Realized P&L
+$209
Unrealized P&L
+$72
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
10
Trades
4,216
lifetime
Volume
$131.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$874
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
71% 88% +$206
Other
24% 100% +$0
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2,080 $-660 29¢ $-593 +$67 06-09 05:18
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +121 $101 90¢ $108 +$7 06-01 04:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +50 $46 93¢ $46 +$0 06-10 03:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 06-09 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $16 46¢ $16 $-0 06-09 23:54
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $14 16¢ $15 +$1 06-02 16:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-02 22:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-05 16:44
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-01 12:38
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 05-31 16:51
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$2 05-28 13:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 05-29 16:39
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 16:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 22:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -40 $-3 $-3 $-0 05-31 02:41
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +35 $9 $2 $-7 05-28 14:39