Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,515
Trades
203
Unique wallets
70
Liquidity
$10,402
End date
2027-04-18
First seen
2026-04-30
last 10-26 21:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-20.7¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $598
vs crowd: 37% YES on $2.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $307 | $527 | $219 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $172 | $795 | $623 |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $448 | $204 | +$245 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $110 | $220 | $110 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $99 | $499 | $400 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $380 | $126 | +$254 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $50 | $62 | $12 |
| Median | 11 | $80 | $53 | +$26 |
| Below median | 11 | $34 | $106 | $72 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $39 | $23 | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $51 | $195 | $144 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 13 | $300 | $625 | $325 |
| unranked | 4 | $5 | $58 | $53 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +741 | $273 | $273 | 15 | 10-12 06:06 |
| Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | +675 | $454 | $454 | 6 | 10-20 10:32 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | +495 | $294 | $426 | 13 | 10-17 13:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +345 | $119 | $119 | 16 | 10-17 10:48 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | Yes | +219 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-25 13:37 |
| Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | +163 | $101 | $512 | 14 | 08-26 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x193d…feeb | Yes | +140 | $66 | $66 | 3 | 09-14 08:58 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | No | +109 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 09-29 21:13 |
| Slippery-Lode-Descendant 0x042d…0720 | No | +100 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 08-24 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x78bc…2585 | Yes | +98 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 10-26 21:10 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | +94 | $63 | $63 | 5 | 08-16 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0785…ff74 | No | +93 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 10-07 05:42 |
| Sick-Anticodon 0xdede…8a50 | Yes | +50 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 09-29 21:13 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | +50 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 09-04 22:19 |
| Bossy-Factory 0x60ab…dcfe | No | +50 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 09-04 22:19 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +50 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-03 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | +49 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-08 16:00 |
| 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | +41 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 10-26 21:10 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $1 | $49 | 4 | 10-12 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | No | +40 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 09-04 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xea00…f22e | Yes | +34 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-15 02:36 |
| Critical-Raiment 0x2059…4d1f | No | +34 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-07 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +25 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-16 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | +25 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 09-20 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +25 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 08-16 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x7055…c9ad | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-14 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +24 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 09-18 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3d3…ba8c | No | +24 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-18 21:11 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-25 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +15 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-09 11:45 |
| Partial-Date 0xcfe2…5de8 | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-27 10:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | +14 | $3 | $4 | 3 | 10-20 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xaaa0…dea3 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-30 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbeed…296f | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-05 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d08…228e | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-08 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb90…2335 | No | +6 | $3 | $5 | 2 | 10-18 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc946…e48e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-16 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d11…46c2 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-20 08:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x2689…41eb | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-26 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x59ef…3210 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-27 15:31 |
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-27 15:31 |
| Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | +2 | -$4 | $20 | 2 | 09-25 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 18:11 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +2 | -$1 | $6 | 2 | 07-22 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 08:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fb1…2706 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 08:42 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 08:42 |
| Carefree-Path 0x5314…5db9 | No | +1 | $0 | $7 | 2 | 09-29 21:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x78bc…2585 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 22¢ | $9 | 0xcb8f49… |
| 10-26 21:10:32 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | BUY | 41 | 78¢ | $32 | 0xcb8f49… |
| 10-20 10:32:09 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0xd3797a… |
| 10-20 10:32:09 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xd3797a… |
| 10-20 08:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x1b51b3… |
| 10-20 08:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x1d11…46c2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x1b51b3… |
| 10-18 12:06:33 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x0de28b… |
| 10-18 12:06:33 | (anonymous) 0xbb90…2335 | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x0de28b… |
| 10-18 08:21:54 | (anonymous) 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xabced3… |
| 10-18 08:21:54 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xabced3… |
| 10-17 13:36:11 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 85 | 53¢ | $45 | 0xeba8d7… |
| 10-17 13:36:11 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 47¢ | $40 | 0xeba8d7… |
| 10-17 10:48:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 36 | 54¢ | $20 | 0x02e9f8… |
| 10-17 10:48:05 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 46¢ | $20 | 0x02e9f8… |
| 10-17 10:48:05 | (anonymous) 0xbb90…2335 | No | BUY | 7 | 54¢ | $4 | 0x02e9f8… |
| 10-16 18:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x45f628… |
| 10-16 18:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | No | SELL | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x45f628… |
| 10-16 15:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | No | SELL | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x7d8d2d… |
| 10-16 15:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xc946…e48e | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x7d8d2d… |
| 10-16 05:22:33 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 47¢ | $20 | 0x974e59… |
