Realized P&L
+$209
Unrealized P&L
+$361
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
10
Trades
4,568
lifetime
Volume
$143.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$842
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 10:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
65% 88% +$206
Other
27% 100% +$0
Tech
4%
Sports
3% 100% +$3
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2,661 $-789 16¢ $-439 +$350 06-30 06:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -156 $-146 94¢ $-147 $-1 06-17 15:02
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +121 $101 90¢ $109 +$9 06-01 04:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 06-10 03:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $24 44¢ $24 $-0 06-26 04:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 $-0 06-19 10:36
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $10 14¢ $14 +$3 06-30 21:02
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-01 12:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +20 $15 46¢ $9 $-5 06-15 09:53
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 16:25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10 $2 54¢ $5 +$3 06-15 06:23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 22:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-26 06:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -40 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-31 02:41