 14:42 |
| Youthful-Difference 0x2d81…fe57 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-02 14:42 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-06 04:22 |
| Polished-Alteration 0xc9b5…ceba | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x34a9…4cfd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 14:42 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-06 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 14:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 04:40:22 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | BUY | 1,633 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x466067… |
| 06-06 04:40:22 | Starry-Digestion 0xe8fd…f411 | No | BUY | 1,633 | 100¢ | $1,631 | 0x466067… |
| 06-06 04:39:09 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 1,966 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x1f1437… |
| 06-06 04:39:09 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | SELL | 2,333 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x1f1437… |
| 06-06 04:39:09 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | BUY | 367 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f1437… |
| 06-06 04:35:34 | Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | BUY | 6,700 | 100¢ | $6,693 | 0x07bab9… |
| 06-06 04:35:34 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 1,111 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x07bab9… |
| 06-06 04:35:34 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07bab9… |
| 06-06 04:35:34 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x07bab9… |
| 06-06 04:35:34 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 3,333 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x07bab9… |
| 06-06 04:29:24 | Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | BUY | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0xd5a2a5… |
| 06-06 04:29:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 122 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5a2a5… |
| 06-06 04:28:42 | (anonymous) 0xf885…d719 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xc0715a… |
| 06-06 04:28:42 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc0715a… |
| 06-06 04:28:40 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c1164… |
| 06-06 04:28:40 | Kosher-Icebreaker 0x1547…d066 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x2c1164… |
| 06-06 04:28:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c1164… |
| 06-06 04:22:06 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25dc15… |
| 06-06 04:22:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25dc15… |
| 06-06 04:22:06 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x25dc15… |
| 06-06 04:19:10 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x67d04e… |
| 06-06 04:19:10 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67d04e… |
| 06-06 04:16:30 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2189a3… |
| 06-06 04:16:30 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x2189a3… |
| 06-06 04:16:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2189a3… |
| 06-06 04:16:10 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 171 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x7a57f4… |
| 06-06 04:16:10 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 171 | 98¢ | $167 | 0x7a57f4… |
| 06-06 04:15:10 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x41625b… |
| 06-06 04:15:10 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 154 | 97¢ | $150 | 0x41625b… |
| 06-06 04:15:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x41625b… |
| 06-06 04:15:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0x41625b… |
| 06-06 04:15:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x41625b… |
| 06-06 04:15:10 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x41625b… |
| 06-02 19:03:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0xd1387d… |
| 06-02 19:03:50 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 171 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xd1387d… |
| 06-02 19:03:50 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd1387d… |
| 06-02 19:03:50 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xd1387d… |
| 06-02 14:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x735bbc… |
| 06-02 14:42:40 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x735bbc… |
| 06-02 14:42:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x735bbc… |
| 06-02 14:42:40 | Impartial-Tatami 0x789a…1dda | No | BUY | 79 | 94¢ | $75 | 0x735bbc… |
| 06-02 14:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x735bbc… |
| 06-02 14:42:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x35b07f… |
| 06-02 14:42:24 | Youthful-Difference 0x2d81…fe57 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x35b07f… |
| 06-02 14:42:16 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xdcd8cf… |
| 06-02 14:42:16 | (anonymous) 0x34a9…4cfd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xdc43ee… |
| 06-02 14:42:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdc43ee… |
| 06-02 14:42:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdcd8cf… |
| 06-02 14:42:12 | Indelible-Try 0x9aeb…2729 | No | BUY | 204 | 94¢ | $191 | 0xf4221b… |
| 06-02 14:42:12 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 120 | 94¢ | $113 | 0xf4221b… |
| 06-02 14:42:12 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 39 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf4221b… |
| 06-02 14:42:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf4221b… |
| 06-02 13:05:43 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | BUY | 120 | 95¢ | $115 | 0xdcf611… |
| 06-02 13:05:43 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | SELL | 74 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xdcf611… |
| 06-02 13:05:43 | Good-Natured-Meadow 0x01de…a558 | No | SELL | 240 | 94¢ | $226 | 0xdcf611… |
| 06-02 13:05:43 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xdcf611… |
| 06-02 12:00:04 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | SELL | 102 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8fcf83… |
| 06-02 12:00:04 | Super-Bathroom 0x90a6…f8a9 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8fcf83… |
| 06-02 11:17:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0x043cd8… |
| 06-02 11:17:13 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | SELL | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x043cd8… |
| 06-02 05:58:12 | Polished-Alteration 0xc9b5…ceba | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x3a9936… |
| 06-02 05:58:12 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x3a9936… |
| 06-02 05:38:22 | (anonymous) 0xe292…2791 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xc59c40… |
| 06-02 05:38:22 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 27 | 89¢ | $24 | 0xc59c40… |
| 06-02 05:38:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xc59c40… |
| 06-02 05:38:22 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xc59c40… |
| 06-02 01:57:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0x7ce1b1… |
| 06-02 01:57:39 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0x7ce1b1… |
| 06-02 00:32:29 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 53 | 88¢ | $47 | 0x67d689… |
| 06-02 00:32:29 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 250 | 88¢ | $221 | 0x67d689… |
| 06-02 00:32:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 90¢ | $40 | 0x67d689… |
| 06-02 00:32:29 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x67d689… |
| 06-02 00:32:29 | Good-Natured-Meadow 0x01de…a558 | No | SELL | 414 | 89¢ | $368 | 0x67d689… |
| 06-02 00:32:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x67d689… |
| 06-01 17:51:53 | Crushing-Shortwave 0x9fa3…4899 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4a7041… |
| 06-01 17:51:53 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $17 | 0x4a7041… |
| 06-01 17:51:43 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x88e794… |
| 06-01 17:51:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x88e794… |
| 06-01 17:51:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x88e794… |
| 06-01 17:51:43 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x88e794… |
| 06-01 17:51:43 | Crushing-Shortwave 0x9fa3…4899 | Yes | SELL | 264 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x88e794… |
| 05-29 16:08:14 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | No | BUY | 73 | 91¢ | $67 | 0x891a59… |
| 05-29 16:08:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 29 | 92¢ | $26 | 0x891a59… |
| 05-29 16:08:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x891a59… |