Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
open
Total volume
$35,435
Trades
508
Unique wallets
170
Liquidity
$9,289
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-14 01:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.0¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $4.0K
vs crowd: 10% YES on $26.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $66 | $7.7K | $7.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $1.1K | $13.1K | $12.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 31 | $465 | $2.0K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 99 | $862 | $889 | $27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $422 | $3.6K | $3.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $408 | $6.4K | $6.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $26 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| Median | 25 | $12 | $5.0K | $5.0K |
| Below median | 14 | $172 | $257 | $85 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $19 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $49 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $50 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| unranked | 89 | $1.4K | $3.2K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portly-Postbox 0x3cde…41d0 | Yes | +5,000 | $450 | $450 | 24 | 06-08 16:07 |
| stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | +4,434 | $4,179 | $4,179 | 12 | 08-13 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6d1…32b8 | No | +4,076 | $3,679 | $3,679 | 6 | 06-04 05:42 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,375 | $213 | $213 | 23 | 07-09 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1b5…8378 | Yes | +3,200 | $145 | $145 | 6 | 07-08 14:59 |
| Novel-Chitchat 0x4755…4338 | Yes | +2,853 | $257 | $257 | 2 | 06-12 08:49 |
| Novel-Chitchat 0x4755…4338 | No | +2,853 | $2,592 | $2,868 | 5 | 06-15 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2d9…083c | Yes | +2,653 | $162 | $162 | 10 | 07-23 13:58 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,334 | $2,168 | $2,350 | 19 | 08-14 01:18 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +2,039 | $273 | $529 | 3 | 06-15 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5ee…5d9c | No | +1,994 | $1,814 | $1,814 | 1 | 06-12 08:49 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +1,595 | $1,320 | $5,865 | 32 | 08-06 16:41 |
| Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | No | +783 | $696 | $1,154 | 8 | 08-13 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +716 | $688 | $688 | 6 | 08-03 20:35 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +414 | $14 | $22 | 7 | 07-21 22:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x43b8…0368 | Yes | +407 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 08-14 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xae38…6247 | Yes | +386 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-29 12:41 |
| Flamboyant-Burial 0xbf9c…115f | Yes | +379 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-25 09:28 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +351 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 07-08 14:59 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | +300 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-16 14:13 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +277 | $16 | $16 | 5 | 08-10 07:59 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +274 | $6 | $20 | 10 | 07-09 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x57e1…9a45 | Yes | +273 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-11 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc5e…94f9 | Yes | +221 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-18 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7410…f96f | No | +194 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 07-07 05:49 |
| Valuable-Shred 0x45f5…6fff | Yes | +182 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-04 07:14 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +150 | $137 | $137 | 4 | 06-10 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5198…2616 | Yes | +120 | $10 | $10 | 6 | 06-13 18:17 |
| Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | +104 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 16:40 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-21 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xba8e…e305 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 22:24 |
| Overdue-Congregation 0x5c47…8216 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 15:05 |
| Sentimental-Clearing 0x6142…367b | Yes | +100 | $13 | $37 | 4 | 06-13 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc880…24eb | Yes | +67 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-27 00:34 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +62 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-18 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fde…b559 | No | +59 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 08-14 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8591…9abe | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 08-14 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf19f…9084 | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 08-14 01:18 |
| Limited-Beating 0x610c…3def | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x50f2…f52c | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-14 01:18 |
