Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$73,017
$17 in 24h
Trades
792
Unique wallets
270
Liquidity
$10,108
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-30 04:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $28
vs crowd: 6% YES on $36.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $14 | $68 | $54 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $32 | $29 | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $103 | $5.3K | $5.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 227 | $1.9K | $29.3K | $27.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $28 | $19 | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $44 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 52 | $8 | $249 | $241 |
| Below median | 22 | $141 | $710 | $570 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $25 | $478 | $453 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $2 | $24 | $22 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $26 | $26 |
| unranked | 165 | $1.8K | $32.1K | $30.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +605 | $23 | $23 | 41 | 07-04 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3285…f63d | No | +415 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 07-23 10:07 |
| Perfect-Snow 0x588d…563d | Yes | +280 | $12 | $12 | 6 | 07-15 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1a6…3a86 | Yes | +127 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf746…411c | Yes | +110 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-29 19:24 |
| Beneficial-Welcome 0x7144…6624 | Yes | +88 | $3 | $3 | 17 | 07-23 10:07 |
| Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | +73 | $68 | $115 | 6 | 07-12 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd867…842f | Yes | +63 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-30 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x9081…4774 | Yes | +57 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-22 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x453c…efe1 | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 07-11 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x280d…9faa | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-30 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xe920…5ee7 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-12 02:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b56…4a30 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4eb2…c39f | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-12 10:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b41…791c | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-11 00:36 |
| Shocking-Foreigner 0x6c83…9655 | No | +51 | $47 | $53 | 4 | 07-05 05:08 |
| Broken-Leaf 0x9c5e…5b82 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 07-22 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe621…19ff | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-29 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x505e…7dda | No | +45 | $43 | $59 | 3 | 07-25 05:40 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-30 06:10 |
| Cuddly-Twine 0x3810…4d0c | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 9 | 06-30 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +36 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-21 05:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5120…d51e | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 11:59 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-31 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 08:40 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-04 09:04 |
| Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | +29 | $27 | $47 | 5 | 07-29 19:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 10:07 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 07-05 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-28 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-28 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +19 | $-0 | $7 | 9 | 07-30 04:17 |
| Wry-Councilor 0xf2dd…06c3 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 05:07 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-31 06:16 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-31 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-31 19:27 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $-1 | $20 | 17 | 07-23 10:07 |
| Nutty-Cabinet 0x90f8…c12b | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xdef3…f121 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $4 | 21 | 07-21 05:37 |
| Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 21:38 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-19 14:24 |
| Hopeful-Hellcat 0x1c44…5c97 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 15:05 |
| Productive-Semicolon 0x4861…ca41 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 07:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 04:17:27 | (anonymous) 0xd867…842f | Yes | BUY | 63 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xedab57… |
| 07-30 04:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xedab57… |
| 07-30 04:17:27 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xedab57… |
| 07-30 04:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xedab57… |
| 07-29 19:24:18 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3d1c43… |
| 07-29 19:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3d1c43… |
| 07-29 19:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3d1c43… |
| 07-29 19:24:18 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3d1c43… |
| 07-29 19:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xe621…19ff | No | BUY | 49 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x3d1c43… |
| 07-29 19:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xf746…411c | Yes | BUY | 110 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x3d1c43… |
| 07-29 19:24:18 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x3d1c43… |
| 07-25 05:40:00 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x73fd29… |
| 07-25 05:40:00 | (anonymous) 0x505e…7dda | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x73fd29… |
| 07-25 05:34:15 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8cce92… |
| 07-25 05:34:15 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8cce92… |
| 07-25 05:30:37 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x60a66d… |
| 07-25 05:30:37 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x60a66d… |
| 07-25 05:27:06 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb206a0… |
| 07-25 05:27:06 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb206a0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x3285…f63d | No | BUY | 415 | 96¢ | $400 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | (anonymous) 0xfb00…584c | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x3739…0ff8 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x5e05…b9e1 | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | Beneficial-Welcome 0x7144…6624 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-23 10:07:25 | Modern-Airplane 0x4578…8d09 | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xf8d9d0… |
