Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,898
lifetime
Volume
$14.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$53
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-09 02:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63%
Politics
37%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +23 $23 93¢ $22 $-2 06-09 02:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +16 $17 94¢ $15 $-2 06-09 02:43
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +6 $6 98¢ $5 $-0 06-07 12:30
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 06-09 01:52
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +5 $6 94¢ $5 $-1 06-09 01:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $1 99¢ $-1 $-2 06-08 13:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-0 06-08 20:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-08 04:01
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-03 23:27
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-08 23:04
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-08 18:30
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-03 10:01
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 06-04 12:00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-08 16:05
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 05-29 14:57