Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$422,119
$66,891 in 24h
Trades
6,385
Unique wallets
1,399
Liquidity
$17,669
Latest YES mid
94¢
Latest NO mid
6¢
End date
2026-07-19
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 22:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+8.1¢
(top1%: 92% YES on $60.9K
vs crowd: 84% YES on $213.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 45 | $79.7K | $7.4K | +$72.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 143 | $34.5K | $5.1K | +$29.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 235 | $33.4K | $11.3K | +$22.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 972 | $31.5K | $10.4K | +$21.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 22 | $56.1K | $4.9K | +$51.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 60 | $6.5K | $2.0K | +$4.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 71 | $9.4K | $1.8K | +$7.6K |
| Median | 186 | $8.1K | $1.2K | +$6.8K |
| Below median | 247 | $6.8K | $5.5K | +$1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 59 | $1.9K | $2.2K | $306 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 62 | $13.6K | $2.4K | +$11.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 36 | $25.5K | $3.1K | +$22.3K |
| unranked | 652 | $51.2K | $10.9K | +$40.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete-Fly 0x6bab…1292 | Yes | +30,921 | $26,969 | $36,369 | 44 | 06-09 15:29 |
| Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | +15,000 | $13,450 | $13,450 | 2 | 06-07 18:14 |
| Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | +13,122 | $2,068 | $2,068 | 43 | 06-01 08:32 |
| Complete-Fly 0x6bab…1292 | No | +11,994 | $1,745 | $1,745 | 2 | 05-28 12:19 |
| Limited-Landmine 0xbeca…a1b7 | Yes | +9,098 | $8,400 | $8,400 | 1 | 05-30 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa487…474b | No | +8,689 | $1,151 | $1,151 | 40 | 05-30 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ff1…ee7a | Yes | +7,645 | $6,781 | $6,781 | 74 | 06-09 16:26 |
| Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | No | +4,684 | $746 | $746 | 49 | 06-02 17:22 |
| Unacceptable-Barn 0xdf80…3259 | No | +4,146 | $895 | $895 | 5 | 05-28 01:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c01…797d | No | +3,861 | $425 | $425 | 1 | 06-06 16:14 |
| Cruel-Overweight 0x6128…5a8d | Yes | +3,500 | $3,290 | $3,290 | 1 | 06-09 15:29 |
| Tedious-Necessity 0x1851…7016 | Yes | +3,481 | $2,605 | $2,605 | 3 | 05-28 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | +3,440 | $3,152 | $3,152 | 123 | 06-09 10:06 |
| Tan-Server 0xbd04…fbb0 | Yes | +3,400 | $2,793 | $2,793 | 2 | 05-29 20:09 |
| Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | +3,318 | $240 | $835 | 23 | 06-09 22:59 |
| Sizzling-Debris 0xe31a…adff | No | +3,125 | $750 | $1,250 | 5 | 05-28 15:58 |
| Quarrelsome-Antechamber 0x1d34…7c14 | Yes | +3,061 | $2,527 | $2,527 | 13 | 05-30 14:29 |
| Kosher-Refuse 0x2117…5c26 | Yes | +3,028 | $2,816 | $2,816 | 6 | 06-09 14:09 |
| Appropriate-Banner 0x160d…6f25 | No | +2,932 | $212 | $511 | 7 | 06-09 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7313…49d2 | No | +2,857 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-09 22:59 |
| Serpentine-Capitulation 0x711b…bcec | Yes | +2,549 | $2,294 | $2,294 | 1 | 06-07 17:30 |
| Beneficial-Discrepancy 0x30d6…8c9d | Yes | +2,300 | $2,040 | $2,040 | 17 | 05-31 12:34 |
| Nimble-Soliloquy 0x9c26…74bc | Yes | +2,010 | $1,605 | $1,605 | 40 | 05-30 12:14 |
| Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | No | +2,000 | $370 | $370 | 10 | 05-29 18:35 |
| Utilized-Shallows 0x68d3…55b0 | No | +1,818 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-03 17:13 |
| Upset-Hubris 0x32d8…2693 | No | +1,810 | $200 | $200 | 6 | 05-30 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf0b…78fc | No | +1,667 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-06 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x85ef…a41f | No | +1,473 | $107 | $107 | 2 | 06-09 07:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | No | +1,424 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 06-09 04:16 |
| Dual-Antechamber 0x2209…9175 | No | +1,418 | $468 | $468 | 11 | 05-28 13:23 |
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | +1,412 | $1,271 | $1,271 | 5 | 06-08 18:43 |
| Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | +1,400 | $96 | $96 | 11 | 06-09 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc46d…d906 | No | +1,356 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 06-06 10:01 |
| Woozy-Smog 0x397e…fe89 | Yes | +1,233 | $1,023 | $1,023 | 2 | 05-29 15:38 |
| Clumsy-Push 0x835a…530a | Yes | +1,220 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-30 10:40 |
| Truthful-Prefix 0x205b…8edf | Yes | +1,196 | $1,134 | $2,722 | 14 | 06-09 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa87b…16f8 | No | +1,179 | $253 | $253 | 1 | 05-28 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe26c…1903 | Yes | +1,119 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-01 04:28 |
| High-Episode 0x6c17…6a7e | Yes | +1,111 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-08 17:29 |
| Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | +1,111 | $978 | $978 | 1 | 06-06 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xafa0…5cec | Yes | +1,056 | $939 | $939 | 14 | 06-02 20:20 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +1,045 | $804 | $804 | 47 | 05-31 12:34 |
| Bouncy-Morning 0xbe48…2ac2 | No | +1,044 | $64 | $662 | 84 | 06-09 15:31 |
| Murky-Cynic 0xddbb…32af | No | +1,000 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-28 20:00 |
