Realized P&L
+$209
Unrealized P&L
+$231
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
10
Trades
4,926
lifetime
Volume
$154.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$3.02K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
61% 88% +$206
Other
31% 100% +$0
Tech
4%
Sports
3% 100% +$3
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +1,384 $1,260 90¢ $1.3K $-7 07-20 06:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2,705 $-821 26¢ $-690 +$131 07-21 11:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +280 $198 88¢ $248 +$49 07-22 08:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,680 $136 12¢ $193 +$57 07-19 10:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -156 $-146 95¢ $-148 $-2 06-17 15:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +150 $142 96¢ $144 +$2 07-20 18:44
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +151 $127 92¢ $139 +$12 07-17 01:11
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$0 07-16 09:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40 $33 72¢ $29 $-4 07-13 18:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +65 $28 36¢ $23 $-5 07-05 10:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +20 $15 74¢ $15 +$0 07-19 06:08
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 07-09 22:14
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 16:25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +20 $15 42¢ $8 $-6 06-15 09:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10 $2 58¢ $6 +$3 06-15 06:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 06-26 06:08
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 05-30 22:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -40 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-31 02:41
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +10 $0 $1 +$0 07-10 15:46