Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$19,084
$17 in 24h
Trades
159
Unique wallets
66
Liquidity
$10,108
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-17 04:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $28
vs crowd: 8% YES on $9.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $11 | $26 | $15 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $18 | $29 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | $40 | $36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $698 | $8.6K | $7.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Median | 5 | $7 | $42 | $35 |
| Below median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $478 | $478 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $26 | $26 |
| unranked | 45 | $695 | $8.1K | $7.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +349 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-16 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1a6…3a86 | Yes | +127 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 18:14 |
| Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | +67 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 05-31 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b56…4a30 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe920…5ee7 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-12 02:32 |
| Shocking-Foreigner 0x6c83…9655 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +54 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 05:02 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-30 06:10 |
| Perfect-Snow 0x588d…563d | Yes | +43 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 06-06 01:37 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-31 14:01 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-04 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $4 | 4 | 06-17 04:57 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-31 06:16 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-31 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-31 19:27 |
| Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | +11 | $10 | $30 | 3 | 06-16 00:39 |
| Nutty-Cabinet 0x90f8…c12b | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 09:55 |
| Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 21:38 |
| Hopeful-Hellcat 0x1c44…5c97 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 01:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 04:57:38 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x278299… |
| 06-17 04:57:38 | Apt-Time 0xa09a…2b5d | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x278299… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x4fb2…7a7a | No | SELL | 74 | 95¢ | $71 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 28 | 93¢ | $26 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | Arid-Index 0x9a71…163c | No | SELL | 54 | 95¢ | $51 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 349 | 4¢ | $14 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x6d30…cde3 | No | SELL | 75 | 95¢ | $71 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x18f1…f1a9 | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $22 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x50fe…88fd | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | (anonymous) 0xdf8c…ccbb | No | SELL | 68 | 95¢ | $65 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-16 00:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x21dc…ed25 | Yes | SELL | 773 | 5¢ | $36 | 0xd6c6d9… |
| 06-15 18:14:07 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd92a31… |
| 06-15 18:14:07 | Shocking-Foreigner 0x6c83…9655 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xd92a31… |
| 06-15 18:14:07 | (anonymous) 0xc1a6…3a86 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xd92a31… |
| 06-15 18:14:07 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd92a31… |
| 06-15 18:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b56…4a30 | No | BUY | 54 | 92¢ | $50 | 0xd92a31… |
