Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.06K

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

125

Trades

1,388

lifetime

Volume

$328.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

$763

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-23 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

44% 89% +$2,003

Sports

25% 67% +$2,676

Politics

23% 69% +$10,533

Crypto

8% 51% -$2,938

Tech

0% 100% +$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes		+3,388	$1,951	20¢	$661	-$1,290	10-23 18:37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes		+131	-$127	78¢	$103	+$230	10-15 04:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	72	$40.9K	29,754	14,091	+15,663	Yes	+$1,175	07-21 13:24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$38.8K	36,399	36,399	+0	No	+$3,027	07-14 20:11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	172	$27.8K	34,000	34,000	+0	No	-$451	07-19 20:03
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	20	$22.0K	11,617	11,617	+0	Yes	+$1,243	05-12 18:14
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	33	$21.8K	10,993	10,993	+0	No	+$171	03-30 02:27
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	12	$20.2K	10,421	10,421	+0	Yes	+$409	04-09 13:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	30	$18.7K	9,508	9,508	+0	Yes	+$10	04-24 15:58
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	74	$16.2K	8,313	8,313	+0	No	+$67	05-05 23:27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	40	$15.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$100	07-15 11:03
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	101	$14.8K	9,670	9,645	+25	Yes	-$96	05-11 01:17
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	14	$14.4K	16,274	7,596	+8,678	Yes	+$4,228	02-22 10:48
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	26	$12.0K	8,000	6,851	+1,149	No	-$413	05-15 03:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$190	05-17 02:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$8.3K	12,073	2,568	+9,505	Yes	+$4,420	02-20 00:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$6.4K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	09-01 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 15:00 UTC	2	$4.5K	4,795	0	+4,795	Up	+$198	02-04 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 00:30 UTC	3	$4.4K	4,496	10	+4,486	Up	+$42	02-04 00:42
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	44	$4.3K	5,856	2,468	+3,388	open	—	10-23 18:37
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	5	$1.8K	1,028	1,028	+0	open	—	05-17 13:19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	15	$1.5K	2,116	1,985	+131	open	—	10-15 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	46	$1.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	-$1,232	08-10 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:05 UTC	21	$1.4K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$1,440	08-10 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:55 UTC	45	$1.2K	1,500	500	+1,000	Up	+$191	08-10 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:45 UTC	8	$1.2K	1,380	200	+1,180	Down	+$124	08-10 13:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.2K	1,786	1,786	+0	Yes	+$161	02-18 16:28
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	4	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$980	02-20 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:40 UTC	1	$980	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$20	08-10 13:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	5	$976	500	500	+0	No	+$23	10-01 02:54
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	5	$955	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$45	09-09 17:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC	20	$862	960	0	+960	Down	+$98	08-09 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 18:37:45	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	40¢	$113	0x454985…
10-23 15:57:12	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xb6c6a0…
10-23 15:54:38	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xed63f3…
10-23 15:54:38	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	50¢	$44	0x0d3f9f…
10-23 15:51:17	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	50¢	$29	0x10f47f…
10-20 09:04:14	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x743309…
10-20 08:51:16	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc44917…
10-20 08:31:44	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x02debd…
10-20 08:31:20	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	51¢	$86	0x7c38c8…
10-19 01:26:57	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	65¢	$15	0x9ceb2d…
10-15 04:14:53	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x8602e3…
10-13 17:41:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	116	48¢	$55	0x7735da…
10-13 17:11:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	84	48¢	$40	0xe21099…
10-09 14:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	230	16¢	$37	0xd10350…
10-09 14:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	87	75¢	$66	0xc64c73…
10-09 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$9	0x003582…
10-09 14:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb3b455…
10-09 14:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	125	70¢	$87	0xb67c97…
10-09 14:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	70	65¢	$46	0xc17e82…
10-09 14:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0x6a0e99…
10-09 13:57:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	33	57¢	$19	0x81f816…
10-09 13:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	67	48¢	$32	0xe4dfa0…
10-09 13:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xe27ebd…
10-09 13:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfcdcfd…
10-09 13:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb5f3f1…
10-09 13:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6959f6…
10-09 13:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x6f73c2…
10-09 13:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x5b7302…
10-09 13:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0f6df0…
10-09 13:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xa5b88c…
10-09 13:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x79a91a…
10-09 13:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfae901…
10-09 13:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4710c9…
10-09 13:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x59133a…
10-09 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xd21a0d…
10-09 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x623704…
10-09 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4612e6…
10-09 12:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x7d056b…
10-07 15:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x491aa2…
10-07 15:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x3831cd…
10-07 15:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xea9176…
10-07 15:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe3ebb1…
10-07 15:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x1fe3ab…
10-07 15:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0x86fc23…
10-07 15:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xd32076…
10-07 15:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x0328a6…
10-07 15:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0xd6aa9b…
10-07 15:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xd211d9…
10-07 15:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8ad12c…
10-07 15:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	65¢	$21	0x31ebda…
10-07 15:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x1e7f4f…
10-07 14:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x59a61e…
10-07 14:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x7b9bde…
10-07 06:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x800197…
10-07 06:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x45b16a…
10-07 06:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	82	38¢	$31	0x02115f…
10-07 01:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x02b76f…
10-07 01:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xf49e63…
10-06 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf73e6f…
10-06 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xafef93…
10-06 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x96b8d5…
10-06 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x4841cb…
10-06 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x04e107…
10-06 17:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x9f2f62…
10-06 16:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	270	55¢	$149	0xe7f46c…
10-06 16:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xade86f…
10-06 16:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	135	84¢	$114	0x3ade82…
10-06 16:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x8ab930…
10-06 16:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa596e7…
10-06 16:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x1a2317…
10-06 16:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x42eea0…
10-06 16:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xf15027…
10-06 16:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xec3814…
10-06 16:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0xaed770…
10-06 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xbf77fa…
10-06 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb23b45…
10-06 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xac2acc…
10-06 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x47053f…
10-06 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x3ccafa…
10-06 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x2a41d6…
10-06 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0498c6…
10-06 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfed47f…
10-06 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf49c75…
10-06 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xd65c15…
10-06 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9ec99b…
10-06 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x337fb7…
10-06 16:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x801afb…
10-06 16:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x786e53…
10-06 16:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x16c7f3…
10-06 15:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x954395…
10-06 15:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x2f1e38…
10-06 15:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xb316ae…
10-06 15:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x0f00ae…
10-06 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x9255a4…
10-06 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	51	54¢	$28	0x3ce0eb…
10-06 15:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xa8ca1c…
10-06 15:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0xe911b5…
10-06 15:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0xeb8988…
10-06 15:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x0a348e…
10-06 15:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x342bc6…