Realized P&L
+$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
97.0%
Resolved
7,512
Trades
34,740
lifetime
Volume
$187.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$456
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-27 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
92% 85% +$9
Crypto
7% 42% +$1,362
Sports
0% 64% -$10
Politics
0% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +53 $50 98¢ $51 +$1 07-15 12:49
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +53 $50 96¢ $51 +$1 06-13 11:14
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +52 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 07-15 12:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +55 $50 88¢ $49 -$1 05-10 20:18
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +32 $30 99¢ $32 +$2 05-26 09:14
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 +$0 05-08 08:19
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +26 $25 98¢ $26 +$1 07-15 13:08
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +26 $25 98¢ $25 +$0 07-15 12:55
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 05-10 13:20
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +26 $25 94¢ $24 -$1 07-15 12:56
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 05-20 19:56
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 07-15 13:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 05-10 14:00
Tom Lee charged by December 31? No +16 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 07-15 13:06
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 05-10 20:23
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-20 20:08
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +15 -$4 24¢ $4 +$8 06-05 17:16
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +301 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-15 12:35
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-16 15:52
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 100¢ $0 +$1 08-16 15:50
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +1 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 06-17 11:13
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-03 10:39
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 05-20 20:06