| Purple-Ignorance 0x2856…fe07 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-04 05:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xac83…26c4 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-03 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b10…ad72 | Yes | +29 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 08:11 |
| Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-15 12:55 |
| Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 19:52 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 14:59 |
| Quixotic-Ornament 0xf467…935f | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-12 07:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 08-14 01:18 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-25 09:28 |
| Fabulous-Bark 0x1a3c…9088 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-04 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x33f5…68ab | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-07 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x684b…e03b | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 14:17 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 04:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 01:18:34 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 132 | 96¢ | $127 | 0xd294eb… |
| 08-14 01:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x8591…9abe | No | BUY | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xd294eb… |
| 08-14 01:18:34 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd294eb… |
| 08-14 01:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x1fde…b559 | No | BUY | 59 | 97¢ | $57 | 0xd294eb… |
| 08-14 01:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xf19f…9084 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xd294eb… |
| 08-14 01:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x43b8…0368 | Yes | BUY | 407 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xd294eb… |
| 08-14 01:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xd294eb… |
| 08-14 01:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x50f2…f52c | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xd294eb… |
| 08-13 16:02:16 | stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | BUY | 237 | 97¢ | $229 | 0x66eba6… |
| 08-13 16:02:16 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | No | SELL | 237 | 97¢ | $229 | 0x66eba6… |
| 08-10 07:59:16 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x18306a… |
| 08-10 07:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x4022…15f8 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x18306a… |
| 08-07 15:26:04 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf4be4e… |
| 08-07 15:26:04 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf4be4e… |
| 08-06 16:41:51 | (anonymous) 0xa588…ecc2 | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x464253… |
| 08-06 16:41:51 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 187 | 96¢ | $180 | 0x464253… |
| 08-06 16:41:51 | stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | BUY | 291 | 96¢ | $281 | 0x464253… |
| 08-06 16:41:51 | Hairy-Saffron 0xbabc…1606 | No | SELL | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x464253… |
| 08-06 16:41:51 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x464253… |
| 08-06 16:22:24 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $289 | 0x42b31b… |
| 08-06 16:22:24 | stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $289 | 0x42b31b… |
| 08-04 19:27:11 | Exotic-Grouper 0x7d12…4a9e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd3c39d… |
| 08-04 19:27:11 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd3c39d… |
| 08-04 14:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x453c…efe1 | No | SELL | 59 | 96¢ | $57 | 0x61607c… |
| 08-04 14:34:50 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x61607c… |
| 08-04 14:34:50 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 130 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x61607c… |
| 08-04 14:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x61607c… |
| 08-04 14:34:50 | (anonymous) 0xc281…2ae2 | No | SELL | 58 | 96¢ | $56 | 0x61607c… |
| 08-03 20:35:30 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2d4c0f… |
| 08-03 20:35:30 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2d4c0f… |
| 07-30 16:58:20 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 108 | 96¢ | $103 | 0x50a90d… |
| 07-30 16:58:20 | (anonymous) 0xb688…5327 | No | SELL | 108 | 96¢ | $103 | 0x50a90d… |
| 07-29 22:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x30e7c0… |
| 07-29 22:09:45 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x30e7c0… |
| 07-29 19:02:23 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xcef978… |
| 07-29 19:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xcef978… |
| 07-29 12:41:54 | (anonymous) 0xae38…6247 | Yes | BUY | 386 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xfdb5e2… |
| 07-29 12:41:54 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 332 | 96¢ | $319 | 0xfdb5e2… |
| 07-29 12:41:54 | Hairy-Saffron 0xbabc…1606 | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0xfdb5e2… |
| 07-27 09:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x8685…948b | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xd64e34… |
| 07-27 09:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x8618…4386 | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0xd64e34… |
| 07-27 09:04:13 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 123 | 96¢ | $118 | 0xd64e34… |
| 07-27 09:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xc368…81c6 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xd64e34… |
