Realized P&L
+$83
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
79.4%
Resolved
285
Trades
1,079
lifetime
Volume
$2.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$17
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-16 07:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
51% 69% +$57
Politics
32% 69% +$3
Sports
7% 65% +$6
Tech
5% 90% +$12
Crypto
5% 55% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +52 $5 7¢ $4 -$1 06-02 12:01
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +290 $5 1¢ $2 -$2 09-20 11:55
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -53 -$3 4¢ $-2 +$1 05-04 10:52
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 05-30 13:36
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +30 $5 5¢ $2 -$3 06-03 21:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes +25 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 04-29 15:09
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +41 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 06-08 20:39
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +51 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 06-23 20:17
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +320 $3 0¢ $0 -$2 05-04 17:58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes -66 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$3 05-20 16:24
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -25 -$4 2¢ $-0 +$3 05-01 06:45
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +271 -$4 0¢ $0 +$4 06-22 10:15
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -71 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$2 05-19 00:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes -26 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 16:23
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +0 -$2 3¢ $0 +$2 07-17 10:24
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +0 -$3 1¢ $0 +$3 06-15 22:24
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 05-12 15:28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +0 -$3 0¢ $0 +$3 05-31 18:12