| 10-16 05:22:33 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 47¢ | $6 | 0x974e59… |
| 10-16 05:22:33 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 31 | 53¢ | $16 | 0x974e59… |
| 10-15 02:36:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xe106f8… |
| 10-15 02:36:31 | (anonymous) 0xea00…f22e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 29¢ | $10 | 0xe106f8… |
| 10-15 02:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | No | BUY | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0xe106f8… |
| 10-14 15:35:37 | (anonymous) 0x7055…c9ad | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x95d2fe… |
| 10-14 15:35:37 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x95d2fe… |
| 10-14 15:35:37 | (anonymous) 0x6538…9392 | No | SELL | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x95d2fe… |
| 10-14 14:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x6538…9392 | No | SELL | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xb05902… |
| 10-14 14:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x7055…c9ad | No | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0xb05902… |
| 10-14 14:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xb05902… |
| 10-13 08:20:19 | (anonymous) 0x87e9…d811 | No | SELL | 17 | 75¢ | $13 | 0x5a9b4c… |
| 10-13 08:20:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x5a9b4c… |
| 10-13 08:20:19 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 45 | 75¢ | $34 | 0x5a9b4c… |
| 10-12 06:06:29 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x890e55… |
| 10-12 06:06:29 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 362 | 70¢ | $253 | 0x890e55… |
| 10-12 06:06:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 369 | 30¢ | $111 | 0x890e55… |
| 10-12 06:06:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x9cb64a… |
| 10-12 06:06:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x9cb64a… |
| 10-12 06:06:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 32¢ | $30 | 0x9cb64a… |
| 10-12 06:06:26 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 138 | 68¢ | $95 | 0x9cb64a… |
| 10-09 09:48:57 | (anonymous) 0x87e9…d811 | No | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xe5bb7a… |
| 10-09 09:48:57 | (anonymous) 0x150c…1c8d | No | SELL | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xe5bb7a… |
| 10-08 16:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | BUY | 49 | 59¢ | $29 | 0xb0a433… |
| 10-08 16:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x150c…1c8d | No | SELL | 49 | 59¢ | $29 | 0xb0a433… |
| 10-07 18:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x150c…1c8d | No | SELL | 34 | 59¢ | $20 | 0xaa0700… |
| 10-07 18:06:16 | Critical-Raiment 0x2059…4d1f | No | BUY | 34 | 59¢ | $20 | 0xaa0700… |
| 10-07 05:42:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 53¢ | $8 | 0xd9b6f2… |
| 10-07 05:42:08 | (anonymous) 0x0785…ff74 | No | BUY | 79 | 53¢ | $42 | 0xd9b6f2… |
| 10-07 05:42:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 47¢ | $30 | 0xd9b6f2… |
| 10-06 16:24:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 63¢ | $9 | 0x95867f… |
| 10-06 16:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x0785…ff74 | No | BUY | 14 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x95867f… |
| 10-06 06:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x38e7aa… |
| 10-06 06:34:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 61¢ | $28 | 0x38e7aa… |
| 10-06 06:34:30 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 60¢ | $66 | 0x38e7aa… |
| 10-06 06:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x78bc…2585 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 60¢ | $34 | 0x38e7aa… |
| 10-05 19:42:53 | (anonymous) 0xd5cd…e2be | No | SELL | 2 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7bc6d5… |
| 10-05 19:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x7bc6d5… |
| 10-05 19:40:13 | Tepid-Reindeer 0xd16b…36c0 | No | SELL | 2 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x34c3d4… |
| 10-05 19:40:13 | (anonymous) 0xd5cd…e2be | No | BUY | 2 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x34c3d4… |
| 10-05 09:40:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x5242d0… |
| 10-05 09:40:19 | (anonymous) 0xbeed…296f | No | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x5242d0… |
| 10-05 09:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x5242d0… |
| 10-04 23:48:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 48 | 22¢ | $10 | 0x3a338c… |
| 10-04 23:48:01 | (anonymous) 0xd5cd…e2be | No | SELL | 48 | 22¢ | $10 | 0x3a338c… |
| 10-02 20:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xd5cd…e2be | No | BUY | 48 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x3a6dcf… |
| 10-02 20:03:29 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 63¢ | $30 | 0x3a6dcf… |
| 09-30 15:21:51 | (anonymous) 0x5296…d82c | No | SELL | 36 | 31¢ | $11 | 0xce2d19… |
| 09-30 15:21:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 36 | 31¢ | $11 | 0xce2d19… |
| 09-30 15:20:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xdb536e… |
| 09-30 15:20:47 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xdb536e… |
| 09-30 15:17:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x335b86… |
| 09-30 15:17:50 | (anonymous) 0x5296…d82c | No | SELL | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x335b86… |
| 09-29 21:13:45 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xad1ac3… |
| 09-29 21:13:45 | Carefree-Path 0x5314…5db9 | No | SELL | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xad1ac3… |
| 09-29 21:13:45 | Sick-Anticodon 0xdede…8a50 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0xad1ac3… |
| 09-29 21:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x460b…9894 | No | SELL | 25 | 41¢ | $10 | 0xad1ac3… |
| 09-29 21:13:45 | Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | No | BUY | 109 | 40¢ | $44 | 0xad1ac3… |
| 09-29 21:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xad1ac3… |
| 09-29 18:13:14 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 145 | 69¢ | $100 | 0xde53f7… |
| 09-29 18:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x150c…1c8d | No | BUY | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0xde53f7… |
| 09-29 18:13:14 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xde53f7… |
| 09-29 18:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x460b…9894 | No | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xde53f7… |
| 09-27 20:37:59 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 72¢ | $20 | 0x2fe282… |
| 09-27 20:37:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 28 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x2fe282… |
| 09-26 19:14:09 | (anonymous) 0x5296…d82c | No | BUY | 43 | 44¢ | $19 | 0x4ff789… |
| 09-26 19:14:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 56¢ | $24 | 0x4ff789… |
| 09-26 19:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x9feb…bbc3 | No | SELL | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xf21c53… |
| 09-26 19:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x5296…d82c | No | BUY | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xf21c53… |
| 09-25 14:04:41 | (anonymous) 0xd5cd…e2be | No | SELL | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x558d5a… |
| 09-25 14:04:41 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0x558d5a… |
| 09-24 11:04:57 | (anonymous) 0xd5cd…e2be | No | SELL | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x05941c… |
| 09-24 11:04:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x05941c… |
| 09-24 10:15:39 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x18f474… |
| 09-24 10:15:39 | (anonymous) 0xd5cd…e2be | No | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x18f474… |
| 09-24 10:15:39 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x18f474… |
| 09-24 10:15:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 18 | 75¢ | $13 | 0x18f474… |
| 09-24 10:15:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x18f474… |
| 09-23 22:49:20 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0xf42f9b… |
| 09-23 22:49:20 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0xf42f9b… |