| 06-15 18:14:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0xd92a31… |
| 06-15 18:14:07 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xd92a31… |
| 06-15 18:14:07 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd92a31… |
| 06-13 09:47:39 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xc8dbd1… |
| 06-13 09:47:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc8dbd1… |
| 06-13 09:47:39 | Merry-Priority 0x4b0c…7a20 | No | SELL | 108 | 93¢ | $100 | 0xc8dbd1… |
| 06-13 09:47:39 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc8dbd1… |
| 06-13 09:47:39 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc8dbd1… |
| 06-13 09:47:39 | Shocking-Foreigner 0x6c83…9655 | No | BUY | 47 | 92¢ | $44 | 0xc8dbd1… |
| 06-12 04:14:48 | Apt-Time 0xa09a…2b5d | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xff0be4… |
| 06-12 04:14:48 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xff0be4… |
| 06-12 02:32:00 | (anonymous) 0xe920…5ee7 | No | BUY | 54 | 92¢ | $50 | 0x88ca09… |
| 06-12 02:32:00 | (anonymous) 0xa602…8604 | No | SELL | 57 | 92¢ | $52 | 0x88ca09… |
| 06-12 02:32:00 | Shocking-Foreigner 0x6c83…9655 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x88ca09… |
| 06-07 11:13:34 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xe221fe… |
| 06-07 11:13:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe221fe… |
| 06-07 11:13:19 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x789d6b… |
| 06-07 11:13:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x789d6b… |
| 06-07 06:54:07 | Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x444ff8… |
| 06-07 06:54:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x444ff8… |
| 06-07 06:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x260f…d716 | No | SELL | 505 | 92¢ | $464 | 0xead7e1… |
| 06-07 06:53:04 | Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | SELL | 505 | 8¢ | $40 | 0xead7e1… |
| 06-07 06:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x2c18…4a9e | No | SELL | 508 | 92¢ | $468 | 0x3bed5d… |
| 06-07 06:52:25 | Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | SELL | 508 | 8¢ | $41 | 0x3bed5d… |
| 06-07 06:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x4305…df2e | Yes | SELL | 514 | 8¢ | $41 | 0xef0e75… |
| 06-07 06:19:31 | Upbeat-Disadvantage 0xd251…75ed | No | SELL | 514 | 92¢ | $473 | 0xef0e75… |
| 06-07 06:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x4305…df2e | Yes | SELL | 494 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x538e05… |
| 06-07 06:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x05b7…aecd | No | SELL | 494 | 92¢ | $454 | 0x538e05… |
| 06-07 06:13:24 | Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 8¢ | $16 | 0xa01400… |
| 06-07 06:13:24 | (anonymous) 0x260f…d716 | No | BUY | 205 | 92¢ | $188 | 0xa01400… |
| 06-07 06:12:37 | Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 8¢ | $24 | 0x2709ba… |
| 06-07 06:12:37 | (anonymous) 0x260f…d716 | No | BUY | 300 | 92¢ | $276 | 0x2709ba… |
| 06-07 04:41:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x43ffb2… |
| 06-07 04:41:37 | Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x43ffb2… |
| 06-07 04:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x4305…df2e | Yes | BUY | 494 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x37739c… |
| 06-07 04:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x05b7…aecd | No | BUY | 494 | 92¢ | $454 | 0x37739c… |
| 06-07 04:39:16 | Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | BUY | 508 | 8¢ | $41 | 0x977025… |
| 06-07 04:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x2c18…4a9e | No | BUY | 508 | 92¢ | $468 | 0x977025… |
| 06-07 04:38:19 | Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x267ef9… |
| 06-07 04:38:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x267ef9… |
| 06-07 04:37:37 | Upbeat-Disadvantage 0xd251…75ed | No | BUY | 514 | 92¢ | $473 | 0x573762… |
| 06-07 04:37:37 | (anonymous) 0x4305…df2e | Yes | BUY | 514 | 8¢ | $41 | 0x573762… |
