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Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
34,746 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$187.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$564
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-28 01:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
92% 85% +$9
Crypto
7% 42% +$1,362
Sports
0% 64% -$10
Politics
0% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +53 $50 99¢ $52 +$2 07-15 12:49
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +53 $50 98¢ $52 +$2 06-13 11:14
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +52 $48 98¢ $51 +$3 06-10 08:03
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +52 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 07-15 12:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +55 $50 86¢ $48 -$2 05-10 20:18
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +32 $30 100¢ $32 +$2 05-26 09:14
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +31 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 05-08 08:19
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? No +28 $25 100¢ $28 +$3 05-27 12:17
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +26 $25 99¢ $26 +$1 07-15 13:08
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +26 $25 98¢ $26 +$1 07-15 13:10
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +26 $25 98¢ $26 +$1 07-15 12:56
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 05-10 13:20
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +26 $25 98¢ $25 +$0 07-15 12:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 05-10 14:00
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 05-20 19:56
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 07-15 13:08
Tom Lee charged by December 31? No +16 $15 97¢ $15 +$0 07-15 13:06
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 05-10 20:23
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 05-20 20:08
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +15 -$4 21¢ $3 +$7 06-05 17:16
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +307 -$1 0¢ $1 +$3 06-15 04:46
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +301 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-15 12:35
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 08-16 15:52
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 100¢ $0 +$1 08-16 15:50
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 06-17 11:13
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-03 10:39
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 05-20 20:06