Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No won
Total volume
$5,627,371
Trades
70,000
Unique wallets
11,049
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-04-28
last 07-01 05:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.10M
vs crowd: 1% YES on $3.03M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 143 | $5.2K | $1.39M | $1.39M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 211 | $9.5K | $503.4K | $493.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2,500 | $10.5K | $455.4K | $444.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8,195 | $7.9K | $641.2K | $633.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 96 | $3.5K | $1.09M | $1.09M |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 372 | $1.5K | $397.9K | $396.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 835 | $548 | $176.5K | $176.0K |
| Median | 5,933 | $1.9K | $560.2K | $558.2K |
| Below median | 3,314 | $8.2K | $391.7K | $383.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 235 | $2.5K | $111.2K | $108.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 197 | $5.7K | $103.8K | $98.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 67 | $9.2K | $161.7K | $152.6K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +205,687 | $1,796 | $1,882 | 301 | 06-22 14:31 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +201,178 | $199,868 | $199,868 | 159 | 07-01 05:44 |
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +149,766 | $147,766 | $149,764 | 30 | 06-30 21:11 |
| Blind-Rite 0x88ed…6cfb | No | +102,954 | $102,567 | $102,567 | 522 | 06-26 09:51 |
| Thin-Corporatism 0xa4f1…2417 | Yes | +77,342 | $1,175 | $1,175 | 30 | 06-05 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf51…e63c | Yes | +65,038 | $1,339 | $1,339 | 3 | 06-07 01:36 |
| Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | +64,553 | $64,103 | $64,103 | 247 | 06-21 13:38 |
| Hidden-Contrast 0x4ee4…18ef | No | +52,075 | $51,357 | $51,357 | 2 | 05-27 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xef72…906b | Yes | +51,301 | $237 | $237 | 127 | 06-15 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc26…e765 | Yes | +33,967 | $245 | $245 | 3 | 06-10 16:22 |
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +33,255 | $32,843 | $32,843 | 4 | 06-06 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | +26,266 | $25,981 | $25,981 | 66 | 06-09 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +25,000 | $24,950 | $24,950 | 1 | 06-26 10:32 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +23,862 | $94 | $8,402 | 1,549 | 06-16 15:29 |
| Impassioned-Prohibition 0xfaf9…f4c4 | No | +23,394 | $22,879 | $22,879 | 7 | 05-01 12:16 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +21,916 | $21,489 | $33,226 | 119 | 06-07 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xa642…b419 | No | +20,060 | $19,980 | $39,959 | 44 | 06-23 16:11 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +20,000 | $19,821 | $26,025 | 11 | 06-18 17:32 |
| Mysterious-Townhouse 0x5f80…fa5c | Yes | +20,000 | $305 | $305 | 44 | 05-24 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb4e…e956 | Yes | +18,393 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-07 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fd9…1c31 | Yes | +16,161 | $7 | $1,042 | 762 | 06-27 08:20 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +14,500 | $14,265 | $44,955 | 37 | 06-07 01:11 |
| Helpless-Vanity-Batting 0xefd9…14d6 | Yes | +14,181 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-08 22:23 |
| Pretty-Jaw 0xd713…905a | No | +14,026 | $13,751 | $35,087 | 3 | 06-23 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x493a…ffd3 | Yes | +13,454 | $73 | $73 | 3 | 06-16 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | +12,580 | $99 | $99 | 20 | 06-10 16:22 |
| Meaty-Lentil 0x4974…130c | Yes | +12,315 | $200 | $200 | 3 | 05-24 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x112e…a3f6 | No | +10,799 | $10,756 | $10,756 | 2 | 06-21 09:04 |
| Sympathetic-Task-Med 0x80bb…746f | No | +10,340 | $10,167 | $10,167 | 19 | 05-17 10:27 |
| Keen-Spectacles 0x9fb7…cf03 | Yes | +10,335 | $130 | $130 | 6 | 06-17 20:06 |
| Unsteady-Porter 0x6aad…9cb9 | Yes | +10,000 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 06-07 22:26 |
| Late-Stepbrother 0x0aae…251c | No | +10,000 | $9,970 | $9,970 | 1 | 06-21 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2c6…3654 | No | +10,000 | $9,810 | $9,810 | 1 | 05-17 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x725e…596b | No | +8,000 | $7,845 | $7,845 | 4 | 05-17 02:39 |
| Failing-Volunteer 0xdd7b…a629 | Yes | +7,228 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Accurate-Hearsay-Unblinking 0xf40b…8427 | Yes | +7,006 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 05-20 16:41 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +6,792 | $29 | $399 | 185 | 06-23 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x342f…ff3a | Yes | +6,667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-03 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1b5…8378 | Yes | +6,000 | $9 | $9 | 53 | 06-27 09:05 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +5,429 | $65 | $840 | 404 | 06-14 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb1b…69f2 | No | +5,418 | $5,358 | $5,358 | 1 | 06-07 05:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc00…0be0 | No | +5,075 | $5,044 | $5,044 | 1 | 06-16 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x22dd…f776 | Yes | +5,000 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-10 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2255…a674 | Yes | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 01:58 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +5,000 | $4,940 | $4,940 | 1 | 06-05 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1779…4822 | No | +5,000 | $4,905 | $4,905 | 1 | 05-01 21:49 |
