Pretty-Bait — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

27.9%

Resolved

304

Trades

743

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$142

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 59% -$40

Other

26% 57% -$4

Sports

2% 71% $0

Politics

0% 50% -$4

Tech

0% 80% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-50	-$49	100¢	$-50	-$1	09-17 04:08
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	+45	$45	100¢	$45	+$0	10-27 03:13
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-20	-$20	100¢	$-20	$0	05-05 02:58
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-20	-$19	99¢	$-20	-$1	06-12 09:29
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	-2	-$2	99¢	$-2	$0	06-27 04:00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-2	-$2	99¢	$-2	$0	05-09 07:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+3	$2	80¢	$2	+$0	10-08 08:26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+2	$1	66¢	$1	+$0	10-16 03:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	11	$788	395	395	+0	No	$0	03-29 04:36
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$396	175	225	-50	open	—	09-17 04:08
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$374	188	188	+0	No	$0	03-13 10:48
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	4	$358	180	180	+0	No	$0	07-22 02:37
will bnb reach 1100 in march	4	$351	176	176	+0	No	$0	03-22 08:40
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	4	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	04-24 06:43
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	6	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	06-25 06:04
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	6	$319	160	160	+0	No	$0	06-30 05:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	4	$317	160	160	+0	No	-$2	09-25 03:27
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	4	$310	156	156	+0	No	$0	04-19 08:19
will solana reach 150 in june 2026	4	$280	140	140	+0	No	$0	06-27 03:59
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	4	$279	140	140	+0	No	$0	06-17 12:04
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	4	$264	133	133	+0	open	—	10-27 03:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	6	$262	131	131	+0	No	$0	06-25 06:05
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	6	$259	130	130	+0	No	$0	04-28 06:04
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	6	$240	120	120	+0	No	$0	05-28 07:07
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$225	105	125	-20	open	—	06-12 09:29
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	6	$207	104	104	+0	No	$0	03-27 07:18
will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-31 12:41
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-10 06:30
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	10-13 04:16
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	4	$184	92	92	+0	No	$0	03-24 07:02
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	8	$183	92	92	+0	No	$0	03-08 09:59
Will Ghana win the World Cup?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-04 04:54
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-23 03:30
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-03 10:32
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-08 13:02
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	5	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	02-24 05:20
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	3	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-06 05:27
will solana reach 140 in june 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-16 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:51:12	Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x04506f…
10-27 03:14:11	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x34a1c3…
10-27 03:14:08	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0b87a…
10-27 03:13:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0ad8ca…
10-27 03:10:50	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x318430…
10-23 02:37:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe4c982…
10-23 02:36:59	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x44d7eb…
10-23 02:35:41	Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x5e7ab2…
10-23 02:34:12	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9abe7a…
10-23 02:34:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa60533…
10-23 02:33:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x2687ef…
10-23 02:33:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x770210…
10-23 02:32:57	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1b9382…
10-21 05:20:30	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc153b3…
10-21 05:19:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e9857…
10-21 05:19:17	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xce3b17…
10-21 05:18:32	Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x96204c…
10-21 05:17:47	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x79476c…
10-18 14:29:48	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6cf451…
10-18 14:29:38	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcdf20b…
10-18 14:29:02	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xa205ad…
10-18 14:28:20	Epstein client list released by October 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x17dc37…
10-18 14:28:08	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xa112c6…
10-16 03:25:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfd8d7c…
10-16 03:24:15	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xf574c4…
10-16 03:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x347b24…
10-16 03:22:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb14ae9…
10-16 03:22:52	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x2660e8…
10-16 03:22:43	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9af1a5…
10-15 07:40:16	will xrp reach 4 in october 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6b7136…
10-15 07:08:46	Epstein client list released by October 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9b2890…
10-15 07:07:56	will ethereum reach 4500 in october 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6388ef…
10-15 07:06:52	will solana reach 200 in october 2026	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x812e2f…
10-13 04:19:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f42a1…
10-13 04:17:33	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd891bf…
10-13 04:17:17	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7f3164…
10-13 04:16:39	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x70f2f1…
10-08 08:27:04	XRP Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa77a8e…
10-08 08:26:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc944f8…
10-08 08:26:25	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x82190b…
10-08 08:25:13	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x777b33…
10-08 08:22:26	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x10e834…
10-08 08:22:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf424c9…
10-08 08:22:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x05edf4…
10-08 08:22:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x91b9aa…
10-06 04:31:18	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	HANJIN BRION	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb77d78…
10-06 04:30:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdd4b35…
10-06 04:30:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6afbdc…
10-06 04:29:49	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x77d78c…
10-06 04:28:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x19d8b1…
09-29 06:14:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9f853a…
09-29 06:13:57	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28ad13…
09-25 03:29:39	Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8bcc3f…
09-25 03:29:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5debc1…
09-25 03:27:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x41df4a…
09-23 03:51:14	XRP Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xbf4663…
09-23 03:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2aa91a…
09-23 03:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x72c321…
09-23 03:44:58	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x24af10…
09-23 03:44:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x03877b…
09-19 03:38:39	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x60b918…
09-19 03:37:57	XRP Up or Down on September 19?	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd1f7f5…
09-19 03:32:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x347e37…
09-19 03:32:00	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xf5efb5…
09-17 04:11:24	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa3309f…
09-17 04:11:04	trump endorses chinas claim to taiwan by end of summit 20260916	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x85fd45…
09-17 04:09:49	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xb39e9c…
09-17 04:08:37	solana up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcdfb2e…
09-17 04:08:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xd1f8c4…
09-17 04:08:07	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x9ed22a…
09-17 04:08:00	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x521ed2…
09-15 03:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on September 16?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5c40ec…
09-15 03:00:30	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa39d8a…
09-15 03:00:12	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5e901f…
09-15 02:59:28	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1d18e5…
09-15 02:57:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf1638d…
09-11 03:35:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x841ea6…
09-11 03:34:58	Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc59fd2…
09-11 03:34:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x114396…
09-11 03:34:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeeac04…
09-11 03:34:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0xfaaee4…
09-08 03:26:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb6245f…
09-08 03:25:57	Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5594ff…
09-08 03:25:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xcd3da8…
09-08 03:25:03	Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5d5337…
09-08 03:24:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x588fee…
09-08 03:24:42	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xdcc2ae…
09-07 10:19:34	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6f0d68…
09-07 10:14:57	Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x32e5ff…
09-07 10:13:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x483ea2…
09-07 10:11:57	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3b9de1…
09-07 10:11:33	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2358ed…
09-07 10:11:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x94bf4a…
09-07 10:11:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xfe4190…
09-07 10:10:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xc0dcf0…
09-04 05:05:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe06160…
09-04 05:04:45	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa338bc…
09-04 05:04:37	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3bed73…
09-04 05:04:19	Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f8ef0…
09-04 05:02:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd30c15…