Mysterious-Townhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.49K

Unrealized P&L

-$198

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$215

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-26 22:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

45% 17% -$2,030

Politics

28% 33% +$264

Sports

26% 31% -$726

Crypto

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,184	$198	12¢	$136	-$62	05-13 22:19
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+4,844	$145	1¢	$63	-$82	06-11 07:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	+500	$70	3¢	$16	-$54	05-08 00:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	32	$2.5K	2,564	1,944	+620	Yes	-$296	05-27 16:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.5K	1,333	1,333	+0	No	+$563	05-25 03:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$1.0K	5,000	2,500	+2,500	Yes	+$220	05-23 21:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	6	$1.0K	9,117	1,117	+8,000	No	-$581	05-29 03:45
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	24	$918	1,900	899	+1,001	Golden Knights	-$287	05-25 02:41
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	7	$601	542	141	+401	Yes	+$50	06-07 13:29
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	18	$542	1,814	564	+1,250	No	-$320	05-25 00:42
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	16	$322	3,262	1,262	+2,000	No	-$97	05-28 00:24
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	44	$305	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$305	05-24 00:01
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	3	$292	200	200	+0	Yes	+$8	06-10 02:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	4	$260	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$260	05-25 03:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	5	$246	1,315	0	+1,315	No	-$246	06-05 15:25
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$214	2,017	0	+2,017	Yes	-$214	05-09 03:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$198	1,184	0	+1,184	open	—	05-13 22:19
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	9	$176	200	200	+0	Golden Knights	+$32	05-23 02:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	14	$174	6,510	0	+6,510	Yes	-$174	05-23 03:52
Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	14	$170	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-21 19:35
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	12	$169	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$49	05-20 18:55
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	4	$153	1,000	999	+1	No	-$39	05-13 22:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	10	$150	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$150	05-28 23:54
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$145	4,844	0	+4,844	open	—	06-11 07:28
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	12	$140	2,000	0	+2,000	Canadiens	-$140	05-22 02:24
Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	1	$140	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-26 22:36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$104	384	0	+384	No	-$104	06-08 14:09
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	17	$75	250	0	+250	No	-$75	05-29 09:49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$70	500	0	+500	open	—	05-08 00:50
Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	23	$43	1,706	159	+1,547	open	—	07-26 19:29
Canadiens vs. Sabres	8	$35	400	0	+400	Canadiens	-$35	05-09 00:47
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	69	$34	420	0	+420	open	—	07-29 08:00
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	4	$33	19	19	+0	No	$0	05-22 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:36:39	Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xfb5c73…
10-21 19:35:15	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	438	17¢	$74	0xdf97db…
10-09 19:28:50	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xf7b1bf…
10-09 19:28:50	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x104b24…
10-01 02:15:00	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x86e00b…
10-01 02:14:59	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	222	17¢	$38	0xedd4d6…
10-01 02:14:51	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xb8836b…
07-29 08:00:21	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x65d1c5…
07-28 19:03:20	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x9cb70a…
07-28 06:44:33	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8a09fa…
07-28 04:45:46	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xa3ee9f…
07-28 01:49:48	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x964c1d…
07-28 00:04:04	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xb21535…
07-27 23:24:00	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xb06551…
07-27 22:19:31	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xf50f25…
07-27 21:40:36	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xfb9b4f…
07-27 14:06:58	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xee5376…
07-27 11:21:45	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x795e2e…
07-27 08:04:52	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x064bff…
07-27 07:15:54	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xb3dc57…
07-27 06:27:36	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xb880c1…
07-27 03:01:48	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x109ce0…
07-27 00:15:52	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x2f773c…
07-26 22:43:48	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x76e53a…
07-26 19:29:13	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	159	8¢	$13	0xef857b…
07-26 18:22:19	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x95fcbd…
07-26 18:08:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe0fee1…
07-26 16:31:06	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xe7b745…
07-26 16:02:54	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x97ea04…
07-26 13:36:33	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x5c0e21…
07-26 10:53:31	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xcb601f…
07-26 07:22:16	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x77fa45…
07-26 05:53:12	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xd59511…
07-26 05:14:25	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe5a5d3…
07-26 04:17:46	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xb24724…
07-26 04:08:13	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xf22761…
07-25 23:30:43	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x3bbe26…
07-25 18:23:28	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x7396eb…
07-25 17:21:21	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x9dbf12…
07-25 15:38:40	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x060cbd…
07-25 13:44:57	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xc874f9…
07-25 09:36:03	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x963d2a…
07-25 08:55:12	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x7f166e…
07-25 06:41:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x208eff…
07-25 05:42:25	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x86356f…
07-25 02:42:19	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x2fd2a2…
07-25 00:09:46	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x4849f8…
07-24 23:18:06	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xe7b1c8…
07-24 22:56:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xffc137…
07-24 14:27:46	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8f8bb8…
07-24 13:11:06	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x299c9c…
07-24 13:01:30	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xbe377d…
07-24 10:24:58	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x268114…
07-24 10:00:22	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x2f138f…
07-24 09:20:46	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x191c7f…
07-24 09:04:09	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x73b89e…
07-24 07:09:39	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa1292c…
07-24 07:03:40	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x6684ee…
07-24 02:55:13	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x73305b…
07-24 00:08:49	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xbe61bc…
07-23 20:23:42	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x647c9d…
07-23 16:38:12	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xb8e466…
07-23 16:26:12	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9d0b43…
07-23 13:53:21	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xe12b84…
07-23 13:01:06	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x2dbe8f…
07-23 09:19:12	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x263939…
07-23 08:51:42	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xc3ea64…
07-23 08:44:49	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x71bada…
07-22 05:09:40	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xdc1052…
07-22 04:32:22	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x7bad19…
07-22 03:34:19	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x19f3b7…
07-21 22:58:18	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x03ef34…
07-21 19:47:49	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xdcfad5…
07-20 02:45:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x86ec2a…
07-20 02:37:07	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x03b69c…
07-20 01:46:43	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xc55787…
07-20 01:40:51	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x393ffe…
07-12 01:28:31	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xed1d4d…
07-08 08:15:26	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x8037e2…
07-08 08:15:26	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x40590b…
07-08 08:15:26	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x33b231…
07-08 08:15:25	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe9d546…
07-08 08:15:23	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x6a795e…
07-08 08:15:22	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x301b18…
07-08 08:15:19	Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xc4b736…
07-01 23:03:14	Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	541	4¢	$22	0x3f92cb…
06-30 23:09:40	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	454	2¢	$8	0xbb0405…
06-28 17:21:22	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	358	2¢	$6	0xd82f96…
06-27 22:33:04	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	234	2¢	$4	0x64c78b…
06-27 22:29:52	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	234	2¢	$4	0xf731f5…
06-27 22:29:52	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf31b78…
06-27 22:29:52	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdd19ce…
06-27 20:36:20	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x454408…
06-27 20:33:25	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xd85421…
06-27 20:33:25	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd36946…
06-27 20:33:25	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x270eee…
06-27 20:33:25	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x1dec85…
06-27 20:33:20	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa3ddc2…
06-27 20:33:14	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xef713b…
06-27 20:33:14	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe48ea4…