| Sniveling-Impairment 0x7116…aea1 | Yes | +4,676 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 05-09 03:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc9b…5803 | Yes | +4,382 | $4 | $4 | 33 | 06-27 09:05 |
| Double-Rutabaga 0xea96…2fb8 | No | +4,149 | $4,082 | $4,691 | 5 | 06-05 17:11 |
| Plump-Helium 0x6a94…730f | No | +4,136 | $4,076 | $4,076 | 3 | 05-18 04:26 |
| Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | +3,993 | $3,820 | $83,379 | 490 | 06-22 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x18db…21bf | Yes | +3,692 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-27 09:05 |
| Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | +3,692 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-27 00:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:44:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 420 | 100¢ | $420 | 0x26e916… |
| 07-01 05:44:35 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | SELL | 420 | 100¢ | $420 | 0x26e916… |
| 07-01 05:10:43 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb915fa… |
| 07-01 05:10:43 | (anonymous) 0xb3f5…d9ae | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb915fa… |
| 07-01 02:37:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0x0426cc… |
| 07-01 02:37:25 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0x0426cc… |
| 07-01 02:25:23 | Frosty-Address 0x3ec3…125e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c3a21… |
| 07-01 02:25:23 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c3a21… |
| 07-01 00:16:29 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 708 | 100¢ | $708 | 0x6d2764… |
| 07-01 00:16:29 | (anonymous) 0x0a4a…645c | No | SELL | 708 | 100¢ | $708 | 0x6d2764… |
| 06-30 21:14:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 551 | 100¢ | $551 | 0x30834d… |
| 06-30 21:14:31 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 551 | 100¢ | $551 | 0x30834d… |
| 06-30 21:11:07 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xc6437b… |
| 06-30 21:11:07 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xc6437b… |
| 06-30 21:05:52 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x6a38e7… |
| 06-30 21:05:52 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x6a38e7… |
| 06-30 15:10:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x232c8e… |
| 06-30 15:10:10 | Repulsive-Implementation 0x95dd…de12 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x232c8e… |
| 06-30 14:55:04 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x0b6c0d… |
| 06-30 14:55:04 | Murky-Pipeline 0xb446…735a | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x0b6c0d… |
| 06-30 14:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x4e9a…254e | No | SELL | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xfcc23f… |
| 06-30 14:44:11 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xfcc23f… |
| 06-30 14:41:56 | (anonymous) 0x286a…e8c4 | No | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x7bf2eb… |
| 06-30 14:41:56 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x7bf2eb… |
| 06-30 14:32:23 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x648074… |
| 06-30 14:32:23 | Deadly-Crow 0x99db…5c92 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x648074… |
| 06-30 14:11:14 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0149f5… |
| 06-30 14:11:14 | (anonymous) 0xf909…af2c | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0149f5… |
| 06-30 14:07:19 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x160dfa… |
| 06-30 14:07:19 | Actual-Warmth 0x107f…f25c | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x160dfa… |
| 06-30 12:22:16 | Cold-Socialism 0xa104…67d4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7edcc3… |
| 06-30 12:22:16 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7edcc3… |
| 06-30 11:14:08 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…9060 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x112b6f… |
| 06-30 11:14:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x112b6f… |
| 06-30 08:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x5e83…9cca | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x9bdc96… |
| 06-30 08:05:55 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x9bdc96… |
| 06-30 08:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x78d7…53a3 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xc1ab7e… |
| 06-30 08:01:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xc1ab7e… |
| 06-30 05:38:41 | Short-Xylophone 0x4338…2c3e | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2e1d7e… |
| 06-30 05:38:41 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2e1d7e… |
| 06-30 05:31:59 | (anonymous) 0xdd5b…bf8e | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x5a41c9… |
| 06-30 05:31:59 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x5a41c9… |
| 06-30 05:15:40 | Glistening-Piracy 0x65f4…6913 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe16c44… |
| 06-30 05:15:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe16c44… |