| 07-22 11:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x9081…4774 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x330439… |
| 07-22 11:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | SELL | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x330439… |
| 07-22 11:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x9081…4774 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf28985… |
| 07-22 11:07:46 | Broken-Leaf 0x9c5e…5b82 | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0xf28985… |
| 07-22 05:07:03 | Wry-Councilor 0xf2dd…06c3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe8fd18… |
| 07-22 05:07:03 | Broken-Leaf 0x9c5e…5b82 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xe8fd18… |
| 07-22 05:07:03 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe8fd18… |
| 07-21 05:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x031528… |
| 07-21 05:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x031528… |
| 07-21 05:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x031528… |
| 07-19 18:13:09 | (anonymous) 0xb867…169d | Yes | SELL | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1481f3… |
| 07-19 18:13:09 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1481f3… |
| 07-19 18:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1481f3… |
| 07-16 08:25:50 | Modern-Airplane 0x4578…8d09 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x9727f1… |
| 07-16 08:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9727f1… |
| 07-16 01:53:22 | Modern-Airplane 0x4578…8d09 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x67f6e7… |
| 07-16 01:53:22 | Sweet-Sector 0xb072…5f3b | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x67f6e7… |
| 07-15 23:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb2710c… |
| 07-15 23:40:11 | Modern-Airplane 0x4578…8d09 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xb2710c… |
| 07-15 23:40:11 | Perfect-Snow 0x588d…563d | Yes | BUY | 127 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xb2710c… |
| 07-15 23:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x3739…0ff8 | No | BUY | 36 | 96¢ | $34 | 0xb2710c… |
| 07-15 23:40:11 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb2710c… |
| 07-15 23:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x5e05…b9e1 | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xb2710c… |
| 07-14 10:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x3739…0ff8 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x105ac3… |
| 07-14 10:50:10 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x105ac3… |
| 07-14 10:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x505e…7dda | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x105ac3… |
| 07-12 11:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xaba09e… |
| 07-12 11:18:16 | Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xaba09e… |
| 07-12 10:39:17 | (anonymous) 0x505e…7dda | No | BUY | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0xf9f174… |
| 07-12 10:39:17 | (anonymous) 0x4eb2…c39f | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf9f174… |
| 07-12 10:39:17 | (anonymous) 0x965d…7f4e | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0xf9f174… |
| 07-11 02:12:59 | (anonymous) 0xfb00…584c | No | BUY | 34 | 97¢ | $33 | 0x3fb741… |
| 07-11 02:12:59 | Poised-Halt 0x80c9…8f9b | No | SELL | 76 | 96¢ | $73 | 0x3fb741… |
| 07-11 02:12:59 | (anonymous) 0x4eb2…c39f | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x3fb741… |
| 07-11 00:36:11 | Perfect-Snow 0x588d…563d | Yes | BUY | 111 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x3a3ebc… |
| 07-11 00:36:11 | (anonymous) 0x453c…efe1 | No | BUY | 56 | 97¢ | $54 | 0x3a3ebc… |
| 07-11 00:36:11 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3a3ebc… |
| 07-11 00:36:11 | (anonymous) 0x2b41…791c | No | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x3a3ebc… |
| 07-11 00:36:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3a3ebc… |
| 07-10 11:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x2b41…791c | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x1ab720… |
| 07-10 11:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x5120…d51e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1ab720… |
| 07-09 13:35:32 | Cuddly-Roadway 0x4c9c…e55c | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0a3ba4… |
| 07-09 13:35:32 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0a3ba4… |
| 07-08 05:06:59 | Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xda6d15… |
| 07-08 05:06:59 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xda6d15… |
| 07-07 03:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x4297…4be1 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xde7d67… |
| 07-07 03:29:17 | (anonymous) 0xdef3…f121 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xde7d67… |
| 07-05 23:24:38 | Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x090494… |
| 07-05 23:24:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x090494… |
| 07-05 23:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x393b23… |
| 07-05 23:19:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x393b23… |
| 07-05 05:16:17 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf07fd8… |
| 07-05 05:16:17 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf07fd8… |
| 07-05 05:08:32 | Shocking-Foreigner 0x6c83…9655 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa3ba42… |
| 07-05 05:08:32 | Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $17 | 0xa3ba42… |
| 07-05 05:08:32 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa3ba42… |
| 07-04 08:00:14 | (anonymous) 0xfb00…584c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xfda260… |
| 07-04 08:00:14 | Free-Tent 0x4aa5…0de9 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xfda260… |
| 07-04 08:00:11 | (anonymous) 0xfb00…584c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x91969a… |
| 07-04 08:00:11 | Dead-Meander 0x758d…d822 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x91969a… |
| 07-04 08:00:10 | Agitated-Office 0x022d…ab31 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x468ac9… |
| 07-04 08:00:10 | (anonymous) 0xfb00…584c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x468ac9… |
| 07-04 08:00:08 | Silver-Mound 0x4b9c…dc95 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb7e424… |
| 07-04 08:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xfb00…584c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb7e424… |
| 07-04 08:00:07 | Safe-Pain 0x2522…9714 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe36ea1… |
| 07-04 08:00:07 | (anonymous) 0xfb00…584c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe36ea1… |
| 07-04 07:41:25 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x245fed… |
| 07-04 07:41:25 | Free-Tent 0x4aa5…0de9 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x245fed… |