Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.26K

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

831

lifetime

Volume

$29.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$3.29K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 01:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

64% 18% +$4,974

Other

32% 14% -$384

Crypto

4% 0% -$375

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+5,937	$439	8¢	$460	+$21	10-11 12:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	+12,800	$520	2¢	$320	-$200	09-16 04:28
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+7,061	$322	3¢	$244	-$78	10-19 19:08
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	+7,500	$350	3¢	$236	-$114	09-18 21:02
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+7,500	$405	3¢	$232	-$172	10-12 14:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+3,500	$205	6¢	$228	+$22	10-05 23:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11,000	$450	2¢	$214	-$235	09-28 19:50
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+4,000	$270	5¢	$214	-$56	10-27 01:18
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+4,500	$250	4¢	$202	-$47	10-25 17:27
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,489	$174	6¢	$192	+$17	10-25 19:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$150	18¢	$185	+$35	05-31 15:03
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+2,607	$160	6¢	$156	-$4	10-28 01:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$100	2¢	$102	+$2	10-10 19:56
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	+4,477	$181	2¢	$94	-$87	10-27 01:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+9,200	$132	1¢	$74	-$58	10-21 13:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+6,500	$310	1¢	$62	-$248	09-30 06:50
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+1,600	$71	3¢	$47	-$24	06-05 01:58
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$35	3¢	$13	-$22	05-11 14:24
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+85	$3	12¢	$10	+$6	09-08 21:29
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	+4,000	$20	0¢	$4	-$16	07-14 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$10.6K	7,639	7,639	+0	No	+$2,646	01-31 13:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	8	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$1	05-23 06:10
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	5	$2.6K	1,770	1,770	+0	Yes	+$578	05-13 09:44
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	5	$2.1K	4,953	1,953	+3,000	No	-$734	01-01 22:46
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$979	926	926	+0	No	+$244	02-24 16:51
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	15	$729	715	715	+0	No	+$486	03-24 16:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	13	$570	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$570	02-24 18:32
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	6	$542	700	700	+0	Yes	+$472	05-21 13:07
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	2	$539	305	305	+0	open	—	06-22 16:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	10	$520	12,800	0	+12,800	open	—	09-16 04:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	9	$450	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	09-28 19:50
AI bubble burst in 2026?	10	$439	5,937	0	+5,937	open	—	10-11 12:03
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	11	$405	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	10-12 14:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	17	$360	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$360	02-24 17:33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	3	$350	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	09-18 21:02
New pandemic in 2026?	12	$322	7,061	0	+7,061	open	—	10-19 19:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$310	6,500	0	+6,500	open	—	09-30 06:50
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$306	1,800	0	+1,800	No	-$306	03-08 15:26
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	9	$270	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$270	07-07 16:57
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	22	$270	17,000	0	+17,000	No	-$270	05-24 18:34
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	86	$270	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	10-27 01:18
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	10	$256	3,200	0	+3,200	No	-$256	03-17 01:58
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	43	$250	4,500	0	+4,500	open	—	10-25 17:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$242	3,800	0	+3,800	No	-$242	03-27 00:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$205	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	10-05 23:52
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	13	$181	4,477	0	+4,477	open	—	10-27 01:58
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	30	$174	3,489	0	+3,489	open	—	10-25 19:32
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	18	$160	2,607	0	+2,607	open	—	10-28 01:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$150	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-31 15:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	19	$132	9,200	0	+9,200	open	—	10-21 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:38:53	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x37fbcb…
10-28 01:38:26	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xce7150…
10-28 01:38:17	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x41ae98…
10-28 01:38:12	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x3d4abe…
10-28 01:38:00	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	5¢	$8	0xabdd76…
10-27 10:32:12	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0xb2d490…
10-27 10:30:21	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x31291e…
10-27 10:28:45	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	905	0¢	$2	0xe53eab…
10-27 10:28:27	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,900	0¢	$21	0xc0329b…
10-27 10:28:15	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$4	0x71048d…
10-27 10:25:59	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x64e223…
10-27 10:25:57	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6ec707…
10-27 10:25:57	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x07fac3…
10-27 10:13:18	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xda28de…
10-27 10:08:18	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	0¢	$1	0x8ed651…
10-27 10:08:18	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0x7ee492…
10-27 10:08:18	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	770	0¢	$3	0x200dbd…
