Terrific-Epoxy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$209

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

5,115

lifetime

Volume

$163.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

58% 88% +$206

Other

34% 100% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	260	$28.8K	16,519	19,116	-2,598	open	—	02-03 04:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	107	$9.7K	37,938	325	+37,613	open	—	03-08 21:43
will iran announce a new supreme leader by march 31 2026	122	$8.7K	20,966	250	+20,716	open	—	03-08 21:49
another us strike on venezuela on january 4	38	$5.9K	12,127	310	+11,817	open	—	01-05 01:52
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	85	$5.2K	10,829	1,500	+9,329	open	—	03-05 08:34
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	29	$4.4K	8,867	171	+8,696	open	—	01-29 16:56
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	78	$4.3K	6,561	425	+6,136	open	—	06-24 23:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	114	$4.1K	6,707	4,527	+2,180	open	—	08-09 09:57
Iran leadership change by December 31?	92	$3.6K	6,685	7,657	-972	open	—	08-07 01:21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	50	$3.5K	1,944	1,934	+10	open	—	08-06 11:08
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	30	$3.2K	3,567	1,012	+2,555	open	—	01-02 16:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	50	$3.1K	6,329	438	+5,891	open	—	03-06 04:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	45	$3.0K	5,770	4,490	+1,280	open	—	02-01 01:13
lol t1a nsea 2026 03 03 game1	8	$2.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-03 08:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	149	$2.5K	18,609	17,364	+1,245	open	—	04-30 20:32
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	50	$2.2K	1,777	2,110	-333	open	—	01-21 15:25
will trump visit china by march 31	29	$2.1K	1,170	1,216	-46	open	—	03-24 06:04
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	18	$2.1K	1,143	1,090	+53	open	—	05-11 01:47
lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29 game2	4	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	06-29 07:12
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-03 01:09
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	62	$1.7K	1,080	1,032	+48	open	—	02-20 10:42
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	12	$1.7K	1,105	685	+420	open	—	02-10 07:06
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	6	$1.7K	40	2,025	-1,985	open	—	02-02 18:26
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	30	$1.7K	1,880	1,302	+578	open	—	02-01 01:37
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	14	$1.5K	3,470	20	+3,450	open	—	01-08 10:26
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	126	$1.5K	21,017	16,280	+4,737	open	—	02-28 08:37
lol blg tes 2026 08 07	3	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	08-07 14:32
will israel strike gaza on january 9 2026	9	$1.2K	5,440	2,306	+3,134	open	—	01-12 00:17
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 5 2026	45	$1.1K	3,576	0	+3,576	open	—	03-05 19:07
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	35	$1.1K	810	440	+370	open	—	03-06 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 06:27:45	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd05323…
08-09 17:28:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x9be166…
08-09 12:31:36	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game2	Team WE	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x9f2503…
08-09 12:30:45	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game2	Team WE	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x2738ec…
08-09 12:29:06	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game2	Team WE	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9b24f6…
08-09 12:29:01	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game2	Team WE	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x20c91e…
08-09 12:28:58	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game2	Team WE	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc80662…
08-09 11:59:09	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game1	Team WE	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x1dc041…
08-09 11:47:06	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game1	Team WE	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xc8ff6e…
08-09 11:47:04	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game1	Team WE	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe2c7f0…
08-09 11:39:54	lol jdg we 2026 08 09 game1	Team WE	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x51d525…
08-09 10:51:34	lol tt tes 2026 08 09	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0xe7dee3…
08-09 10:51:31	lol tt tes 2026 08 09	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x3d5d4c…
08-09 10:51:27	lol tt tes 2026 08 09	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0xad83a6…
08-09 09:57:22	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x9e1423…
08-09 09:55:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	210	96¢	$202	0x0cfec5…
08-08 13:27:24	lol blg edg 2026 08 08 game2	EDward Gaming	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x159bdb…
08-08 13:12:22	lol blg edg 2026 08 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6c206b…
08-08 12:28:57	lol blg edg 2026 08 08 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5b73fa…
08-08 12:26:55	lol blg edg 2026 08 08 game1	EDward Gaming	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc4b0a3…
08-08 12:20:03	lol blg edg 2026 08 08 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8503ea…
08-08 12:18:37	lol blg edg 2026 08 08 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x22020e…
08-08 12:18:36	lol blg edg 2026 08 08 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3425b7…
08-08 11:12:48	lol lgd al 2026 08 08	LGD Gaming	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd1ae6…
08-08 11:01:07	lol lgd al 2026 08 08	Anyone's Legend	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x26da51…
08-08 11:00:28	lol lgd al 2026 08 08	Anyone's Legend	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x15d463…
