Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,690
$764 in 24h
Trades
1,560
Unique wallets
193
Liquidity
$3,629
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-13 08:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.7¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $532
vs crowd: 7% YES on $3.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $83 | $908 | $825 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $49 | $144 | $94 |
| 🐟 Fish | 38 | $35 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 118 | $78 | $999 | $920 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $6 | $526 | $521 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $50 | $20 | +$29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $23 | $433 | $410 |
| Median | 83 | $3 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Below median | 33 | $18 | $239 | $221 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $2 | $1 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $52 | $129 | $78 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $7 | $5 | +$2 |
| unranked | 40 | $86 | $798 | $712 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +248 | $229 | $229 | 1 | 06-13 00:20 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +217 | $189 | $405 | 37 | 06-01 23:37 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +150 | $13 | $44 | 38 | 07-02 04:01 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | +128 | $117 | $374 | 54 | 07-13 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6cf…b265 | No | +101 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-02 14:36 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +94 | $7 | $7 | 10 | 06-22 02:39 |
| Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | +94 | $10 | $22 | 20 | 06-26 15:23 |
| Burly-Chronometer 0x0524…1479 | No | +90 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 07-11 06:44 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | No | +82 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-08 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +67 | $7 | $58 | 58 | 07-06 18:32 |
| Delayed-Appetiser 0x270a…7b78 | Yes | +57 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-12 17:25 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +46 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 07-12 15:14 |
| Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | No | +44 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-18 10:08 |
| Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $6 | 11 | 06-20 13:08 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +23 | $-0 | $120 | 243 | 07-12 15:14 |
| Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-28 00:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +19 | $13 | $227 | 22 | 06-04 19:57 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +18 | $-1 | $37 | 28 | 06-25 13:02 |
| Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-09 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bad…09df | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 16:32 |
| Nifty-Receptor 0x0800…ceb0 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-06 21:19 |
| Lean-Excess 0x6f95…6ebe | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 03:05 |
| Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $30 | 29 | 06-24 13:49 |
| Ecstatic-Lyrics 0xda4c…609a | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 01:05 |
| Cuddly-Lymphocyte 0x0aa0…9502 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 02:39 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-28 06:16 |
| Light-Gallery 0x47d4…071e | No | +10 | $8 | $24 | 5 | 05-29 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-12 22:54 |
| Educated-Unemployment 0x78b1…cf6a | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x024e…8fa1 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-06 05:11 |
| Unwilling-Reindeer 0xd8dc…1e1a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d66…54c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $124 | 25 | 06-26 19:04 |
| Cruel-Provider 0xea7c…41f6 | No | +5 | $5 | $25 | 5 | 05-29 03:46 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-11 09:11 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 16:25 |
| Aware-Carbohydrate 0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 08:52 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-11 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5304…fe94 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 07:10 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 06:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 08:24:10 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x61e4ff… |
| 07-13 08:24:10 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x61e4ff… |
| 07-13 08:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf0d334… |
| 07-13 08:24:02 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xf0d334… |
| 07-12 15:14:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xce51c9… |
| 07-12 15:14:40 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xce51c9… |
| 07-12 13:07:55 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x78bc47… |
| 07-12 13:07:55 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x78bc47… |
| 07-12 13:07:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x959a1b… |
| 07-12 13:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x959a1b… |
| 07-12 12:23:52 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4884f1… |
| 07-12 12:23:52 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x4884f1… |
| 07-12 12:23:41 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8a975d… |
| 07-12 12:23:41 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8a975d… |
| 07-12 11:25:10 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe3243e… |
| 07-12 11:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe3243e… |
| 07-12 11:21:56 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x21f86d… |
| 07-12 11:21:56 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x21f86d… |
| 07-12 09:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6209ca… |
| 07-12 09:19:22 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x6209ca… |
| 07-12 09:19:13 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x80deb6… |
