Impassioned-Prohibition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.53K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,591

lifetime

Volume

$8.04M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.75K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 08-08 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

80% 100% +$1,117

Crypto

10% 100% +$215

Other

10% 100% +$201

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	95	$871.6K	432,765	444,337	-11,572	open	—	05-30 02:31
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	98	$613.4K	617,504	0	+617,504	open	—	05-12 15:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$498.5K	500,100	100	+500,000	open	—	06-03 04:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	77	$299.2K	300,091	0	+300,091	open	—	05-23 13:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	177	$292.5K	293,084	0	+293,084	open	—	05-24 18:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	287	$290.6K	323,261	0	+323,261	open	—	07-09 12:53
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	160	$252.1K	253,147	0	+253,147	open	—	05-15 09:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	133	$243.4K	249,220	0	+249,220	open	—	05-29 08:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	25	$199.8K	200,000	0	+200,000	No	+$200	05-06 02:23
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	125	$194.8K	181,000	21,000	+160,000	open	—	05-20 09:06
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	128	$181.0K	181,466	0	+181,466	open	—	05-19 10:45
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	196	$175.5K	177,116	0	+177,116	open	—	05-18 00:55
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	195	$150.7K	152,253	0	+152,253	open	—	05-18 06:14
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	11	$149.8K	150,000	0	+150,000	Yes	+$150	05-03 19:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	26	$144.6K	144,913	0	+144,913	open	—	05-23 05:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	60	$143.7K	144,511	0	+144,511	open	—	04-29 15:20
Trump out as President before 2027?	229	$135.8K	151,897	0	+151,897	open	—	07-04 07:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	9	$134.0K	134,327	0	+134,327	No	+$309	05-09 00:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	36	$123.8K	118,481	24,676	+93,805	open	—	05-27 03:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$121.0K	121,463	0	+121,463	open	—	06-01 04:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	51	$117.6K	117,896	0	+117,896	open	—	05-16 06:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	26	$114.7K	115,173	0	+115,173	open	—	05-16 07:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	23	$104.3K	104,374	0	+104,374	open	—	05-27 04:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	14	$95.8K	47,984	48,134	-150	open	—	05-29 06:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	11	$81.8K	83,000	0	+83,000	open	—	05-23 04:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	30	$72.2K	78,200	0	+78,200	open	—	06-10 06:02
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	22	$64.8K	68,000	0	+68,000	open	—	05-07 21:05
Trump out as President by May 31?	61	$61.9K	31,708	30,617	+1,091	open	—	05-29 18:39
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	12	$60.3K	60,435	0	+60,435	open	—	06-01 02:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	25	$59.4K	59,768	0	+59,768	No	+$321	05-08 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 15:17:33	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x5bf97d…
08-06 13:13:53	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	7,928	95¢	$7,556	0x100f9a…
08-06 12:50:42	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x4699c3…
08-06 11:28:06	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xef23d9…
08-04 06:02:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20,000	91¢	$18,200	0x860497…
08-03 20:33:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x82479d…
08-03 20:19:57	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	449	93¢	$418	0xa7efe3…
08-02 10:18:11	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4,551	93¢	$4,232	0x50a44d…
08-01 05:59:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	3,224	100¢	$3,218	0xf5653a…
08-01 03:05:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1b729d…
08-01 02:39:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x01969a…
08-01 01:32:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf59666…
08-01 01:27:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e43e7…
07-31 23:01:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd8138d…
07-31 22:00:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb08915…
07-31 21:55:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb4a826…
07-31 21:37:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcd7221…
07-31 21:06:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xd69aeb…
07-31 20:01:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xb995a4…
07-31 19:16:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xccf5e0…
07-30 07:36:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	BUY	199	98¢	$196	0xc05251…
07-30 05:27:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61b43c…
07-30 05:25:00	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xbcabaf…
07-30 05:25:00	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	493	93¢	$458	0xa01f28…
07-20 16:36:28	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,183	79¢	$1,725	0x504e8d…
07-20 16:36:19	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	990	79¢	$782	0xc0dbf9…
07-20 16:29:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,417	79¢	$1,120	0xd75494…
07-20 16:28:21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	946	79¢	$748	0x020d1f…
07-20 16:26:43	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xba28b2…
07-20 16:26:37	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,458	79¢	$1,942	0x4b8d36…
07-20 16:26:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,995	80¢	$3,996	0x8d3d9b…
07-09 12:53:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa74c3d…
07-09 12:31:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	91¢	$1,365	0x2387d8…
07-09 12:26:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x51c0e0…
07-09 12:12:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	533	91¢	$485	0x2e0259…
07-09 11:51:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x4a004c…
07-09 11:48:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xcf1a13…
07-09 11:44:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x2fb5f5…
07-09 11:21:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x348f86…
07-09 11:16:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x111f3c…
07-09 10:51:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0xdc00d5…
07-09 10:48:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xfffdc9…
07-09 10:45:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x27b42a…
07-09 10:38:40	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0xdc3e2e…
07-09 10:38:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	352	91¢	$320	0xddef05…
07-09 10:37:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xfc7787…
07-09 10:37:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x4347dc…
07-09 10:37:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x4ace77…
07-09 10:29:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	91¢	$39	0xbd0f9f…
07-09 10:24:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x59388d…
07-09 10:21:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x65b117…
07-09 10:18:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$38	0x9f51b8…
07-09 10:13:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x250f3e…
07-09 10:06:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$40	0x5f8daa…
07-09 10:03:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0x404568…
07-09 09:59:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	91¢	$34	0xf8f034…
07-09 09:53:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$38	0x563203…
07-09 09:48:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0xbcd81a…
07-09 09:31:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xfad40c…
07-09 09:28:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x79f519…
07-09 09:26:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0xacf852…
07-09 08:12:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x47094d…
07-09 07:56:40	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6a824d…
07-09 07:32:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x55c93c…
07-09 06:58:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xb8cb37…
07-09 06:13:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbae2aa…
07-09 05:44:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	131	91¢	$119	0x57be4c…
07-09 05:11:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xcf244d…
07-09 04:18:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	91¢	$43	0x984dc4…
07-09 03:44:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x6ce4a5…
07-09 03:21:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0xd55514…
07-09 03:08:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9f6892…
07-09 03:05:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0xa4e46f…
07-09 02:31:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9aed1f…
07-09 02:19:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe0cac1…
07-09 01:39:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xede93f…
07-09 01:19:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x808eb5…
07-09 00:14:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0x6c6e7f…
07-09 00:13:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x3aee4a…
07-09 00:10:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	91¢	$39	0x52cc7c…
07-08 23:58:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,389	91¢	$1,264	0x0675e9…
07-08 23:14:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x36af27…
07-08 22:59:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe813f1…
07-08 22:07:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x8fd996…
07-08 21:45:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$48	0x4863b7…
07-08 21:42:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xaf54a4…
07-08 21:41:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdd30bc…
07-08 21:21:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x89a6cb…
07-08 21:07:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,448	91¢	$2,227	0xd9d8d0…
07-08 20:49:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x47ec84…
07-08 20:40:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	91¢	$1,011	0xee1cd8…
07-08 20:10:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x62c0e7…
07-08 19:44:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xa824ad…
07-08 19:07:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb6e410…
07-08 18:48:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd28124…
07-08 18:47:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x0b4959…
07-08 18:32:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x03854c…
07-08 18:23:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	91¢	$83	0x62ba50…
07-08 12:03:16	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0xcda165…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	1,162	51¢	$593	0xce0943…