Another-Allowance 0xdafd27…a65ffb
whale hot 20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$265
Hit rate
95.6%
Resolved
199
Trades
1,021
lifetime
Volume
$593.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$581
Open exposure
$72.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
48% 96% +$3,586
Politics
29% 98% +$1,110
Sports
11% 71% +$1,488
Tech
8% 95% +$603
Crypto
3% 70% +$390
Pop-Culture
1% 60% -$452
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +8,788 $8,350 98¢ $8.6K +$254 08-07 20:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6,600 -$6,072 96¢ $-6336 -$264 07-13 22:29
US recession by end of 2026? No +6,534 $5,967 92¢ $6.0K +$77 10-01 18:36
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5,546 $5,203 97¢ $5.4K +$169 08-05 22:09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,364 $5,089 84¢ $4.5K -$557 10-01 18:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,480 $3,022 94¢ $3.3K +$232 08-10 13:26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +3,228 $3,183 99¢ $3.2K +$5 10-03 05:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +3,373 $3,205 92¢ $3.1K -$85 10-21 16:51
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +3,159 $3,029 98¢ $3.1K +$58 08-08 14:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,680 $2,528 96¢ $2.6K +$39 10-01 18:05
New pandemic in 2026? No +2,351 $2,234 96¢ $2.3K +$35 10-05 23:20
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2,218 $2,060 96¢ $2.1K +$78 10-01 21:19
jd vance out as vp by december 31 No +2,200 $2,046 96¢ $2.1K +$63 07-02 00:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,010 $2,004 100¢ $2.0K +$4 10-21 16:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,010 $2,004 100¢ $2.0K -$3 10-21 16:59
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +2,050 $1,913 97¢ $2.0K +$78 08-08 14:53
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +1,903 $1,770 95¢ $1.8K +$42 10-01 15:41
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +1,510 $1,505 100¢ $1.5K +$2 10-27 00:17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,549 $1,446 96¢ $1.5K +$44 08-07 20:12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,389 $1,367 98¢ $1.4K -$13 08-10 06:59
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,324 $1,183 93¢ $1.2K +$45 10-02 18:45
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 No +1,189 $1,082 95¢ $1.1K +$48 08-05 23:49
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +1,151 $1,093 96¢ $1.1K +$16 09-21 15:10
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +960 $920 98¢ $945 +$25 07-20 14:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,140 $1,003 82¢ $929 -$74 06-15 15:52
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +595 $555 98¢ $583 +$28 09-26 23:15
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +539 $510 97¢ $524 +$13 07-20 14:09
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +670 $502 68¢ $456 -$47 10-05 23:19
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +580 $499 77¢ $447 -$52 09-23 05:15
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +312 $300 98¢ $305 +$6 10-19 18:59