Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$60,567
$10,464 in 24h
Trades
545
Unique wallets
208
Liquidity
$150,318
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-16 05:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.7¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $39.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $44 | $10.0K | $9.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $41 | $19.5K | $19.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 29 | $1.3K | $6.6K | $5.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 140 | $106 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $27 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $14 | $9.9K | $9.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $3 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Median | 33 | $12 | $345 | $334 |
| Below median | 20 | $17 | $176 | $158 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $11 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $40 | $95 | $55 |
| unranked | 114 | $1.4K | $23.0K | $21.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc6bd…6a35 | Yes | +22,617 | $1,257 | $1,257 | 14 | 07-18 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | +14,969 | $14,225 | $14,225 | 3 | 07-22 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x856a…4ea2 | No | +5,575 | $5,358 | $5,358 | 1 | 07-24 15:02 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +2,313 | $2,032 | $16,212 | 24 | 07-31 03:23 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +960 | $920 | $920 | 2 | 07-20 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +960 | $38 | $42 | 5 | 07-21 05:17 |
| Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | +672 | $639 | $639 | 1 | 07-31 03:23 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | +621 | $27 | $27 | 5 | 07-22 10:48 |
| Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | +600 | $564 | $564 | 2 | 06-29 07:08 |
| Agitated-Perennial 0x7d26…ccb8 | No | +526 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-11 02:49 |
| Sardonic-Schnitzel 0x82bb…85a8 | No | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-26 19:07 |
| Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | +255 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-27 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5b3…764b | No | +220 | $211 | $211 | 1 | 07-18 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +200 | $184 | $1,320 | 25 | 07-18 13:15 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +200 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-22 10:48 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +200 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 06-16 22:54 |
| Unhealthy-Stool 0xa69f…6874 | Yes | +158 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 22:35 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | Yes | +150 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 08-08 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa291…1c8b | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-14 04:55 |
| Green-Birdwatcher 0x3458…b5a7 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 02:39 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-03 05:59 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 4 | 07-12 14:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +92 | $3 | $6 | 2 | 08-13 19:04 |
| Unsightly-Inverse 0xb904…22dd | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 09:12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +73 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 08-03 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-25 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 08-13 19:04 |
| Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 07-09 09:14 |
| Harmless-Vibraphone 0xb9b3…89fc | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 07-04 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x81f4…a1cd | Yes | +49 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-01 14:36 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +41 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 08-03 08:01 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-22 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $10 | 22 | 08-16 05:18 |
| Fine-Melon 0xc57d…03b0 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-09 15:05 |
| Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-15 13:08 |
| These-Blouse 0x790b…0050 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-03 21:10 |
| Silent-Psychiatrist 0x60e1…503c | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-15 05:23 |
| Linear-Leaver 0x2811…6818 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-18 07:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xddf1…1028 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5089…5f84 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 00:53 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc644…ce67 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 14:02 |
| Qualified-Tabernacle 0x6994…6b7b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-08 10:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 05:18:13 | (anonymous) 0xa6ed…f5cb | Yes | SELL | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1fe1d2… |
| 08-16 05:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1fe1d2… |
| 08-16 05:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xa6ed…f5cb | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9a2adf… |
| 08-16 05:10:28 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9a2adf… |
| 08-15 20:03:48 | Pessimistic-Ski-Texture 0xcfdc…5a2e | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x64f627… |
| 08-15 20:03:48 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x64f627… |
| 08-15 20:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xb8bb…8b19 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x64f627… |
| 08-15 05:30:36 | (anonymous) 0xbc53…7611 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc980df… |
| 08-15 05:30:36 | (anonymous) 0xb8bb…8b19 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xc980df… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0xb8bb…8b19 | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0xb0e8…399f | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x0f88…d915 | No | SELL | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x1890…8024 | No | SELL | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | SELL | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x52d4…22e6 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x780b…c237 | No | SELL | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-15 03:14:28 | (anonymous) 0xd29d…920a | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xe801be… |
| 08-14 06:08:48 | Each-Acetate 0x60b8…945f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3f5e3f… |
| 08-14 06:08:48 | (anonymous) 0xbc53…7611 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f5e3f… |
| 08-13 19:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xd28018… |
| 08-13 19:04:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 38 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd28018… |
