Cuddly-Roadway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$382

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 07-09 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 76% -$2

Politics

26% 100% +$15

Other

6% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+6	$6	98¢	$6	+$0	05-22 02:45
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+45	$8	8¢	$4	-$4	05-22 03:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$58	31	31	+0	Yes	+$4	05-24 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-27 09:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	12	$20	33	0	+33	Up	-$9	05-27 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	5	$13	17	0	+17	Down	-$13	05-24 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	05-27 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	12	$12	191	0	+191	Up	-$12	07-09 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	12	$12	15	0	+15	Down	-$12	05-28 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	7	$11	15	0	+15	Up	+$4	05-27 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	11	$11	41	0	+41	Up	-$11	05-27 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	7	$11	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	05-27 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	10	$11	13	0	+13	Down	+$2	05-28 15:04
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-09 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-24 10:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-24 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	10	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-27 11:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	10	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-27 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	8	$9	15	0	+15	Down	+$6	05-24 09:29
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	3	$8	45	0	+45	open	—	05-22 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	8	$8	12	0	+12	Down	+$4	05-28 02:17
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	3	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-22 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	6	$6	12	0	+12	Up	-$6	05-24 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-24 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$6	10	0	+10	Down	+$4	05-24 15:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-22 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	6	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-24 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	-$5	05-22 08:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	+$4	05-24 12:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	05-24 09:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-22 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-27 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 13:39:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xdbd6a6…
07-09 13:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0xb148e9…
07-09 13:37:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x05265f…
07-09 13:37:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb829b2…
07-09 13:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x22f516…
07-09 13:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x80f2a1…
07-09 13:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf4b277…
07-09 13:36:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9dc9ff…
07-09 13:36:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x074735…
07-09 13:36:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc48f4c…
07-09 13:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x968a18…
07-09 13:36:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x60f419…
07-09 13:35:44	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdde59d…
07-09 13:35:32	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0a3ba4…
05-28 15:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0879bc…
05-28 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8ef9a3…
05-28 15:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbd3cf8…
05-28 15:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x85adfe…
05-28 15:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x59d3ee…
05-28 15:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x28ffa0…
05-28 15:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfd9b96…
05-28 15:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7fc608…
05-28 15:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x619706…
05-28 15:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5a68c0…
05-28 15:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd99c72…
05-28 15:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa6fb5c…
05-28 15:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x648c74…
05-28 15:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x85e469…
05-28 15:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x197731…
05-28 15:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5d0670…
05-28 15:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x51cf93…
05-28 15:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8195f1…
05-28 15:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x646ace…
05-28 15:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3b7233…
05-28 15:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf552b3…
05-28 15:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8c018e…
05-28 02:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcabc0b…
05-28 02:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xeb3a8c…
05-28 02:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe1691c…
05-28 02:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x723290…
05-28 02:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x30e014…
05-28 02:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x562c21…
05-28 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1daab1…
05-28 02:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc93984…
05-27 12:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdcdc5c…
05-27 12:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd7bc86…
05-27 12:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x65c1a5…
05-27 12:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x97c7d7…
05-27 12:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1c7cd1…
05-27 12:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2b0235…
05-27 12:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x831a9b…
05-27 12:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9fa87d…
05-27 12:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x529598…
05-27 12:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6c2606…
05-27 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9a176b…
05-27 11:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0f437c…
05-27 11:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd0f6ff…
05-27 11:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6a3acc…
05-27 11:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7e62d7…
05-27 11:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x81266f…
05-27 11:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe598ea…
05-27 11:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1b7149…
05-27 11:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa00f97…
05-27 11:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb16e05…
05-27 11:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6c5575…
05-27 09:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe84494…
05-27 09:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x50109a…
05-27 09:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2deaa7…
05-27 09:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf04a3c…
05-27 08:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3308f1…
05-27 08:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x98f6f2…
05-27 08:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa19887…
05-27 08:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x74dcdf…
05-27 08:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfbbaf0…
05-27 08:56:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2180be…
05-27 08:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x506685…
05-27 08:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc4da1b…
05-27 08:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf062db…
05-27 08:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfb3af3…
05-27 08:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4ef994…
05-27 08:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3445e0…
05-27 08:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4c5a8e…
05-27 08:51:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe2862b…
05-27 08:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xab5cca…
05-27 08:51:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x81a058…
05-27 08:51:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2f1947…
05-27 08:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x88ff2f…
05-27 08:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xadcdbb…
05-27 08:50:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x660d83…
05-27 08:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x71b95a…
05-27 08:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x479150…
05-27 08:47:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc993b1…
05-27 08:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x76cbff…
05-27 08:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68e3f7…
05-27 03:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe76a58…
05-27 03:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe3f749…
05-27 03:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x85f323…
05-27 03:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfa4d73…
05-27 03:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8fedec…
05-27 03:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3356fb…