Realized P&L (30d)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
55.8%
Resolved (30d)
10
Trades (30d)
26
5,892 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$66
$13.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$21
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 11-06 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
56% 56% -$172
Politics
37% 55% -$147
Sports
3% 70% +$34
Crypto
3% 68% -$26
Tech
1% 57% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -9 -$5 90¢ $-8 -$3 07-05 09:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $5 55¢ $5 $0 10-06 17:55
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $5 39¢ $2 -$3 09-18 01:58
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-06 00:59
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6 $4 19¢ $1 -$3 10-03 20:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $3 15¢ $1 -$2 06-04 02:56
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +25 $5 4¢ $1 -$5 09-18 02:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 11-05 21:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 08-07 16:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1 -$4 8¢ $0 +$4 05-13 05:10