Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
65.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,110
lifetime
Volume
$9.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 07-23 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
52%
Politics
42% 40% +$55
Sports
3%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -9 $-5 66¢ $-6 $-1 07-05 09:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +18 $6 24¢ $4 $-1 06-02 11:58
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -6 $-5 66¢ $-4 +$1 07-10 22:57
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$0 06-18 01:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 36¢ $2 $-0 06-04 02:56
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 07-23 17:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 70¢ $1 $-0 06-13 04:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $2 $0 $-1 06-23 18:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 07-01 08:23