08-08 10:59:51	lol lgd al 2026 08 08	Anyone's Legend	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x894ffb…
08-08 10:31:39	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc8135d…
08-08 10:29:25	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc6e07e…
08-08 10:28:12	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe45337…
08-08 10:27:52	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x475c2a…
08-08 10:26:04	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0d0cb4…
08-08 10:25:21	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x79a599…
08-08 10:24:13	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x285ec5…
08-08 10:18:01	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x640a75…
08-08 10:15:45	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x778b5e…
08-08 09:33:16	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xc5cd06…
08-08 09:28:19	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game2	T1	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x03fa70…
08-08 09:25:24	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x02ac1d…
08-08 09:25:18	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x31133a…
08-08 09:15:19	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game2	T1	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xde012d…
08-08 06:56:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x864980…
08-07 14:32:55	lol blg tes 2026 08 07	Top Esports	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x2b5147…
08-07 14:17:27	lol blg tes 2026 08 07 game2	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x859c9d…
08-07 14:12:09	lol blg tes 2026 08 07 game2	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb2e31d…
08-07 13:25:36	lol blg tes 2026 08 07 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf36470…
08-07 12:08:45	lol we tt 2026 08 07	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x8945d1…
08-07 12:02:39	lol we tt 2026 08 07	Team WE	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x848baa…
08-07 11:40:10	lol we tt 2026 08 07 game2	Team WE	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xec988f…
08-07 11:03:46	lol we tt 2026 08 07 game2	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa979ef…
08-07 11:03:31	lol we tt 2026 08 07 game2	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3bb1e1…
08-07 10:58:07	lol we tt 2026 08 07 game2	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x056dd5…
08-07 01:21:40	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	96	15¢	$14	0xf8c978…
08-07 00:02:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x827b38…
08-06 17:03:26	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5b50c6…
08-06 16:58:41	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x3ed0a1…
08-06 16:19:18	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0x611580…
08-06 16:08:29	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	175	15¢	$26	0x6018cc…
08-06 14:16:56	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	130	15¢	$19	0xaa593b…
08-06 11:08:30	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0x19fc57…
08-06 11:04:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	37	91¢	$34	0xb62562…
08-06 07:49:30	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xc11133…
08-06 07:48:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1f8a90…
08-06 06:49:41	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x4501af…
08-06 05:22:11	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	133	91¢	$121	0x10b14f…
08-06 02:53:12	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x9b8e23…
08-06 02:35:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x8fbd13…
08-06 02:22:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xc7ba54…
08-05 07:53:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xe25347…
08-05 02:45:59	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa2d829…
08-04 06:10:29	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfd959f…
08-04 01:22:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x8a88c2…
08-03 23:24:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xd1c00c…
08-03 17:51:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x99fceb…
08-03 06:32:36	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0xcb74c6…
08-03 06:17:18	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x7121be…
08-03 06:07:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x49447b…
08-03 05:04:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xdf84b8…
08-03 02:05:09	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x6ae16e…
08-03 01:39:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x0aec4c…
08-02 23:41:12	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc1d7a9…
08-02 17:51:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x448827…
08-02 11:44:29	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb42f85…
08-02 06:22:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x8470d2…
08-01 16:02:26	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x5e9da1…
08-01 14:19:47	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	174	91¢	$158	0x16cbae…
08-01 12:47:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x610c6e…
08-01 07:29:21	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0x5fccfe…
08-01 07:28:50	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xcbd8ed…
08-01 06:04:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe04481…
08-01 06:04:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf7180b…
08-01 06:04:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2bc240…
08-01 02:28:56	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,295	86¢	$1,114	0x026a62…
07-31 14:48:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x703014…
07-31 10:18:53	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xb1a2bf…
07-31 07:53:50	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc7f086…
07-31 06:16:50	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x602394…
07-31 02:47:26	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xf057af…
07-31 02:47:26	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf057af…
07-30 14:51:08	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xf774fe…