Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,120,639
$98,639 in 24h
Trades
36,996
Unique wallets
6,770
Liquidity
$69,629
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-01 05:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $253.1K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.65M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 86 | $1.2K | $715.0K | $713.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 118 | $3.4K | $326.5K | $323.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 1,453 | $2.8K | $177.1K | $174.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5,113 | $4.4K | $418.0K | $413.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $936 | $252.1K | $251.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 53 | $3.3K | $143.7K | $140.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 59 | $85 | $65.7K | $65.6K |
| Median | 701 | $332 | $66.0K | $65.7K |
| Below median | 402 | $156 | $64.5K | $64.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 38 | $266 | $10.0K | $9.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 29 | $96 | $6.7K | $6.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 17 | $94 | $30.5K | $30.4K |
| unranked | 5,459 | $6.7K | $997.3K | $990.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +201,157 | $199,847 | $199,847 | 158 | 07-01 05:44 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +123,469 | $547 | $550 | 191 | 06-22 14:31 |
| Blind-Rite 0x88ed…6cfb | No | +89,145 | $88,827 | $88,827 | 472 | 06-26 09:51 |
| Thin-Corporatism 0xa4f1…2417 | Yes | +77,342 | $1,175 | $1,175 | 30 | 06-05 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf51…e63c | Yes | +65,038 | $1,339 | $1,339 | 3 | 06-07 01:36 |
| Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | +64,553 | $64,103 | $64,103 | 247 | 06-21 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xef72…906b | Yes | +42,897 | $210 | $210 | 107 | 06-15 14:41 |
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +33,255 | $32,843 | $32,843 | 4 | 06-06 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +25,000 | $24,950 | $24,950 | 1 | 06-26 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fd9…1c31 | Yes | +24,237 | $40 | $1,005 | 733 | 06-27 08:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa642…b419 | No | +20,118 | $20,037 | $39,902 | 43 | 06-23 16:11 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +20,000 | $19,821 | $26,025 | 11 | 06-18 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc26…e765 | Yes | +18,966 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-10 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb4e…e956 | Yes | +18,393 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-07 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | +17,746 | $17,588 | $17,588 | 60 | 06-09 06:54 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +14,455 | $14,152 | $25,889 | 103 | 06-07 01:36 |
| Helpless-Vanity-Batting 0xefd9…14d6 | Yes | +14,181 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-08 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | +11,295 | $81 | $81 | 19 | 06-10 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x112e…a3f6 | No | +10,799 | $10,756 | $10,756 | 2 | 06-21 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x493a…ffd3 | Yes | +10,596 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 06-16 21:12 |
| Unsteady-Porter 0x6aad…9cb9 | Yes | +10,000 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 06-07 22:26 |
| Late-Stepbrother 0x0aae…251c | No | +10,000 | $9,970 | $9,970 | 1 | 06-21 19:49 |
| Wavy-Bog 0x96a7…9e8d | Yes | +9,000 | $112 | $228 | 58 | 06-16 06:13 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +6,344 | $-102 | $5,832 | 1,020 | 06-16 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1b5…8378 | Yes | +6,000 | $9 | $9 | 53 | 06-27 09:05 |
| Keen-Spectacles 0x9fb7…cf03 | Yes | +5,519 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-17 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb1b…69f2 | No | +5,418 | $5,358 | $5,358 | 1 | 06-07 05:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc00…0be0 | No | +5,075 | $5,044 | $5,044 | 1 | 06-16 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2255…a674 | Yes | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 01:58 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +5,000 | $4,940 | $4,940 | 1 | 06-05 16:43 |
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +4,979 | $4,914 | $6,912 | 3 | 06-30 21:11 |
| Both-Correspondence 0x6ae1…1e7e | No | +4,926 | $4,896 | $4,896 | 1 | 06-13 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc9b…5803 | Yes | +4,382 | $4 | $4 | 33 | 06-27 09:05 |
| Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | +3,692 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-27 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x18db…21bf | Yes | +3,692 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-27 09:05 |
| Celebrated-Blowhole 0x02f0…1a03 | Yes | +3,333 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-23 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1d3…3bb7 | Yes | +3,333 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 10:10 |
| Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | +3,317 | $3,210 | $41,084 | 162 | 06-22 14:31 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +3,067 | $39 | $358 | 190 | 06-14 04:34 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +3,062 | $29 | $119 | 70 | 06-06 23:09 |
| Questionable-Bafflement 0x55b7…3775 | No | +3,050 | $3,042 | $3,042 | 3 | 06-26 13:35 |
| Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-27 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 22 | 06-27 09:05 |
| Edible-Algorithm 0x9b2d…ff5b | No | +3,000 | $2,991 | $2,991 | 1 | 06-24 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x831f…827f | Yes | +2,743 | $27 | $27 | 21 | 05-29 03:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x076b…dbfa | No | +2,700 | $2,673 | $2,673 | 1 | 06-05 23:39 |
| Sure-Footed-Ease 0xbbdc…9da2 | Yes | +2,500 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-22 14:31 |
| Determined-Emanate 0xa53e…93e6 | Yes | +2,283 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-06 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa2a…e051 | Yes | +2,266 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | +2,222 | $2,206 | $2,206 | 3 | 06-16 15:47 |
| Cloudy-Winter 0x5ea0…791a | No | +2,031 | $2,015 | $2,015 | 3 | 05-31 21:40 |
| Roasted-Freon 0xab27…ab66 | No | +2,000 | $1,995 | $8,387 | 8 | 06-25 14:39 |
| Striped-Harbor 0x7a06…9b0d | Yes | +1,912 | $39 | $39 | 10 | 06-06 22:50 |
| Grown-Cclamp 0x256c…693b | No | +1,903 | $1,886 | $1,886 | 1 | 06-06 04:15 |
| Flowery-Towtruck 0x14c2…73b2 | No | +1,879 | $1,872 | $1,872 | 1 | 06-21 13:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:44:35 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | SELL | 420 | 100¢ | $420 | 0x26e916… |
| 07-01 05:44:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 420 | 100¢ | $420 | 0x26e916… |
| 07-01 05:10:43 | (anonymous) 0xb3f5…d9ae | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb915fa… |
| 07-01 05:10:43 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb915fa… |
| 07-01 02:37:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0x0426cc… |
| 07-01 02:37:25 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0x0426cc… |
| 07-01 02:25:23 | Frosty-Address 0x3ec3…125e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c3a21… |
| 07-01 02:25:23 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c3a21… |
| 07-01 00:16:29 | (anonymous) 0x0a4a…645c | No | SELL | 708 | 100¢ | $708 | 0x6d2764… |
| 07-01 00:16:29 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 708 | 100¢ | $708 | 0x6d2764… |
| 06-30 21:14:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 551 | 100¢ | $551 | 0x30834d… |
| 06-30 21:14:31 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 551 | 100¢ | $551 | 0x30834d… |
| 06-30 21:11:07 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xc6437b… |
| 06-30 21:11:07 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xc6437b… |
| 06-30 21:05:52 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x6a38e7… |
| 06-30 21:05:52 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x6a38e7… |
| 06-30 15:10:10 | Repulsive-Implementation 0x95dd…de12 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x232c8e… |
| 06-30 15:10:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x232c8e… |
| 06-30 14:55:04 | Murky-Pipeline 0xb446…735a | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x0b6c0d… |
| 06-30 14:55:04 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x0b6c0d… |
| 06-30 14:44:11 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xfcc23f… |
| 06-30 14:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x4e9a…254e | No | SELL | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xfcc23f… |
| 06-30 14:41:56 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x7bf2eb… |
| 06-30 14:41:56 | (anonymous) 0x286a…e8c4 | No | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x7bf2eb… |
| 06-30 14:11:14 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0149f5… |
| 06-30 14:11:14 | (anonymous) 0xf909…af2c | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0149f5… |
| 06-30 14:07:19 | Actual-Warmth 0x107f…f25c | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x160dfa… |
| 06-30 14:07:19 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x160dfa… |
| 06-30 12:22:16 | Cold-Socialism 0xa104…67d4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7edcc3… |
| 06-30 12:22:16 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7edcc3… |
| 06-30 11:14:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x112b6f… |
| 06-30 11:14:08 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…9060 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x112b6f… |
| 06-30 08:05:55 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x9bdc96… |
| 06-30 08:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x5e83…9cca | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x9bdc96… |
| 06-30 08:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x78d7…53a3 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xc1ab7e… |
| 06-30 08:01:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xc1ab7e… |
| 06-30 05:38:41 | Short-Xylophone 0x4338…2c3e | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2e1d7e… |
| 06-30 05:38:41 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2e1d7e… |
| 06-30 05:31:59 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x5a41c9… |
| 06-30 05:31:59 | (anonymous) 0xdd5b…bf8e | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x5a41c9… |
| 06-30 05:15:40 | Glistening-Piracy 0x65f4…6913 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe16c44… |
| 06-30 05:15:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe16c44… |
| 06-30 05:11:34 | Pretty-Bait 0xd8d2…2fd3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd8cfa2… |
| 06-30 05:11:34 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd8cfa2… |
