Partial-Date — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$63

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-29 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

62% 0% $-10

Other

28% 0% $-10

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+32	$20	68¢	$22	+$2	06-29 13:13
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+27	$10	48¢	$13	+$3	06-27 08:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+11	$10	90¢	$10	+$0	06-09 05:58
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+11	$10	92¢	$10	+$0	06-09 05:54
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	+15	$10	51¢	$8	$-2	06-27 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	4	$170	125	125	+0	open	—	04-07 14:55
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	4	$149	116	116	+0	open	—	03-15 20:10
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$110	148	0	+148	open	—	03-06 22:38
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$99	160	0	+160	open	—	03-02 16:21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$85	144	0	+144	open	—	02-26 07:58
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$71	49	49	+0	open	—	03-27 07:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$49	29	29	+0	open	—	04-06 21:43
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	2	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	06-27 10:19
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	2	$35	60	0	+60	open	—	03-29 15:23
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	06-27 10:20
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	06-27 10:19
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	2	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	04-07 23:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	1	$28	38	0	+38	open	—	03-13 07:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	03-08 22:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	03-24 21:50
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-06 21:44
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	2	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	04-07 23:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	04-10 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	06-29 13:13
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$20	22	22	+0	Yes	$-0	03-31 07:16
Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 23:04
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 23:04
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 23:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	04-03 22:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-31 07:21
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-09 05:54
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	06-27 08:36
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	06-27 10:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$10	37	0	+37	No	$-10	03-30 20:33
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	04-14 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 13:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x748777…
06-27 10:20:08	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x2f49fc…
06-27 10:19:44	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x95f8d8…
06-27 10:19:19	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x3d0b80…
06-27 10:17:53	Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3edfda…
06-27 08:36:22	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf3d20b…
06-09 06:01:27	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0244e1…
06-09 05:58:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf86b2e…
06-09 05:54:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xae38e4…
04-14 13:24:19	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xdc8ea3…
04-10 22:33:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x7f7ded…
04-08 21:18:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf15dc6…
04-08 21:14:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4c2bce…
04-07 23:04:13	Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x1a7efd…
04-07 23:04:09	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xcd2466…
04-07 23:04:03	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x17d701…
04-07 23:03:29	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0x75d6e2…
04-07 23:02:39	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x3a3d05…
04-07 14:55:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	71¢	$23	0xce2812…
04-06 21:44:07	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7cbb92…
04-06 21:43:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x547e6c…
04-04 21:26:59	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xc85c52…
04-04 21:26:33	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8b431d…
04-04 21:26:01	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf03e4c…
04-04 21:25:07	Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x10099f…
04-03 22:05:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6a8ffd…
04-03 22:02:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc735c5…
04-01 16:54:27	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb2919a…
04-01 16:54:11	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb46872…
03-31 07:21:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xc0ae0d…
03-31 07:19:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x8d2f8f…
03-31 07:17:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb9a014…
03-31 07:16:21	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xdf0e35…
03-31 07:14:17	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa4ecd0…
03-31 07:12:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5c9dcd…
03-30 20:33:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x735fea…
03-30 20:31:45	Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" in April?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x83fcd7…
03-30 20:31:15	Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" in April?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x84d7a2…
03-30 20:30:57	Will Trump say "Jesus" in April?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x796e7a…
03-29 15:27:06	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x6fe6e4…
03-29 15:23:04	fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xac6383…
03-27 11:09:49	fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x54d156…
03-27 11:08:17	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2c5b61…
03-27 07:39:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0xa7cbc0…
03-24 21:50:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x854cc5…
03-21 09:39:21	btc updown 5m 1774085700	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe994f1…
03-21 09:38:31	btc updown 5m 1774085700	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf2ccda…
03-21 08:22:23	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	51¢	$16	0xbcbdc0…
03-21 08:22:09	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	51¢	$32	0x952d13…
03-21 08:16:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	25	70¢	$17	0x389134…
03-15 20:12:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	49	89¢	$44	0xea6bc4…
03-15 20:10:31	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	116	38¢	$44	0x8e20e4…
03-13 07:03:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x124b14…
03-08 22:56:33	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x1b8db4…
03-08 22:56:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xedb870…
03-06 22:39:27	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0xa01a9f…
03-06 22:38:49	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	109	78¢	$85	0x939013…
03-05 07:28:53	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xaf2335…
03-03 15:01:49	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x89bcad…
03-03 15:01:11	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc55edb…
03-03 07:47:53	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x57e8c0…
03-02 16:21:27	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	160	62¢	$99	0x1cd34d…
02-26 07:58:42	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	59¢	$85	0xde82df…
02-16 19:37:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xecaf93…
02-05 15:46:35	btc updown 15m 1770306300	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xf93f24…
02-05 15:28:07	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xae3235…