Realized P&L
-$7.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$81
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved
627
Trades
6,178
lifetime
Volume
$497.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$3.20K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 14:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
45% 53% -$3,356
Politics
28% 58% -$2,899
Sports
24% 38% -$1,856
Crypto
4% 70% +$673
Tech
0% 50% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 453 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +894 $800 96¢ $862 +$62 11-01 12:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +650 $584 97¢ $631 +$47 10-30 06:06
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +999 $566 56¢ $554 -$12 11-01 06:58
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +1,112 $645 34¢ $372 -$273 11-01 14:51
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1,140 $218 20¢ $222 +$4 11-01 06:56
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,090 $217 20¢ $213 -$4 10-31 10:49
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -241 -$157 62¢ $-149 +$8 07-17 21:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -80 -$60 84¢ $-67 -$7 08-05 23:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -176 -$9 20¢ $-36 -$28 07-23 22:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +220 $21 11¢ $24 +$3 11-01 14:32
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +362 -$241 6¢ $24 +$264 11-01 07:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +364 $22 6¢ $21 $0 11-01 12:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -173 -$8 10¢ $-17 -$9 07-17 21:23
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +31 -$16 19¢ $6 +$21 11-01 14:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $5 94¢ $0 -$5 10-04 21:39
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-05 17:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +0 -$8 52¢ $0 +$8 10-29 10:47