Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
65.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,826
lifetime
Volume
$9.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$33
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 07-02 16:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
53%
Politics
43% 40% +$55
Sports
2%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -9 $-8 100¢ $-9 $-1 06-03 19:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -9 $-5 60¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 04:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +18 $6 24¢ $4 $-1 06-02 11:58
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +8 $5 47¢ $4 $-1 07-02 12:31
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$0 06-18 01:41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -3 $-2 84¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 19:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 42¢ $2 $-0 06-04 02:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-13 04:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $2 26¢ $1 $-1 06-23 18:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-01 08:23