| 07-12 09:19:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x80deb6… |
| 07-12 05:23:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x63434d… |
| 07-12 05:23:17 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x63434d… |
| 07-12 05:23:10 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xd4d69f… |
| 07-12 05:23:10 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd4d69f… |
| 07-12 05:23:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd4d69f… |
| 07-12 05:05:37 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5c2b14… |
| 07-12 05:05:37 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5c2b14… |
| 07-12 04:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x178843… |
| 07-12 04:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x178843… |
| 07-12 04:46:02 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x72f57e… |
| 07-12 04:46:02 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x72f57e… |
| 07-12 04:45:55 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x7c4457… |
| 07-12 04:45:55 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7c4457… |
| 07-12 04:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x07c09a… |
| 07-12 04:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x07c09a… |
| 07-12 04:09:26 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x970fbc… |
| 07-12 04:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x970fbc… |
| 07-11 09:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9b22f2… |
| 07-11 09:11:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9b22f2… |
| 07-11 09:11:16 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x572e47… |
| 07-11 09:11:16 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x572e47… |
| 07-11 09:09:01 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x722956… |
| 07-11 09:09:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x722956… |
| 07-11 09:09:01 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x722956… |
| 07-11 09:08:53 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6d3f94… |
| 07-11 09:08:53 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6d3f94… |
| 07-11 08:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x64b72b… |
| 07-11 08:47:20 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x64b72b… |
| 07-11 08:47:14 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xe43e15… |
| 07-11 08:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe43e15… |
| 07-11 08:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xe43e15… |
| 07-11 08:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x086a11… |
| 07-11 08:40:26 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x086a11… |
| 07-11 08:40:19 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x351e8b… |
| 07-11 08:40:19 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x351e8b… |
| 07-11 08:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6849ff… |
| 07-11 08:37:13 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6849ff… |
| 07-11 08:37:05 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xacbaa1… |
| 07-11 08:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xacbaa1… |
| 07-11 08:32:19 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x55e59e… |
| 07-11 08:32:19 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x55e59e… |
| 07-11 08:32:11 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x973108… |
| 07-11 08:32:11 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x973108… |
| 07-11 08:00:40 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0131f0… |
| 07-11 08:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0131f0… |
| 07-11 08:00:28 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x848ec1… |
| 07-11 08:00:28 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x848ec1… |
| 07-11 06:44:08 | Burly-Chronometer 0x0524…1479 | No | BUY | 90 | 93¢ | $84 | 0xbed984… |
| 07-11 06:44:08 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xbed984… |
| 07-11 06:44:08 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xbed984… |
| 07-11 06:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xbed984… |
| 07-11 06:44:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xbed984… |
| 07-11 00:05:26 | Grumpy-Retina 0xc209…7082 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd79ad6… |
| 07-11 00:05:26 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xd79ad6… |
| 07-11 00:05:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcaea2f… |
| 07-11 00:05:23 | Grumpy-Retina 0xc209…7082 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcaea2f… |
| 07-11 00:05:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x71b7a1… |
| 07-11 00:05:02 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x71b7a1… |
| 07-11 00:00:52 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd61439… |
| 07-11 00:00:52 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd61439… |
| 07-11 00:00:41 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8603fe… |
| 07-11 00:00:41 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8603fe… |
| 07-10 23:59:50 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf5b2cb… |
| 07-10 23:59:50 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf5b2cb… |
| 07-10 23:59:43 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7aa459… |
| 07-10 23:59:43 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7aa459… |
| 07-10 22:59:50 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xec8052… |
| 07-10 22:59:50 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xec8052… |
| 07-10 22:59:43 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x2770bf… |
| 07-10 22:59:43 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x2770bf… |
| 07-10 22:34:53 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x39c2af… |
| 07-10 22:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x39c2af… |
| 07-10 22:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6d7823… |
| 07-10 22:34:44 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6d7823… |
| 07-10 22:33:10 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xdd82c7… |
| 07-10 22:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xdd82c7… |
| 07-10 22:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x68f8c3… |
| 07-10 22:33:02 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x68f8c3… |