| 06-30 05:11:34 | Pretty-Bait 0xd8d2…2fd3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd8cfa2… |
| 06-30 05:11:34 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd8cfa2… |
| 06-30 05:09:58 | Faithful-Lung 0xad78…e52b | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x49ea57… |
| 06-30 05:09:58 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x49ea57… |
| 06-30 05:03:19 | Untried-Shape 0x8c49…9872 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2bed20… |
| 06-30 05:03:19 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2bed20… |
| 06-30 05:00:10 | (anonymous) 0xc58e…6fe6 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0d1475… |
| 06-30 05:00:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0d1475… |
| 06-30 04:39:43 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 350 | 100¢ | $350 | 0x377bb7… |
| 06-30 04:39:43 | Qualified-Execution 0x95ce…0527 | No | SELL | 350 | 100¢ | $350 | 0x377bb7… |
| 06-30 02:33:58 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x35f27c… |
| 06-30 02:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x901f…05e5 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x35f27c… |
| 06-30 01:26:17 | Second-Stone 0xb253…e3ff | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xd0a318… |
| 06-30 01:26:17 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xd0a318… |
| 06-30 01:17:52 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x0e3622… |
| 06-30 01:17:52 | (anonymous) 0xf46e…5f63 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x0e3622… |
| 06-30 00:22:13 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b657c… |
| 06-30 00:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x66cb…f1e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b657c… |
| 06-29 23:36:44 | Yellow-Suppression 0x34a9…85f1 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c7b5a… |
| 06-29 23:36:44 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c7b5a… |
| 06-29 23:36:01 | (anonymous) 0xb519…5a82 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x674df4… |
| 06-29 23:36:01 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x674df4… |
| 06-29 23:25:02 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcc01d8… |
| 06-29 23:25:02 | Sleepy-Tuber 0xbb52…118d | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcc01d8… |
| 06-29 23:17:26 | Cuddly-Surface 0x2c08…e6f3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0af408… |
| 06-29 23:17:26 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0af408… |
| 06-29 23:16:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0dd6f4… |
| 06-29 23:16:10 | Queasy-Millimeter 0x558c…c5da | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0dd6f4… |
| 06-29 23:02:47 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2af9e0… |
| 06-29 23:02:47 | Mediocre-Obligation 0x144a…6f1f | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2af9e0… |
| 06-29 22:41:44 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc0f473… |
| 06-29 22:41:44 | Another-Cummerbund 0x7674…90b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc0f473… |
| 06-29 22:39:56 | Infamous-Hierarchy 0xaca1…dad4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa8b703… |
| 06-29 22:39:56 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa8b703… |
| 06-29 21:33:40 | (anonymous) 0x2c81…a42b | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb29e39… |
| 06-29 21:33:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb29e39… |
| 06-29 16:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xf679…17c2 | No | SELL | 210 | 100¢ | $210 | 0xff1506… |
| 06-29 16:22:05 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 210 | 100¢ | $210 | 0xff1506… |
| 06-29 15:08:26 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x0580a8… |
| 06-29 15:08:26 | Kooky-Entrepreneur 0xb30f…1391 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0580a8… |
| 06-29 15:03:07 | (anonymous) 0x75f2…0df2 | No | SELL | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0xa47050… |
| 06-29 15:03:07 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0xa47050… |
| 06-29 14:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x11cb…0604 | No | SELL | 64 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x81a8c9… |
| 06-29 14:57:37 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x81a8c9… |
| 06-29 14:25:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3c6420… |
| 06-29 14:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b31…59f1 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3c6420… |
| 06-29 14:16:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x7959ce… |
| 06-29 14:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xda1e…cd17 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x7959ce… |
| 06-29 13:07:20 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xff8c40… |
| 06-29 13:07:20 | Tight-Merchant 0x9e56…db51 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xff8c40… |
| 06-29 12:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x6e2d…3a8e | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xfea4f1… |
| 06-29 12:52:13 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xfea4f1… |
| 06-29 12:32:40 | (anonymous) 0xd353…ed67 | No | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x1ef79f… |
| 06-29 12:32:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x1ef79f… |
| 06-29 10:58:23 | Rare-Venom 0x1ff2…0d42 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb7706a… |
| 06-29 10:58:23 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb7706a… |