Realized P&L
-$437
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved
6,132
Trades
18,094
lifetime
Volume
$42.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$241
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 09-11 15:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
85% 52% -$434
Sports
14% 50% $0
Politics
0% 45% -$4
Crypto
0% 60% +$3
Tech
0% 60% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +180 $172 95¢ $171 -$1 06-22 10:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +180 $8 5¢ $9 +$1 06-18 19:09
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 07-30 21:23
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 07-30 19:01
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 07-31 07:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-31 02:39
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-31 08:46
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-30 22:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 07-30 19:58
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$1 07-31 11:37
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +5 $5 87¢ $4 $0 07-31 06:05
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 07-30 19:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $2 69¢ $3 +$1 07-30 19:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $3 31¢ $2 -$1 07-30 20:50
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 28¢ $1 -$1 07-31 11:03
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-30 21:08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +5 $0 12¢ $1 +$0 07-30 22:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5 $1 10¢ $1 $0 07-30 21:10
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +5 $1 10¢ $1 -$1 07-30 22:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 07-31 03:50
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 07-31 04:16
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-31 04:55
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 07-31 11:30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 07-30 21:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-30 22:46
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-31 06:29