Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$244
Trades
30
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$389
Latest YES mid
63¢
Latest NO mid
37¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-16 19:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $18 | $42 | $24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $23 | $5 | +$18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $20 | $15 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $17 | $42 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | $2 | +$5 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 9 | $33 | $20 | +$13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +103 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 06-23 22:03 |
| Blissful-Tunic 0xc7b6…3158 | Yes | +28 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-15 11:05 |
| Sarcastic-Diversity 0x0211…d41f | Yes | +22 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x63e0…4ca5 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 20:41 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-22 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-15 07:44 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-16 19:01 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-16 19:01 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 19:01:22 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xcb1e45… |
| 07-16 19:01:22 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xcb1e45… |
| 07-15 11:05:14 | Winged-Weapon 0xd515…2c54 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xf0f666… |
| 07-15 11:05:14 | Blissful-Tunic 0xc7b6…3158 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xf0f666… |
| 07-15 10:47:22 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x573219… |
| 07-15 10:47:22 | Blissful-Tunic 0xc7b6…3158 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x573219… |
| 07-15 07:44:23 | Criminal-Emitter 0x4551…3721 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 60¢ | $17 | 0xcdaf54… |
| 07-15 07:44:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xcdaf54… |
| 07-15 07:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xcdaf54… |
| 07-10 14:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | BUY | 4 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xe5bf2c… |
| 07-10 14:26:01 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xe5bf2c… |
| 06-24 20:41:19 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xaf6233… |
| 06-24 20:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x63e0…4ca5 | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xaf6233… |
| 06-23 22:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x0b4d56… |
| 06-23 22:03:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 75 | 39¢ | $29 | 0x0b4d56… |
| 06-23 22:03:01 | Scientific-Raspberry 0x1aac…1df6 | No | SELL | 77 | 39¢ | $30 | 0x0b4d56… |
| 06-22 12:27:17 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 58¢ | $6 | 0xa5263a… |
| 06-22 12:27:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 11 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xa5263a… |
| 06-21 16:36:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xf23930… |
| 06-21 16:36:19 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xf23930… |
| 06-17 10:17:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xbf688f… |
| 06-17 10:17:31 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xbf688f… |
| 06-16 09:44:01 | Scientific-Raspberry 0x1aac…1df6 | No | SELL | 44 | 46¢ | $20 | 0x87fad2… |
| 06-16 09:44:01 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x87fad2… |
| 06-16 09:44:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 26 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x87fad2… |
| 06-16 09:44:01 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x87fad2… |
| 05-30 19:46:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 67¢ | $15 | 0xc3e8e7… |
| 05-30 19:46:46 | Sarcastic-Diversity 0x0211…d41f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 67¢ | $15 | 0xc3e8e7… |
| 05-30 10:28:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x03462e… |
| 05-30 10:28:00 | Winged-Weapon 0xd515…2c54 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x03462e… |