Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$58,166
$10,464 in 24h
Trades
383
Unique wallets
157
Liquidity
$150,318
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-25 11:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $38.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $27 | $9.3K | $9.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $41 | $19.4K | $19.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $1.3K | $6.6K | $5.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 102 | $54 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $27 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $9 | $9.3K | $9.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $1 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Median | 28 | $6 | $307 | $301 |
| Below median | 18 | $17 | $171 | $153 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $40 | $55 | $15 |
| unranked | 82 | $1.3K | $22.9K | $21.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc6bd…6a35 | Yes | +22,617 | $1,257 | $1,257 | 14 | 07-18 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | +14,969 | $14,225 | $14,225 | 3 | 07-22 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x856a…4ea2 | No | +5,575 | $5,358 | $5,358 | 1 | 07-24 15:02 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +2,439 | $2,154 | $16,090 | 23 | 07-24 15:02 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +960 | $920 | $920 | 2 | 07-20 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +960 | $38 | $42 | 5 | 07-21 05:17 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | +621 | $27 | $27 | 5 | 07-22 10:48 |
| Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | +600 | $564 | $564 | 2 | 06-29 07:08 |
| Agitated-Perennial 0x7d26…ccb8 | No | +526 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-11 02:49 |
| Sardonic-Schnitzel 0x82bb…85a8 | No | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-26 19:07 |
| Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | +255 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-27 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5b3…764b | No | +220 | $211 | $211 | 1 | 07-18 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +200 | $184 | $1,320 | 25 | 07-18 13:15 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +200 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-22 10:48 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +200 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 06-16 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +182 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-06 13:54 |
| Unhealthy-Stool 0xa69f…6874 | Yes | +158 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d82…8844 | Yes | +137 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-17 07:11 |
| Green-Birdwatcher 0x3458…b5a7 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa291…1c8b | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-14 04:55 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-03 05:59 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 4 | 07-12 14:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +91 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-12 14:57 |
| Unsightly-Inverse 0xb904…22dd | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 09:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8247…22f1 | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-24 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-25 08:15 |
| Nervous-Sweatshirt 0x4ab8…3447 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-23 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xece7…ef01 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-24 15:02 |
| Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 07-09 09:14 |
| Harmless-Vibraphone 0xb9b3…89fc | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 07-04 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xa65b…46c2 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-24 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xdea9…e079 | No | +45 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 07-25 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd0a…dbf0 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-01 13:18 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-22 19:34 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-23 19:33 |
| Fine-Melon 0xc57d…03b0 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-09 15:05 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-08 05:11 |
| Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-15 13:08 |
| These-Blouse 0x790b…0050 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-03 21:10 |
| Silent-Psychiatrist 0x60e1…503c | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-15 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xddf1…1028 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5089…5f84 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 00:53 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc644…ce67 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-17 14:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 11:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x2a2d…0af1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x20de18… |
| 07-25 11:41:45 | (anonymous) 0xdea9…e079 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x20de18… |
| 07-25 07:47:43 | Weary-Calculation 0x394f…b8e4 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x0f1ab6… |
| 07-25 07:47:43 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x0f1ab6… |
| 07-24 16:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x84bc…da30 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaa3dff… |
| 07-24 16:09:58 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaa3dff… |
| 07-24 15:02:01 | Red-Chaplain 0x87bf…a0c8 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4cc109… |
| 07-24 15:02:01 | (anonymous) 0xdea9…e079 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4cc109… |
| 07-24 15:02:00 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 230 | 96¢ | $221 | 0xcac1e3… |
| 07-24 15:02:00 | (anonymous) 0xece7…ef01 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xcac1e3… |
| 07-24 15:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x8247…22f1 | No | BUY | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xcac1e3… |
| 07-24 15:02:00 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 6,000 | 96¢ | $5,766 | 0xcac1e3… |
| 07-24 15:02:00 | (anonymous) 0xdea9…e079 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xcac1e3… |
| 07-24 15:02:00 | (anonymous) 0xa65b…46c2 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xcac1e3… |
| 07-24 15:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x856a…4ea2 | No | BUY | 5,575 | 96¢ | $5,358 | 0xcac1e3… |
| 07-24 03:02:54 | Wary-Confectionery 0x478b…8edb | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8c63cb… |
| 07-24 03:02:54 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8c63cb… |
| 07-23 21:38:24 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $288 | 0xccd3f4… |
| 07-23 21:38:24 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $288 | 0xccd3f4… |
| 07-23 21:38:24 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc66591… |
| 07-23 21:38:24 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc66591… |
