Realized P&L
+$1.53K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.62K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
21
Trades
4,427
lifetime
Volume
$7.78M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.76K
Open exposure
$436.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 06-30 18:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
80% 100% +$1,117
Crypto
11% 100% +$215
Other
10% 100% +$201
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 330 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +203,565 $185,094 86¢ $176.1K $-9,010 06-29 12:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No +126,613 $112,686 92¢ $115.9K +$3,165 06-22 19:24
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +78,200 $72,241 94¢ $73.2K +$993 06-10 06:02
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +23,486 $23,381 100¢ $23.4K +$34 07-01 04:55
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +9,355 $8,092 90¢ $8.4K +$328 06-09 03:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +8,416 $8,121 100¢ $8.4K +$286 06-25 15:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -8,115 $-8,034 100¢ $-8106 $-73 06-24 01:20
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +8,000 $7,520 100¢ $8.0K +$472 05-31 05:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6,756 $5,587 81¢ $5.5K $-115 06-30 11:14
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +5,000 $4,760 100¢ $5.0K +$215 06-02 16:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +3,279 $3,269 100¢ $3.3K +$5 07-01 04:50
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +1,361 $1,308 100¢ $1.4K +$50 06-02 18:12
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +100 $51 76¢ $76 +$25 06-12 01:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 05-31 02:40