| 08-13 19:04:16 | Essential-Octet 0x7a6b…7137 | No | SELL | 106 | 96¢ | $102 | 0xd28018… |
| 08-13 19:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd28018… |
| 08-12 18:18:01 | Large-Alteration 0x076e…c497 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfedeab… |
| 08-12 18:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xfedeab… |
| 08-12 11:34:28 | Sleepy-Remote 0xc413…2ca4 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x596b8f… |
| 08-12 11:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x596b8f… |
| 08-10 22:25:46 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8d6a55… |
| 08-10 22:25:46 | (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8d6a55… |
| 08-09 06:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x50a0df… |
| 08-09 06:57:28 | (anonymous) 0xa6ed…f5cb | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x50a0df… |
| 08-09 04:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x4914…2da1 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8d06cb… |
| 08-09 04:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8d06cb… |
| 08-09 02:39:06 | Whispered-Nightgown 0xe700…a18e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbb2d97… |
| 08-09 02:39:06 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbb2d97… |
| 08-08 23:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe432cd… |
| 08-08 23:54:37 | Discrete-Wiretap 0x0afd…99d4 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe432cd… |
| 08-08 23:54:37 | (anonymous) 0xbc53…7611 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe432cd… |
| 08-08 12:21:30 | (anonymous) 0xbc53…7611 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd16fc5… |
| 08-08 12:21:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xd16fc5… |
| 08-08 12:21:30 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | Yes | BUY | 71 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xd16fc5… |
| 08-08 10:54:24 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3ce414… |
| 08-08 10:54:24 | Qualified-Tabernacle 0x6994…6b7b | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x3ce414… |
| 08-08 09:39:49 | (anonymous) 0x1e65…354c | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xb94193… |
| 08-08 09:39:49 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb94193… |
| 08-07 18:03:55 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xea98ba… |
| 08-07 18:03:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xea98ba… |
| 08-07 16:36:48 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x79dde7… |
| 08-07 16:36:48 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x79dde7… |
| 08-07 07:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x0893…61ae | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xf236e6… |
| 08-07 07:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf236e6… |
| 08-07 05:46:27 | (anonymous) 0xa9d4…7353 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xfb6a1a… |
| 08-07 05:46:27 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfb6a1a… |
| 08-06 07:16:30 | Sweltering-Sunflower 0x6696…7f21 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5f431c… |
| 08-06 07:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5f431c… |
| 08-06 06:26:17 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeed601… |
| 08-06 06:26:17 | (anonymous) 0xbe0f…003b | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xeed601… |
| 08-05 05:41:30 | (anonymous) 0x0f60…531a | Yes | SELL | 106 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xc9bceb… |
| 08-05 05:41:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc9bceb… |
| 08-05 05:41:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xc9bceb… |
| 08-05 05:38:53 | (anonymous) 0x0f60…531a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xef29ef… |
| 08-05 05:38:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xef29ef… |
| 08-05 05:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x0f60…531a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf817c7… |
| 08-05 05:37:51 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf817c7… |
| 08-05 05:36:47 | (anonymous) 0x0f60…531a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf1c7bb… |
| 08-05 05:36:47 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf1c7bb… |
| 08-05 05:35:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4e8cd3… |
| 08-05 05:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x0f60…531a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4e8cd3… |
| 08-05 05:34:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x53cb34… |
| 08-05 05:34:36 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x53cb34… |
| 08-05 05:34:36 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x53cb34… |
| 08-05 05:34:36 | (anonymous) 0x0f60…531a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x53cb34… |
| 08-04 16:55:05 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6e21c4… |
| 08-04 16:55:05 | (anonymous) 0x8554…eb1e | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x6e21c4… |
| 08-04 16:46:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x330753… |
| 08-04 16:46:15 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x330753… |
| 08-04 16:46:15 | (anonymous) 0x8554…eb1e | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x330753… |
| 08-04 14:44:44 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 91 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x4c5ea9… |
| 08-04 14:44:44 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x4c5ea9… |
| 08-04 14:16:15 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1661b8… |
| 08-04 14:16:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1661b8… |
| 08-04 14:16:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 130 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x3dced4… |
| 08-04 14:16:03 | (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x3dced4… |
| 08-04 14:16:03 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 182 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x3dced4… |
| 08-03 08:01:36 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 43 | 95¢ | $41 | 0x555532… |
| 08-03 08:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x555532… |
| 08-03 08:01:36 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x555532… |
| 08-03 08:01:36 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 36 | 96¢ | $35 | 0x555532… |
| 08-03 08:01:36 | Mortified-Shack 0x7183…2589 | No | SELL | 128 | 95¢ | $122 | 0x555532… |
| 08-02 06:41:56 | Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x5d189b… |
| 08-02 06:41:56 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x5d189b… |
| 08-02 02:45:38 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x501302… |
| 08-02 02:45:38 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x501302… |
| 08-02 02:26:42 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x738fcd… |
| 08-02 02:26:42 | (anonymous) 0xa6ed…f5cb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x738fcd… |
| 08-01 21:18:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x67899c… |
| 08-01 21:18:03 | Confused-Warlord 0x8f6b…010c | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x67899c… |
| 08-01 21:17:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa6faf3… |