| 07-23 19:33:31 | Nervous-Sweatshirt 0x4ab8…3447 | No | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0xcf16ca… |
| 07-23 19:33:31 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xcf16ca… |
| 07-23 19:33:31 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0xcf16ca… |
| 07-23 19:33:31 | Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xcf16ca… |
| 07-22 12:26:18 | (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaf7941… |
| 07-22 12:26:18 | (anonymous) 0x5f5b…42ba | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaf7941… |
| 07-22 10:48:31 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x41364e… |
| 07-22 10:48:31 | (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | BUY | 511 | 96¢ | $491 | 0x41364e… |
| 07-22 10:48:31 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x41364e… |
| 07-22 10:48:31 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x41364e… |
| 07-22 04:21:25 | (anonymous) 0x6981…e643 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbefffd… |
| 07-22 04:21:25 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xbefffd… |
| 07-21 20:08:18 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | SELL | 78 | 96¢ | $75 | 0x8fbf76… |
| 07-21 20:08:18 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xafa866… |
| 07-21 20:08:18 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x8fbf76… |
| 07-21 20:08:18 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x8fbf76… |
| 07-21 20:08:18 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xafa866… |
| 07-21 05:17:25 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcd6132… |
| 07-21 05:17:25 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcd6132… |
| 07-21 01:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8e6fb2… |
| 07-21 01:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x6981…e643 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8e6fb2… |
| 07-20 19:31:06 | Each-Acetate 0x60b8…945f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8152d8… |
| 07-20 19:31:06 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8152d8… |
| 07-20 14:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 779 | 4¢ | $31 | 0xc0ae69… |
| 07-20 14:12:30 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | SELL | 121 | 96¢ | $116 | 0xc0ae69… |
| 07-20 14:12:30 | Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | BUY | 900 | 96¢ | $864 | 0xc0ae69… |
| 07-18 13:36:24 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 220 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x2ad8e9… |
| 07-18 13:36:24 | (anonymous) 0xe5b3…764b | No | BUY | 220 | 96¢ | $211 | 0x2ad8e9… |
| 07-18 13:32:34 | Sour-Dungeon 0x8c11…1a93 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5f6324… |
| 07-18 13:32:34 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5f6324… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x9cdb…886f | No | SELL | 58 | 95¢ | $55 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x518f…8790 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0xc6bd…6a35 | Yes | BUY | 10,000 | 5¢ | $500 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x42fe…ea66 | No | SELL | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x0ace…58de | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x8ab7…d6ee | No | SELL | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x8883…df82 | No | SELL | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x6ee5…208c | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 400 | 95¢ | $380 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 361 | 95¢ | $343 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x923c…f183 | No | SELL | 54 | 95¢ | $51 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | No | SELL | 2,487 | 95¢ | $2,363 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x5c77…b194 | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | BUY | 14,456 | 95¢ | $13,734 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 13:15:36 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x698ec2… |
| 07-18 03:12:01 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4984e8… |
| 07-18 03:12:01 | (anonymous) 0xf18a…69b7 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4984e8… |
| 07-17 08:17:55 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x8ed0f2… |
| 07-17 08:17:55 | (anonymous) 0x613e…466c | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x8ed0f2… |
| 07-17 07:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x0d82…8844 | Yes | BUY | 137 | 6¢ | $8 | 0xc9a13f… |
| 07-17 07:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xc9a13f… |
| 07-17 07:11:43 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 115 | 94¢ | $108 | 0xc9a13f… |
| 07-15 16:24:11 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x740512… |
| 07-15 16:24:11 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x740512… |
| 07-15 13:08:53 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | No | SELL | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x1993f0… |
| 07-15 13:08:53 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x1993f0… |
| 07-15 12:03:25 | Ambitious-Standardisation 0x87c9…13ce | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x046a46… |
| 07-15 12:03:25 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x046a46… |
| 07-15 05:23:20 | Silent-Psychiatrist 0x60e1…503c | No | BUY | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x93874e… |
| 07-15 05:23:20 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x93874e… |
| 07-15 00:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x5089…5f84 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x175867… |
| 07-15 00:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x175867… |
| 07-14 13:29:50 | (anonymous) 0x90aa…bb09 | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xaf21a5… |
| 07-14 13:29:50 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xaf21a5… |
| 07-14 07:55:40 | Clever-Paragraph 0x004a…1146 | No | SELL | 105 | 94¢ | $99 | 0x3d5732… |
| 07-14 07:55:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 105 | 94¢ | $99 | 0x3d5732… |
| 07-14 04:55:25 | (anonymous) 0xa291…1c8b | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x752eaa… |
| 07-14 04:55:25 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | No | SELL | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x752eaa… |
| 07-13 18:44:13 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | No | SELL | 132 | 95¢ | $126 | 0xebab84… |
| 07-13 18:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x289a…0237 | Yes | SELL | 132 | 5¢ | $7 | 0xebab84… |
| 07-13 09:55:44 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x90c649… |
| 07-13 09:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x8c74…2b83 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x90c649… |
| 07-12 14:57:32 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 91 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x735391… |
| 07-12 14:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x735391… |
| 07-12 14:57:32 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 88 | 94¢ | $83 | 0x735391… |
| 07-12 14:25:01 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x82e555… |
| 07-12 14:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x5378…babc | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x82e555… |