| 06-07 03:47:36 | (anonymous) 0x1119…b64f | No | SELL | 485 | 92¢ | $446 | 0xcfb228… |
| 06-07 03:47:36 | (anonymous) 0xa917…85c1 | Yes | SELL | 485 | 8¢ | $39 | 0xcfb228… |
| 06-07 03:47:22 | (anonymous) 0xa917…85c1 | Yes | SELL | 490 | 8¢ | $39 | 0xf65a8f… |
| 06-07 03:47:22 | (anonymous) 0xa6aa…0fb1 | No | SELL | 490 | 92¢ | $451 | 0xf65a8f… |
| 06-07 03:47:01 | (anonymous) 0xdaf6…7656 | No | SELL | 480 | 92¢ | $442 | 0xaf994b… |
| 06-07 03:47:01 | (anonymous) 0x9a2b…4aea | Yes | SELL | 480 | 8¢ | $38 | 0xaf994b… |
| 06-07 03:46:46 | (anonymous) 0x9a2b…4aea | Yes | SELL | 496 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x0a8f69… |
| 06-07 03:46:46 | Alive-Brother 0x847c…496b | No | SELL | 496 | 92¢ | $457 | 0x0a8f69… |
| 06-07 02:48:16 | (anonymous) 0xa917…85c1 | Yes | BUY | 490 | 8¢ | $39 | 0xfa4e94… |
| 06-07 02:48:16 | (anonymous) 0xa6aa…0fb1 | No | BUY | 490 | 92¢ | $451 | 0xfa4e94… |
| 06-07 02:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xa917…85c1 | Yes | BUY | 485 | 8¢ | $39 | 0x2ebf04… |
| 06-07 02:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x1119…b64f | No | BUY | 485 | 92¢ | $446 | 0x2ebf04… |
| 06-07 02:46:45 | (anonymous) 0x9a2b…4aea | Yes | BUY | 496 | 8¢ | $40 | 0xee95f1… |
| 06-07 02:46:45 | Alive-Brother 0x847c…496b | No | BUY | 496 | 92¢ | $457 | 0xee95f1… |
| 06-07 02:45:55 | (anonymous) 0xdaf6…7656 | No | BUY | 480 | 92¢ | $442 | 0x6cf8f4… |
| 06-07 02:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x9a2b…4aea | Yes | BUY | 480 | 8¢ | $38 | 0x6cf8f4… |
| 06-06 09:28:40 | (anonymous) 0x7f42…7549 | Yes | SELL | 520 | 8¢ | $42 | 0x70a992… |
| 06-06 09:28:40 | (anonymous) 0xd26e…9428 | No | SELL | 520 | 92¢ | $478 | 0x70a992… |
| 06-06 09:28:28 | Handmade-Cartridge 0x48f3…0c82 | No | SELL | 514 | 92¢ | $473 | 0xe5f744… |
| 06-06 09:28:28 | (anonymous) 0x7f42…7549 | Yes | SELL | 514 | 8¢ | $41 | 0xe5f744… |
| 06-06 08:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x7f42…7549 | Yes | BUY | 520 | 8¢ | $42 | 0x1666d8… |
| 06-06 08:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xd26e…9428 | No | BUY | 520 | 92¢ | $478 | 0x1666d8… |
| 06-06 08:11:12 | Handmade-Cartridge 0x48f3…0c82 | No | BUY | 514 | 92¢ | $473 | 0x2fb86e… |
| 06-06 08:11:12 | (anonymous) 0x7f42…7549 | Yes | BUY | 514 | 8¢ | $41 | 0x2fb86e… |
| 06-06 07:37:46 | Revolving-Quotation 0xba7f…323a | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x00ab59… |
| 06-06 07:37:46 | (anonymous) 0x7313…51a8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x00ab59… |
| 06-06 07:37:21 | (anonymous) 0xcd94…ed7f | Yes | SELL | 493 | 8¢ | $39 | 0xd550f9… |
| 06-06 07:37:21 | Revolving-Quotation 0xba7f…323a | No | SELL | 493 | 92¢ | $454 | 0xd550f9… |
| 06-06 07:36:45 | (anonymous) 0xb836…e7b5 | No | SELL | 502 | 92¢ | $462 | 0x81fc0d… |
| 06-06 07:36:45 | (anonymous) 0xcd94…ed7f | Yes | SELL | 502 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x81fc0d… |
| 06-06 07:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x7313…51a8 | Yes | SELL | 515 | 8¢ | $41 | 0xcb2c5c… |
| 06-06 07:35:46 | (anonymous) 0xe136…1415 | No | SELL | 515 | 92¢ | $474 | 0xcb2c5c… |
| 06-06 07:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x3260…affd | No | SELL | 480 | 92¢ | $442 | 0xa9beab… |
| 06-06 07:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x7313…51a8 | Yes | SELL | 480 | 8¢ | $38 | 0xa9beab… |
| 06-06 07:11:16 | (anonymous) 0xf1ff…01a2 | Yes | SELL | 505 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x0c5ef9… |
| 06-06 07:11:16 | (anonymous) 0x7702…73dd | No | SELL | 505 | 92¢ | $465 | 0x0c5ef9… |
| 06-06 07:11:00 | Careful-Sleeping 0xeb96…49a9 | No | SELL | 495 | 92¢ | $455 | 0x6e7977… |
| 06-06 07:11:00 | (anonymous) 0xf1ff…01a2 | Yes | SELL | 495 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x6e7977… |
| 06-06 07:10:22 | (anonymous) 0x3a62…e958 | Yes | SELL | 490 | 8¢ | $39 | 0xdef2bc… |
| 06-06 07:10:22 | Luminous-Trumpet 0x1ef1…9a99 | No | SELL | 490 | 92¢ | $451 | 0xdef2bc… |