(anonymous) 0x4d6652…8854c3
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,477
lifetime
Volume
$27.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$54
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-30 12:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55% — —
Politics
45% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +25 $28 95¢ $24 $-4 06-30 14:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +7 $11 94¢ $6 $-5 06-30 15:28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +6 $7 96¢ $6 $-1 06-30 14:54
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $-0 06-07 12:30
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-13 04:18
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-26 19:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $1 100¢ $-1 $-2 06-08 13:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $-1 06-14 19:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-0 06-30 06:40
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-0 06-26 22:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 20:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-23 02:23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-25 18:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-24 16:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-25 15:35
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-26 20:43
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 09:56
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-26 22:01
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-03 23:27
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-08 16:05
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 05-29 14:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-25 10:35