10-27 10:08:18	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	0¢	$1	0x01bc9d…
10-27 01:58:24	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xf2d4ab…
10-27 01:58:23	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0x7838f2…
10-27 01:58:14	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd54c0e…
10-27 01:58:14	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xcdca35…
10-27 01:58:14	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x32be90…
10-27 01:58:12	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$3	0x70af51…
10-27 01:18:30	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x778330…
10-27 01:18:24	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x8b0d81…
10-27 01:18:17	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xd33ccf…
10-27 01:15:39	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x94a3eb…
10-27 01:14:09	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x3515b8…
10-27 01:14:02	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x4d66a8…
10-27 01:13:54	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x470928…
10-27 01:12:29	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xddba24…
10-27 01:12:20	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xc2ddf6…
10-27 01:09:39	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x852670…
10-27 01:09:32	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x0b6bba…
10-27 01:09:24	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x4f4f5f…
10-27 01:07:18	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xe69bb3…
10-27 01:07:11	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x37a645…
10-27 01:07:05	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x2cc693…
10-27 01:05:32	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x7b0ef0…
10-26 17:21:26	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xba94b2…
10-26 17:21:18	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xf34a02…
10-26 17:21:11	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x564058…
10-26 17:18:24	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xb2010b…
10-25 19:32:51	Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	467	5¢	$23	0x29499b…
10-25 17:27:08	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x57f086…
10-25 17:27:08	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1022d4…
10-25 17:26:00	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	846	4¢	$34	0xaa7257…
10-25 17:25:59	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xaa8e9b…
10-25 17:25:59	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2214d9…
10-23 23:54:27	Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1b354d…
10-22 16:37:59	Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5418b7…
10-22 06:18:19	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xb585cb…
10-22 01:14:42	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb8ec17…
10-22 01:12:35	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	215	6¢	$13	0x320034…
10-21 13:31:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,600	1¢	$66	0xfbf2d6…
10-19 19:08:20	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc038dd…
10-19 19:02:56	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x205509…
10-18 16:57:54	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,225	3¢	$67	0x963121…
10-18 09:58:45	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x4d497c…
10-17 06:32:23	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3bfda1…
10-17 06:32:17	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xaa8d5d…
10-17 06:32:15	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb6d895…
10-17 06:32:15	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	420	4¢	$17	0x29ac9e…
10-17 02:57:06	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xd758b0…
10-17 02:50:30	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x3df742…
10-17 02:50:23	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x2573b9…
10-17 02:48:02	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x4084f6…
10-17 02:47:54	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x57ebf5…
10-16 21:58:45	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x980aaa…
10-16 18:40:39	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$3	0x8cb03a…
10-14 20:24:34	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	3¢	$9	0xa004ac…
10-14 20:22:58	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x71cccb…
10-14 20:22:57	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xa4a9d0…
10-13 21:01:46	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb5e173…
10-13 21:01:40	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xff116c…
10-13 21:01:39	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x231587…
10-13 21:01:37	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	240	4¢	$10	0x493eb8…
10-12 14:16:11	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	2,905	4¢	$116	0xc15e76…
10-12 08:02:51	Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdb709e…
10-11 21:56:34	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xfadf06…
10-11 21:56:28	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xb600d9…
10-11 20:55:22	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x61bc9a…
10-11 15:14:39	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0x1e4610…
10-11 13:07:55	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x493d23…
10-11 12:03:13	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	637	6¢	$38	0x6add25…
10-11 04:43:47	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x83daaa…
10-11 01:39:02	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	344	6¢	$21	0xd0593f…
10-10 19:56:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	2¢	$11	0x9a83c9…
10-10 19:54:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,452	2¢	$29	0xab1d65…
10-10 19:53:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,482	2¢	$30	0x717328…
10-10 19:53:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,506	2¢	$30	0x6406ef…
10-10 11:15:28	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	6¢	$3	0x900b4d…
10-09 12:35:06	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x7c6f12…
10-09 10:11:49	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x29ccf0…
10-09 09:24:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0x67f28a…
10-09 08:25:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x97d28f…
10-09 07:35:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0xfe141f…
10-09 06:04:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xb1d359…
10-09 06:02:01	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	453	4¢	$18	0x45d3a0…