Realized P&L
-$317
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
1,027
Trades
5,905
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 11-13 09:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
56% 56% -$174
Politics
37% 55% -$147
Sports
3% 70% +$34
Crypto
3% 68% -$26
Tech
1% 57% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -9 -$5 90¢ $-8 -$3 07-05 09:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $5 54¢ $5 $0 10-06 17:55
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $5 44¢ $3 -$2 09-18 01:58
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? Yes +3 $2 75¢ $2 +$0 11-10 09:52
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6 $4 32¢ $2 -$2 10-03 20:56
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +8 $2 22¢ $2 $0 11-11 19:07
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 11-06 00:59
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? Yes +3 $1 55¢ $2 +$0 11-13 09:02
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +11 $1 11¢ $1 $0 11-11 19:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 11-05 21:38
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +25 $5 3¢ $1 -$5 09-18 02:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $3 11¢ $1 -$2 06-04 02:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-07 16:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1 -$4 7¢ $0 +$4 05-13 05:10