Realized P&L
-$157
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved
1,541
Trades
25,571
lifetime
Volume
$23.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$27
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 10-30 12:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
61% 23% -$65
Politics
18% 14% -$103
Sports
17% 13% -$26
Crypto
2% 36% +$21
Tech
1% 16% +$20
Pop-Culture
1% 25% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +15 $0 41¢ $6 +$6 09-10 21:37
Discord IPO before 2027? No +4 $2 94¢ $4 +$2 07-01 22:09
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +4 -$1 84¢ $4 +$5 08-15 18:18
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +7 -$3 48¢ $3 +$7 10-01 08:36
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +4 $2 38¢ $1 $0 07-12 23:05
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +3 $2 36¢ $1 $0 06-27 19:07
Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes +77 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-17 17:28
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $0 06-07 15:15
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +14 $1 7¢ $1 $0 09-07 15:50
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +1 -$4 100¢ $1 +$4 06-29 13:49
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $0 69¢ $0 +$1 08-25 19:29
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 06-15 04:55
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +2 $1 18¢ $0 $0 07-23 05:40
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +11 $2 3¢ $0 -$1 06-04 21:50
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-18 16:55
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No +0 $1 67¢ $0 -$1 06-05 04:39
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +0 -$2 88¢ $0 +$3 08-28 08:38
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 95¢ $0 +$1 07-21 06:07
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +0 -$3 75¢ $0 +$3 08-11 08:22
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +1 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 06-06 02:41
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +0 $1 64¢ $0 -$1 06-24 19:58
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +0 -$3 44¢ $0 +$3 06-14 16:45
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 $0 08-15 04:41
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +1 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 09-09 19:29
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +0 $1 25¢ $0 -$1 08-11 02:00
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 23¢ $0 $0 07-01 20:46
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? Yes +0 $0 28¢ $0 +$1 06-18 18:14
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +0 $0 25¢ $0 $0 06-21 10:17
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +0 $1 23¢ $0 -$1 07-08 09:45
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? Yes +0 $1 22¢ $0 -$1 08-13 00:08