| 07-27 09:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 273 | 96¢ | $263 | 0xd64e34… |
| 07-26 08:22:19 | Deadly-Word 0x8ee1…377a | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9b16f4… |
| 07-26 08:22:19 | (anonymous) 0xf19f…9084 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9b16f4… |
| 07-25 21:33:13 | (anonymous) 0xf19f…9084 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe5d727… |
| 07-25 21:33:13 | Unnatural-Screwdriver 0x1ea3…4a36 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe5d727… |
| 07-24 08:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x0b10…ad72 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4688ef… |
| 07-24 08:11:31 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x4688ef… |
| 07-23 13:58:19 | (anonymous) 0xa2d9…083c | Yes | BUY | 562 | 4¢ | $22 | 0x7e2a63… |
| 07-23 13:58:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7e2a63… |
| 07-23 13:58:19 | (anonymous) 0xd3f3…c8d5 | Yes | SELL | 274 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x7e2a63… |
| 07-23 13:58:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x7e2a63… |
| 07-23 13:58:19 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 139 | 96¢ | $133 | 0x7e2a63… |
| 07-23 12:49:40 | (anonymous) 0xd3f3…c8d5 | Yes | SELL | 1,758 | 4¢ | $70 | 0x1f762b… |
| 07-23 12:49:40 | (anonymous) 0xc281…2ae2 | No | BUY | 58 | 96¢ | $56 | 0x1f762b… |
| 07-23 12:49:40 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 1,816 | 96¢ | $1,743 | 0x1f762b… |
| 07-23 07:35:37 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8d1e73… |
| 07-23 07:35:37 | Deadly-Word 0x8ee1…377a | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8d1e73… |
| 07-23 05:31:51 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x06eb8a… |
| 07-23 05:31:51 | (anonymous) 0xb6ca…c084 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x06eb8a… |
| 07-22 10:35:22 | (anonymous) 0xbbf7…afa8 | No | SELL | 156 | 96¢ | $150 | 0xa46c17… |
| 07-22 10:35:22 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa46c17… |
| 07-22 10:35:22 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa46c17… |
| 07-22 10:35:22 | (anonymous) 0x453c…efe1 | No | BUY | 59 | 96¢ | $57 | 0xa46c17… |
| 07-22 10:35:22 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa46c17… |
| 07-21 22:32:15 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xc9a236… |
| 07-21 22:32:15 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc9a236… |
| 07-21 18:52:18 | (anonymous) 0xbbf7…afa8 | No | BUY | 156 | 96¢ | $150 | 0x4dbedd… |
| 07-21 18:52:18 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 156 | 96¢ | $150 | 0x4dbedd… |
| 07-21 05:56:46 | Glossy-Cream 0x8e6c…6ed0 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc54227… |
| 07-21 05:56:46 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc54227… |
| 07-21 02:53:24 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xaf2c3b… |
| 07-21 02:53:24 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xaf2c3b… |
| 07-19 17:38:43 | Automatic-Savory 0xc305…69b3 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x425ba7… |
| 07-19 17:38:43 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x425ba7… |
| 07-18 00:16:22 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 51 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf95825… |
| 07-18 00:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x8685…948b | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf95825… |
| 07-18 00:16:22 | (anonymous) 0xc368…81c6 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xf95825… |
| 07-18 00:16:22 | (anonymous) 0xcc5e…94f9 | Yes | BUY | 221 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xf95825… |
| 07-18 00:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x8618…4386 | No | BUY | 51 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xf95825… |
| 07-18 00:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf95825… |
| 07-16 14:59:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 287 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xe2f1d8… |
| 07-16 14:59:53 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe2f1d8… |
| 07-16 14:59:53 | Determined-Tomato 0xbace…3429 | Yes | SELL | 333 | 4¢ | $13 | 0xe2f1d8… |
| 07-16 14:59:53 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe2f1d8… |
| 07-16 02:08:41 | Jumpy-Liquor 0xabb9…bdc2 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x6ae793… |
| 07-16 02:08:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6ae793… |
| 07-15 12:55:23 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xe25744… |
| 07-15 12:55:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe25744… |
| 07-15 11:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x918cbb… |
| 07-15 11:51:43 | Distant-Scheduling 0xed67…77c2 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x918cbb… |
| 07-15 11:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1771dd… |
| 07-15 11:38:01 | Wavy-Intelligence 0xc2f7…ea4c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1771dd… |
| 07-14 16:45:11 | (anonymous) 0xadd8…5864 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xdac8fa… |
| 07-14 16:45:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdac8fa… |
| 07-14 16:45:11 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdac8fa… |
| 07-14 16:45:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xdac8fa… |
| 07-14 16:45:11 | (anonymous) 0x3ceb…f2fe | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xdac8fa… |