| Bumpy-Mangrove 0xa664…f849 | No | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 5 | 06-02 20:19 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +1,000 | $180 | $180 | 12 | 05-30 04:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 29 | 06-06 22:48 |
| Ashamed-Dioxide 0xefdc…9776 | Yes | +995 | $804 | $2,571 | 13 | 06-09 18:09 |
| Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | Yes | +985 | $827 | $1,227 | 30 | 06-09 01:51 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +944 | $207 | $207 | 45 | 05-30 22:49 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +905 | $169 | $209 | 19 | 06-09 03:10 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | +900 | $801 | $801 | 1 | 06-02 03:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 22:59:39 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 2,857 | 7¢ | $200 | 0xcf7e9a… |
| 06-09 22:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x7313…49d2 | No | BUY | 2,857 | 7¢ | $200 | 0xcf7e9a… |
| 06-09 22:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x0dff…e4a3 | No | BUY | 46 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x65e2f2… |
| 06-09 22:46:34 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 46 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x65e2f2… |
| 06-09 22:42:18 | Acceptable-Facelift 0xa79a…d72a | No | SELL | 143 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x54e90a… |
| 06-09 22:42:18 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | BUY | 143 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x54e90a… |
| 06-09 22:19:52 | Tedious-Coast 0xcfef…4dfe | Yes | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xf52803… |
| 06-09 22:19:52 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xf52803… |
| 06-09 20:38:15 | Fearful-Centimeter 0xd049…3366 | No | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x65c12d… |
| 06-09 20:38:15 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x65c12d… |
| 06-09 20:27:27 | Dual-Septicaemia 0xb62b…1ebd | No | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0ab002… |
| 06-09 20:27:27 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0ab002… |
| 06-09 20:19:15 | (anonymous) 0x848b…648a | No | SELL | 82 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x686a19… |
| 06-09 20:19:15 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x686a19… |
| 06-09 20:19:15 | Cruel-Notion 0x0331…5fe3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x686a19… |
| 06-09 20:19:15 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x686a19… |
| 06-09 20:04:27 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf725fa… |
| 06-09 20:04:27 | Expensive-Owl 0xf915…0c01 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xf725fa… |
| 06-09 19:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3a5…e23c | No | BUY | 143 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x521102… |
| 06-09 19:41:10 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 143 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x521102… |
| 06-09 19:39:31 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xae2a36… |
| 06-09 19:39:31 | Instructive-Building 0xf185…9a4a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xae2a36… |
| 06-09 19:39:09 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5a0198… |
| 06-09 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x9a9c…1c28 | No | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5a0198… |
| 06-09 19:32:43 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 122 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xc93e9d… |
| 06-09 19:32:43 | Starchy-Blush 0x0d9e…4deb | No | SELL | 122 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xc93e9d… |
| 06-09 19:32:33 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb913cb… |
| 06-09 19:32:33 | (anonymous) 0x57f7…7983 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xb913cb… |
| 06-09 19:26:55 | Excitable-Soul 0xb559…4d12 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0x443bac… |
| 06-09 19:26:55 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x443bac… |
| 06-09 19:02:16 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb945b2… |
| 06-09 19:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x46aa…74bc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb945b2… |
| 06-09 18:51:21 | Watery-Breakdown 0x427c…8459 | No | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf708ce… |
| 06-09 18:51:21 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf708ce… |
| 06-09 18:45:46 | Stimulating-Carload 0x7f7f…5505 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x975842… |
| 06-09 18:45:46 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x975842… |
| 06-09 18:41:46 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5d49b8… |
| 06-09 18:41:46 | Disgusting-Precipitation 0x11aa…7383 | No | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5d49b8… |
| 06-09 18:39:19 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x370250… |
| 06-09 18:39:19 | Lites 0x147e…59da | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x370250… |
| 06-09 18:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | Yes | SELL | 31 | 93¢ | $29 | 0xe6f728… |
| 06-09 18:34:28 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 31 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xe6f728… |
| 06-09 18:31:30 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3089e1… |
| 06-09 18:31:30 | Narrow-Divine 0xbb99…8889 | No | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3089e1… |
| 06-09 18:29:36 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 420 | 6¢ | $25 | 0x499b38… |
| 06-09 18:29:36 | (anonymous) 0xc045…95b2 | No | SELL | 429 | 6¢ | $26 | 0x499b38… |
