Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

193

Trades

453

lifetime

Volume

$3.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-25 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

53% 84% +$92

Politics

47% 69% -$9

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+118	$14	14¢	$17	+$3	10-18 14:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	11	$472	316	316	+0	Yes	-$38	10-05 15:50
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	2	$243	126	126	+0	open	—	09-27 17:26
Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	1	$184	233	0	+233	Yes	+$49	10-19 14:41
Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	3	$152	164	0	+164	Yes	+$13	10-05 15:51
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	3	$114	132	0	+132	open	—	10-23 23:36
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	2	$108	60	60	+0	Yes	+$6	10-11 16:05
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	4	$89	93	93	+0	open	—	09-17 15:51
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	3	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	08-30 10:09
Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	3	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-27 17:57
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	4	$72	65	38	+27	open	—	10-02 10:14
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	1	$60	73	0	+73	Yes	+$13	08-30 10:11
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$56	59	0	+59	open	—	09-18 09:36
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	09-06 13:15
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$46	60	0	+60	open	—	10-15 13:57
Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	2	$44	46	0	+46	Yes	+$2	10-11 19:22
Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	1	$43	55	0	+55	Yes	+$12	10-05 15:53
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$43	45	0	+45	open	—	09-09 16:29
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	09-08 13:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?	4	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	07-02 21:02
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	08-30 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?	2	$33	18	18	+0	No	+$3	07-13 13:39
Paris curfew by October 31?	3	$32	105	0	+105	Yes	+$72	10-19 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 17?	3	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	07-17 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 15?	3	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	07-15 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 11?	3	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-11 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 17?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-17 14:52
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	09-09 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	07-18 13:47
Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	3	$24	21	21	+0	No	-$15	10-05 15:53
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	10-11 18:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 02:03:47	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	259	3¢	$7	0x518f88…
10-23 23:36:00	Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	42	84¢	$36	0xb4fcf1…
10-22 06:10:43	Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	77	88¢	$67	0x6a70ed…
10-22 06:10:28	Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x8cba0b…
10-22 03:16:35	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	939	1¢	$9	0x4914ce…
10-21 18:34:59	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdb372a…
10-21 18:34:59	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x3f723c…
10-21 15:49:57	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xdb513c…
10-19 16:09:36	Paris curfew by October 31?	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x6d5cf4…
10-19 14:41:42	Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	79¢	$184	0xf4f7fe…
10-18 18:54:00	Paris curfew by October 31?	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x4f958a…
10-18 18:13:51	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xe364c2…
10-18 18:12:51	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x7be3a6…
10-18 18:11:50	French election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x2721bc…
10-18 14:32:48	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	118	12¢	$14	0x2e3da8…
10-18 14:28:21	French election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xd354d1…
10-18 14:26:00	Paris curfew by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xfae0b8…
10-18 14:13:42	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x0d8dd5…
10-15 13:57:13	Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0xe9df1e…
10-11 19:22:36	Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6c688f…
10-11 18:33:09	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x86bb4f…
10-11 16:05:43	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$57	0xbf93a9…
10-05 16:29:37	Will Union Centriste hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x895c1f…
10-05 15:53:37	Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0x6ab0bb…
10-05 15:53:19	Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0xf50579…
10-05 15:52:13	Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x59c7f0…
10-05 15:51:25	Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	104	92¢	$96	0xf98274…
10-05 15:51:14	Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x2b02fd…
10-05 15:51:02	Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x93b1b6…
10-05 15:50:46	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	197	98¢	$193	0x2b332b…
10-05 15:49:44	Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd91285…
10-05 10:58:47	National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb65d74…
10-02 10:14:32	Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x63c8cd…
09-28 19:33:05	Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x9066e2…
09-28 19:33:05	Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x209b52…
09-27 19:59:45	Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x670582…
09-27 19:31:00	Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x46a04e…
09-27 19:06:14	Will Union Centriste hold 53-55 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa947ce…
09-27 19:05:33	Will Union Centriste hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x918531…
09-27 17:57:23	Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x7606d1…
09-27 17:52:12	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x307c38…
09-27 17:50:24	Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xbd46dd…
09-27 17:49:50	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	147	83¢	$122	0x90617c…
09-27 17:34:27	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	120	20¢	$24	0x9498ac…
09-27 17:26:09	Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	126	98¢	$123	0x1da2b5…
09-27 17:25:42	National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8103af…
09-25 15:28:18	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x45cffc…
09-23 14:13:25	Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xb4e4ea…
09-22 07:02:21	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0xb02bac…
09-19 19:13:47	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x2d84ea…
09-18 09:36:04	Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x342799…
09-18 09:14:18	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x167c83…
09-18 09:14:18	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x1479f8…
09-18 01:16:46	Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0x172372…
09-17 19:10:00	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1d366b…
09-17 18:52:58	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2184b6…
09-17 15:51:18	Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x104055…
09-14 22:19:57	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6ab0c1…
09-14 07:44:58	Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	126	95¢	$119	0x44ea57…
09-12 16:45:10	Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x12ad1f…
09-12 16:44:16	Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	No	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0xc5ac37…
09-12 04:37:34	Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x03d3d9…
09-10 04:27:31	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xed53d4…
09-09 16:29:15	Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5cd652…
09-09 16:28:34	Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xddd75a…
09-09 11:49:36	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x5c80b7…
09-09 11:49:15	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xf2aabc…
09-09 11:25:57	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x39a69f…
09-09 08:57:34	Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc9fbd9…
09-09 08:55:46	Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x1fe349…
09-08 13:58:45	Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x3d18d8…
09-08 13:56:01	Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$17	0x77db01…
09-06 13:15:03	Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x793a0a…
09-05 20:04:34	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xff7504…
09-05 19:04:28	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x96a55f…
09-05 13:09:40	Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x178cb0…
09-03 10:17:33	Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x7cf810…
08-30 10:11:10	Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	82¢	$60	0xae04a2…
08-30 10:09:09	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x1ce00d…
08-30 10:08:46	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x2f93f7…
08-30 10:08:28	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x13bd59…
08-29 17:34:27	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x8e3712…
08-24 19:30:30	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x9930b5…
08-21 05:16:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xb06d4b…
08-19 07:52:00	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x1fad0a…
08-16 03:29:03	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x52f303…
08-15 15:23:28	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4d779c…
08-03 12:13:17	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa3a911…
08-01 13:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x9c19aa…
08-01 13:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x0e54b1…
08-01 13:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x40e80a…
08-01 13:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x8e09c6…
08-01 09:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8ea97d…
08-01 09:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcdd142…
08-01 09:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0xe99141…
08-01 05:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xbb9f38…
08-01 04:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x3d89e4…
08-01 04:25:38	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd3934e…
08-01 04:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x13a09d…
08-01 04:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x33563f…