Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,839
$764 in 24h
Trades
948
Unique wallets
152
Liquidity
$3,629
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 22:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.2¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $532
vs crowd: 8% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $78 | $703 | $625 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $36 | $10 | +$26 |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $34 | $701 | $667 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 96 | $52 | $820 | $768 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $6 | $526 | $521 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $48 | $38 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $20 | $415 | $395 |
| Median | 68 | $2 | $733 | $731 |
| Below median | 27 | $18 | $189 | $172 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $44 | $40 | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 26 | $59 | $290 | $231 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +248 | $229 | $229 | 1 | 06-13 00:20 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +223 | $18 | $30 | 16 | 06-18 10:08 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +217 | $189 | $405 | 37 | 06-01 23:37 |
| Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | +115 | $12 | $21 | 16 | 06-18 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +98 | $9 | $52 | 45 | 06-19 13:29 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | No | +82 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-08 01:43 |
| Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | +59 | $8 | $27 | 28 | 06-01 22:14 |
| Delayed-Appetiser 0x270a…7b78 | Yes | +57 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-12 17:25 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +55 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-20 13:08 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $74 | 145 | 06-20 22:17 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 06-17 21:00 |
| Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | No | +44 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-18 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-20 08:58 |
| Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $6 | 11 | 06-20 13:08 |
| Adept-Comfortable 0xf0fc…d716 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 14:57 |
| Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-28 00:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +19 | $-1 | $37 | 27 | 06-14 11:43 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +19 | $13 | $227 | 22 | 06-04 19:57 |
| Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-09 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bad…09df | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 16:32 |
| Lean-Excess 0x6f95…6ebe | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 03:05 |
| Ecstatic-Lyrics 0xda4c…609a | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 01:05 |
| Cuddly-Lymphocyte 0x0aa0…9502 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 02:39 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-28 06:16 |
| Light-Gallery 0x47d4…071e | No | +10 | $8 | $24 | 5 | 05-29 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb27d…6d74 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $10 | 4 | 06-17 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd510…77f5 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-30 15:04 |
| Educated-Unemployment 0x78b1…cf6a | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:26 |
| Unwilling-Reindeer 0xd8dc…1e1a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d66…54c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $104 | 21 | 06-14 05:05 |
| Cruel-Provider 0xea7c…41f6 | No | +5 | $5 | $25 | 5 | 05-29 03:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-28 02:57 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 16:25 |
| Aware-Carbohydrate 0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 08:52 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 06:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 22:17:35 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x920aef… |
| 06-20 22:17:35 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x920aef… |
| 06-20 22:17:11 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x5ee1af… |
| 06-20 22:17:11 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x5ee1af… |
| 06-20 21:56:40 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x418580… |
| 06-20 21:56:40 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x418580… |
| 06-20 21:56:31 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x74485a… |
| 06-20 21:56:31 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x74485a… |
| 06-20 13:08:08 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x1639b9… |
| 06-20 13:08:08 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x1639b9… |
| 06-20 08:58:08 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x706c10… |
| 06-20 08:58:08 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 27 | 92¢ | $25 | 0x706c10… |
| 06-19 13:29:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x5c35ca… |
| 06-19 13:29:55 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 59 | 92¢ | $54 | 0x5c35ca… |
| 06-19 13:29:55 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5c35ca… |
| 06-19 05:27:05 | (anonymous) 0xa4f3…6995 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1c6fb0… |
| 06-19 05:27:05 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1c6fb0… |
| 06-18 22:39:40 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd861e5… |
| 06-18 22:39:40 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 8¢ | $9 | 0xd861e5… |
| 06-18 22:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xd861e5… |
| 06-18 22:39:40 | Good-Natured-Date 0x2aea…68de | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd861e5… |
| 06-18 22:39:40 | Previous-Trowel 0x2774…24f0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xd861e5… |
| 06-18 22:39:40 | Prudent-Rabbit 0x4cfa…fa93 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xd861e5… |
| 06-18 13:26:55 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x3ead27… |
| 06-18 13:26:55 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | SELL | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x3ead27… |
| 06-18 10:08:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xab1f23… |