| 06-09 18:29:36 | (anonymous) 0xf885…d719 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x499b38… |
| 06-09 18:23:58 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6a5b64… |
| 06-09 18:23:58 | Disgusting-Precipitation 0x11aa…7383 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6a5b64… |
| 06-09 18:22:54 | (anonymous) 0xf885…d719 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xf9ef84… |
| 06-09 18:22:54 | (anonymous) 0x814e…6ea3 | No | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf9ef84… |
| 06-09 18:11:22 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xee4e13… |
| 06-09 18:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xb120…18da | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xee4e13… |
| 06-09 18:09:36 | Ashamed-Dioxide 0xefdc…9776 | Yes | SELL | 950 | 93¢ | $884 | 0xbeba30… |
| 06-09 18:09:36 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 950 | 7¢ | $66 | 0xbeba30… |
| 06-09 18:09:33 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4e1ad1… |
| 06-09 18:09:33 | Extra-Small-Rudiment 0x5dda…c9e0 | No | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4e1ad1… |
| 06-09 18:09:24 | Deficient-Pagan 0xdd4b…3568 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 93¢ | $31 | 0xa9837c… |
| 06-09 18:09:24 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xa9837c… |
| 06-09 17:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x9d88…49e0 | No | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x59c00a… |
| 06-09 17:51:13 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x59c00a… |
| 06-09 17:31:24 | Twin-Tin 0x4cea…4c34 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x66437d… |
| 06-09 17:31:24 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x66437d… |
| 06-09 16:53:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xedf015… |
| 06-09 16:53:28 | (anonymous) 0xa8d8…1cb7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xedf015… |
| 06-09 16:49:52 | Strict-Nonbeliever 0xd399…3f46 | No | SELL | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x2123c6… |
| 06-09 16:49:52 | Lone-Finding-Attenuation 0xb6a1…ab16 | No | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x2123c6… |
| 06-09 16:39:27 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6ce6e7… |
| 06-09 16:39:27 | Second-Hand-Answer 0x245e…82ff | No | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6ce6e7… |
| 06-09 16:37:12 | (anonymous) 0x6f46…cf72 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x953091… |
| 06-09 16:37:12 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x953091… |
| 06-09 16:30:30 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xee710d… |
| 06-09 16:30:30 | (anonymous) 0x2336…9df7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xee710d… |
| 06-09 16:28:48 | Detailed-Transportation 0x638f…ff9f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x616fad… |
| 06-09 16:28:48 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x616fad… |
| 06-09 16:26:52 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 384 | 7¢ | $27 | 0x96c459… |
| 06-09 16:26:52 | Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | Yes | SELL | 578 | 93¢ | $538 | 0x96c459… |
| 06-09 16:26:52 | Cruel-Notion 0x0331…5fe3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x96c459… |
| 06-09 16:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x0ff1…ee7a | Yes | BUY | 65 | 93¢ | $60 | 0x96c459… |
| 06-09 16:26:52 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x96c459… |
| 06-09 16:26:52 | Detailed-Transportation 0x638f…ff9f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x96c459… |
| 06-09 16:23:46 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2a8efe… |
| 06-09 16:23:46 | Vivacious-Stealth 0x21a5…9a18 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2a8efe… |
| 06-09 16:14:49 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x767772… |
| 06-09 16:14:49 | Minor-Detour 0xa55c…b6b1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x767772… |
| 06-09 16:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x6c2f…bed7 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x6adb26… |
| 06-09 16:08:15 | Minor-Detour 0xa55c…b6b1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x6adb26… |
| 06-09 16:08:15 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6adb26… |
| 06-09 16:07:45 | Flowery-Inscription 0x5352…388f | No | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x896b5f… |
| 06-09 16:07:45 | Formal-Footage 0x42c4…8ce2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x896b5f… |
| 06-09 16:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x6c2f…bed7 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x896b5f… |
| 06-09 15:35:49 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xbde2fd… |
| 06-09 15:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xbde2fd… |
| 06-09 15:31:12 | Bouncy-Morning 0xbe48…2ac2 | No | SELL | 58 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x4ad2ef… |
| 06-09 15:31:12 | Truthful-Prefix 0x205b…8edf | Yes | SELL | 58 | 92¢ | $53 | 0x4ad2ef… |
| 06-09 15:29:58 | Dutiful-Populist 0xc014…5ff4 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x1e0f34… |
| 06-09 15:29:58 | Bouncy-Morning 0xbe48…2ac2 | No | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1e0f34… |
| 06-09 15:29:51 | Bouncy-Morning 0xbe48…2ac2 | No | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa2c7c1… |
| 06-09 15:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x3730…af98 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xa2c7c1… |
| 06-09 15:29:49 | Vivacious-Stealth 0x21a5…9a18 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x4c13b9… |