Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
65.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,516
lifetime
Volume
$8.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$48
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-09 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
53%
Politics
43% 40% +$55
Sports
2%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -9 $-8 96¢ $-9 $-1 06-03 19:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $7 82¢ $7 $-0 06-08 02:38
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +8 $7 80¢ $7 $-0 06-09 22:23
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +8 $7 74¢ $6 $-1 06-07 16:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +18 $6 28¢ $5 $-1 06-02 11:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-3 64¢ $-4 $-1 06-04 02:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -4 $-2 62¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 03:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 00:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 06-04 02:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 00:48
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 $-1 71¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 20:33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -14 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-06 13:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 16¢ $-0 +$1 06-09 21:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-07 19:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -0 $-0 98¢ $-0 $-0 06-01 00:49