| 06-18 10:08:22 | Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | No | BUY | 44 | 92¢ | $40 | 0xab1f23… |
| 06-17 21:00:01 | (anonymous) 0xb27d…6d74 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xb20001… |
| 06-17 21:00:01 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 10¢ | $9 | 0xb20001… |
| 06-17 21:00:01 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 44 | 90¢ | $39 | 0xb20001… |
| 06-17 00:03:04 | Disgusting-Sombrero 0x0b25…efd9 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xa9bfae… |
| 06-17 00:03:04 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xa9bfae… |
| 06-16 03:19:57 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xed17a4… |
| 06-16 03:19:57 | (anonymous) 0xb27d…6d74 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xed17a4… |
| 06-16 03:16:52 | Disgusting-Sombrero 0x0b25…efd9 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc88dfc… |
| 06-16 03:16:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc88dfc… |
| 06-14 11:43:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x431867… |
| 06-14 11:43:27 | Comfortable-Significance 0x82a7…fb74 | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x431867… |
| 06-14 11:43:25 | Monumental-Chives 0x4804…3f54 | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x072fa9… |
| 06-14 11:43:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x072fa9… |
| 06-14 11:43:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2f8730… |
| 06-14 11:43:25 | Tough-Progression 0x90f4…83a7 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x2f8730… |
| 06-14 10:09:34 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x018786… |
| 06-14 10:09:34 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd640b5… |
| 06-14 10:09:34 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x018786… |
| 06-14 10:09:34 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd640b5… |
| 06-14 10:05:07 | Prudent-Rabbit 0x4cfa…fa93 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x9bde75… |
| 06-14 10:05:07 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9bde75… |
| 06-14 09:49:27 | Previous-Trowel 0x2774…24f0 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xbe092b… |
| 06-14 09:49:27 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbe092b… |
| 06-14 09:27:04 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1479f1… |
| 06-14 09:27:04 | Good-Natured-Date 0x2aea…68de | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x1479f1… |
| 06-14 05:33:15 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0e91d3… |
| 06-14 05:33:15 | Tough-Progression 0x90f4…83a7 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x0e91d3… |
| 06-14 05:17:40 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x552b40… |
| 06-14 05:17:40 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x552b40… |
| 06-14 05:17:28 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x337643… |
| 06-14 05:17:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x337643… |
| 06-14 05:15:00 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xfccbae… |
| 06-14 05:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xfccbae… |
| 06-14 05:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x39c8c0… |
| 06-14 05:14:51 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x39c8c0… |
| 06-14 05:12:27 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5f8112… |
| 06-14 05:12:27 | (anonymous) 0x2104…aeda | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x5f8112… |
| 06-14 05:05:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9b6de0… |
| 06-14 05:05:46 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x9b6de0… |
| 06-14 05:05:37 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xeea46f… |
| 06-14 05:05:37 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xeea46f… |
| 06-14 05:05:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x21b188… |
| 06-14 05:05:28 | (anonymous) 0x4d66…54c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x21b188… |
| 06-14 05:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x4d66…54c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x02c339… |
| 06-14 05:05:19 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x02c339… |
| 06-14 04:50:04 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x00bc5a… |
| 06-14 04:50:04 | Pesky-Dream 0xebb4…408e | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x00bc5a… |
| 06-14 04:40:45 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x8aa296… |
| 06-14 04:40:45 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8aa296… |
| 06-14 04:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe51421… |
| 06-14 04:40:27 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe51421… |
| 06-14 04:36:16 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x7980e0… |
| 06-14 04:36:16 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7980e0… |
| 06-14 04:36:06 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb787af… |
| 06-14 04:36:06 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb787af… |
| 06-14 04:20:12 | Comfortable-Significance 0x82a7…fb74 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x583a20… |
| 06-14 04:20:12 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x583a20… |
| 06-14 03:43:52 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xb5ba38… |
| 06-14 03:43:52 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb5ba38… |
| 06-14 03:43:43 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7ca148… |
| 06-14 03:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x7ca148… |
| 06-14 03:38:34 | Monumental-Chives 0x4804…3f54 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xe4ed6a… |
| 06-14 03:38:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe4ed6a… |
| 06-14 03:28:18 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x35e13a… |
| 06-14 03:28:18 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x35e13a… |
| 06-14 03:28:10 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2ddcb7… |
| 06-14 03:28:10 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2ddcb7… |
| 06-14 03:27:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x94cd05… |
| 06-14 03:27:25 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x94cd05… |
| 06-14 03:24:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc0723c… |
| 06-14 03:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc0723c… |
| 06-14 03:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x6ae18c… |
| 06-14 03:24:18 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6ae18c… |