| 06-30 05:09:58 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x49ea57… |
| 06-30 05:09:58 | Faithful-Lung 0xad78…e52b | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x49ea57… |
| 06-30 05:03:19 | Untried-Shape 0x8c49…9872 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2bed20… |
| 06-30 05:03:19 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2bed20… |
| 06-30 05:00:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0d1475… |
| 06-30 05:00:10 | (anonymous) 0xc58e…6fe6 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0d1475… |
| 06-30 04:39:43 | Qualified-Execution 0x95ce…0527 | No | SELL | 350 | 100¢ | $350 | 0x377bb7… |
| 06-30 04:39:43 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 350 | 100¢ | $350 | 0x377bb7… |
| 06-30 02:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x901f…05e5 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x35f27c… |
| 06-30 02:33:58 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x35f27c… |
| 06-30 01:26:17 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xd0a318… |
| 06-30 01:26:17 | Second-Stone 0xb253…e3ff | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xd0a318… |
| 06-30 01:17:52 | (anonymous) 0xf46e…5f63 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x0e3622… |
| 06-30 01:17:52 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x0e3622… |
| 06-30 00:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x66cb…f1e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b657c… |
| 06-30 00:22:13 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b657c… |
| 06-29 23:36:44 | Yellow-Suppression 0x34a9…85f1 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c7b5a… |
| 06-29 23:36:44 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c7b5a… |
| 06-29 23:36:01 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x674df4… |
| 06-29 23:36:01 | (anonymous) 0xb519…5a82 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x674df4… |
| 06-29 23:25:02 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcc01d8… |
| 06-29 23:25:02 | Sleepy-Tuber 0xbb52…118d | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcc01d8… |
| 06-29 23:17:26 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0af408… |
| 06-29 23:17:26 | Cuddly-Surface 0x2c08…e6f3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0af408… |
| 06-29 23:16:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0dd6f4… |
| 06-29 23:16:10 | Queasy-Millimeter 0x558c…c5da | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0dd6f4… |
| 06-29 23:02:47 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2af9e0… |
| 06-29 23:02:47 | Mediocre-Obligation 0x144a…6f1f | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2af9e0… |
| 06-29 22:41:44 | Another-Cummerbund 0x7674…90b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc0f473… |
| 06-29 22:41:44 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc0f473… |
| 06-29 22:39:56 | Infamous-Hierarchy 0xaca1…dad4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa8b703… |
| 06-29 22:39:56 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa8b703… |
| 06-29 21:33:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb29e39… |
| 06-29 21:33:40 | (anonymous) 0x2c81…a42b | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb29e39… |
| 06-29 16:22:05 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 210 | 100¢ | $210 | 0xff1506… |
| 06-29 16:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xf679…17c2 | No | SELL | 210 | 100¢ | $210 | 0xff1506… |
| 06-29 15:08:26 | Kooky-Entrepreneur 0xb30f…1391 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0580a8… |
| 06-29 15:08:26 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x0580a8… |
| 06-29 15:03:07 | (anonymous) 0x75f2…0df2 | No | SELL | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0xa47050… |
| 06-29 15:03:07 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0xa47050… |
| 06-29 14:57:37 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x81a8c9… |
| 06-29 14:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x11cb…0604 | No | SELL | 64 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x81a8c9… |
| 06-29 14:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b31…59f1 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3c6420… |
| 06-29 14:25:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3c6420… |
| 06-29 14:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xda1e…cd17 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x7959ce… |
| 06-29 14:16:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x7959ce… |
| 06-29 13:07:20 | Tight-Merchant 0x9e56…db51 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xff8c40… |
| 06-29 13:07:20 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xff8c40… |
| 06-29 12:52:13 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xfea4f1… |
| 06-29 12:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x6e2d…3a8e | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xfea4f1… |
| 06-29 12:32:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x1ef79f… |
| 06-29 12:32:40 | (anonymous) 0xd353…ed67 | No | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x1ef79f… |
| 06-29 10:58:23 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb7706a… |
| 06-29 10:58:23 | Rare-Venom 0x1ff2…0d42 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb7706a… |
| 06-29 10:31:59 | (anonymous) 0x8faf…b56d | No | SELL | 342 | 100¢ | $342 | 0xd08e9d… |
| 06-29 10:31:59 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 342 | 100¢ | $342 | 0xd08e9d… |