Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
-$79
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
655
lifetime
Volume
$419.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$640
Open exposure
$36.6K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
44% 100% +$20
Politics
33% 100% +$5
Sports
15%
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6,600 $-6,072 94¢ $-6237 $-165 07-13 22:29
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +5,648 $5,354 96¢ $5.4K +$39 07-20 14:13
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +10,160 $5,050 50¢ $5.1K +$15 07-13 22:30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +4,221 $3,948 94¢ $4.0K +$39 07-08 23:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -2,210 $-2,122 96¢ $-2129 $-8 07-01 02:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +2,164 $2,085 97¢ $2.1K +$15 07-13 03:21
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,220 $1,998 88¢ $2.0K $-44 07-11 14:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,100 $1,969 92¢ $1.9K $-27 07-06 19:11
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +1,362 $1,211 88¢ $1.2K $-19 07-20 14:08
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,181 $1,129 96¢ $1.1K +$9 07-20 14:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,280 $1,042 86¢ $1.1K +$65 07-20 14:17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,081 $1,016 92¢ $1000 $-16 07-06 22:34
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +960 $920 96¢ $924 +$4 07-20 14:12
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +901 $868 97¢ $870 +$2 07-20 14:23
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +589 $596 96¢ $563 $-33 07-10 17:23
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +539 $510 96¢ $515 +$4 07-20 14:09
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +458 $366 81¢ $371 +$5 07-12 16:01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -600 $-150 19¢ $-114 +$36 06-26 20:59