Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
open
Total volume
$104,319
$1,000 in 24h
Trades
808
Unique wallets
202
Liquidity
$37,537
Latest YES mid
96¢
Latest NO mid
4¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 08-01 23:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $34.7K
vs crowd: 97% YES on $67.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $46.2K | $806 | +$45.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $14.6K | $299 | +$14.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $2.9K | $178 | +$2.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 100 | $1.5K | $853 | +$637 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $34.7K | — | +$34.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $9.4K | $52 | +$9.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2.6K | $3 | +$2.6K |
| Median | 31 | $3.1K | $6 | +$3.1K |
| Below median | 30 | $6.3K | $41 | +$6.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $84 | $70 | +$14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 15 | $2.9K | $223 | +$2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $1.7K | $901 | +$759 |
| unranked | 85 | $4.5K | $840 | +$3.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | +34,343 | $31,934 | $31,934 | 9 | 08-01 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8afb…7f1c | No | +5,752 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-14 09:16 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | +4,948 | $4,587 | $11,490 | 32 | 07-14 09:18 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | +4,119 | $3,962 | $5,889 | 43 | 08-01 20:40 |
| Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | +3,408 | $133 | $133 | 10 | 08-01 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b7b…14fe | No | +3,281 | $129 | $129 | 7 | 07-26 12:29 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | Yes | +2,575 | $2,469 | $2,469 | 9 | 08-01 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f88…703e | Yes | +1,981 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 1 | 07-06 13:29 |
| Fragrant-Firewall 0x1d66…928f | Yes | +1,978 | $1,896 | $2,104 | 4 | 08-01 23:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d7f…6327 | No | +1,916 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 07-17 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | Yes | +1,505 | $1,444 | $1,444 | 8 | 07-30 13:56 |
| Hideous-Bellows 0xc50c…58e8 | No | +1,175 | $57 | $168 | 14 | 07-29 20:22 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +1,147 | $38 | $46 | 3 | 07-17 05:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x69f1…d0b3 | No | +1,093 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-01 19:41 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | Yes | +1,002 | $963 | $963 | 1 | 08-01 15:09 |
| Watchful-Sanity 0x2dce…b793 | No | +633 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-21 16:29 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | Yes | +523 | $498 | $1,884 | 13 | 07-23 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f87…735a | No | +500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-10 14:11 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | +500 | $480 | $480 | 1 | 07-29 21:29 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | Yes | +400 | $385 | $385 | 2 | 08-01 23:18 |
| Tragic-Limitation 0xe7ec…9dda | No | +385 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-17 13:12 |
| Paltry-Faith-Innocent 0xa6f5…1b2f | No | +333 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 18:43 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +319 | $305 | $305 | 3 | 08-01 13:03 |
| Anchored-Bob 0xbe3d…4dc6 | No | +304 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-23 08:18 |
| Secondary-Scenery 0x1e33…bf4d | No | +183 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-11 02:03 |
| Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | +180 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-23 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xecf2…a1c0 | No | +159 | $7 | $13 | 3 | 07-18 20:10 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +155 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 07-10 13:41 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | Yes | +122 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 06-16 08:01 |
| Amusing-Care 0xba8a…f934 | Yes | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-10 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c69…4622 | No | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-07 17:09 |
| Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | +75 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-24 09:16 |
| Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | Yes | +64 | $97 | $5,362 | 34 | 07-23 04:56 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | +60 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x11c1…6db8 | Yes | +53 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-21 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf26…d436 | Yes | +53 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-09 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f27…8776 | Yes | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-28 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ba…9fc5 | Yes | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-14 09:16 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +52 | $2 | $48 | 6 | 07-16 12:15 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +52 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-15 19:50 |
| Competent-Fantasy 0xc8a5…82bd | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-01 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2c2…8ffd | Yes | +50 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 06-30 14:39 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-04 16:10 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +50 | $4 | $24 | 9 | 07-17 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | Yes | +48 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 07-29 20:22 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +39 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 22:19 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +34 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-15 04:29 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 17:09 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | Yes | +33 | $32 | $96 | 5 | 07-29 20:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | No | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:13 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | Yes | +31 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-07 15:38 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | Yes | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-07 08:40 |
| Plush-Porthole 0x2167…5ded | Yes | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-31 21:36 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | Yes | +25 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 07-29 20:23 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | No | +22 | $101 | $1,299 | 13 | 06-21 06:13 |
| Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | Yes | +21 | $20 | $66 | 10 | 07-15 08:21 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +16 | $2 | $17 | 8 | 06-30 14:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 23:18:18 | Fragrant-Firewall 0x1d66…928f | Yes | SELL | 108 | 96¢ | $104 | 0xdcb2d4… |
| 08-01 23:18:18 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | Yes | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $289 | 0xdcb2d4… |
| 08-01 23:18:18 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | Yes | SELL | 192 | 96¢ | $185 | 0xdcb2d4… |
| 08-01 20:41:09 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf05441… |
| 08-01 20:41:09 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf05441… |
| 08-01 20:41:03 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaca9d5… |
| 08-01 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaca9d5… |
| 08-01 20:41:02 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc88d87… |
| 08-01 20:41:02 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc88d87… |
| 08-01 20:41:02 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd8708e… |
| 08-01 20:41:02 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd8708e… |
| 08-01 20:41:00 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd7d824… |
| 08-01 20:41:00 | (anonymous) 0xf8aa…2b18 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd7d824… |
| 08-01 20:41:00 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe32d99… |
| 08-01 20:41:00 | (anonymous) 0x5056…e750 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe32d99… |
| 08-01 20:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x7bcd…44d7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x09a5f8… |
| 08-01 20:40:59 | Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | BUY | 231 | 4¢ | $9 | 0xaed107… |
| 08-01 20:40:59 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 96¢ | $126 | 0xaed107… |
| 08-01 20:40:59 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x09a5f8… |
| 08-01 20:40:59 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xaed107… |
| 08-01 15:09:06 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | Yes | BUY | 1,002 | 96¢ | $963 | 0x0035ec… |
| 08-01 15:09:06 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | SELL | 1,002 | 96¢ | $963 | 0x0035ec… |
| 08-01 13:36:48 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $288 | 0x8432e8… |
| 08-01 13:36:48 | (anonymous) 0x135a…b4ed | Yes | SELL | 57 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x8432e8… |
| 08-01 13:36:48 | Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | Yes | BUY | 1,394 | 96¢ | $1,340 | 0x8432e8… |
| 08-01 13:03:08 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xfc2859… |
| 08-01 13:03:08 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xfc2859… |
| 08-01 06:35:27 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x800593… |
| 08-01 06:35:27 | Competent-Fantasy 0xc8a5…82bd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x800593… |
| 07-31 22:57:12 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | Yes | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x25b888… |
| 07-31 22:57:12 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x25b888… |
| 07-31 22:54:29 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb41e64… |
| 07-31 22:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb41e64… |
| 07-31 22:54:15 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1c42f9… |
| 07-31 22:54:15 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1c42f9… |
| 07-31 22:54:12 | (anonymous) 0xf8aa…2b18 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xaa76b8… |
| 07-31 22:54:12 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaa76b8… |
| 07-31 22:54:12 | Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaa76b8… |
| 07-31 22:54:11 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | BUY | 592 | 96¢ | $569 | 0x2160fe… |
| 07-31 22:54:11 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 592 | 96¢ | $569 | 0x2160fe… |
| 07-31 21:36:54 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x079027… |
| 07-31 21:36:54 | Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x079027… |
| 07-31 21:36:41 | Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6cd3e1… |
| 07-31 21:36:41 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6cd3e1… |
| 07-31 21:36:39 | Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc94422… |
| 07-31 21:36:39 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xc94422… |
| 07-31 21:36:39 | Plush-Porthole 0x2167…5ded | Yes | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xc94422… |
| 07-31 21:36:38 | (anonymous) 0xf8aa…2b18 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4b5ef0… |
| 07-31 21:36:38 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4b5ef0… |
| 07-31 21:36:36 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 408 | 96¢ | $391 | 0x9830c8… |
| 07-31 21:36:36 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | BUY | 408 | 96¢ | $391 | 0x9830c8… |
| 07-30 22:46:30 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 258 | 96¢ | $247 | 0x976f5f… |
| 07-30 22:46:30 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 258 | 96¢ | $247 | 0x976f5f… |
| 07-30 13:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xcb84…a742 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe1890c… |
| 07-30 13:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe1890c… |
| 07-30 11:50:39 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4dcdce… |
| 07-30 11:50:39 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4dcdce… |
| 07-30 11:50:35 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 206 | 96¢ | $197 | 0x36cdd4… |
| 07-30 11:50:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | BUY | 206 | 96¢ | $197 | 0x36cdd4… |
| 07-29 21:29:50 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 176 | 96¢ | $169 | 0x7255ad… |
| 07-29 21:29:50 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 96¢ | $480 | 0x7255ad… |
| 07-29 20:23:08 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x92be3f… |
| 07-29 20:23:08 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | Yes | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x92be3f… |
| 07-29 20:22:32 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x182884… |
| 07-29 20:22:32 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x182884… |
| 07-29 20:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe41e62… |
| 07-29 20:22:27 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe41e62… |
| 07-29 20:22:27 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdb1d5b… |
| 07-29 20:22:27 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdb1d5b… |
| 07-29 20:22:26 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xafd211… |
| 07-29 20:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xa3deb0… |
| 07-29 20:22:26 | (anonymous) 0xcb84…a742 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xafd211… |
| 07-29 20:22:26 | (anonymous) 0xe541…b524 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc58620… |
| 07-29 20:22:26 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc58620… |
| 07-29 20:22:26 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xa3deb0… |
| 07-29 20:22:24 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 601 | 96¢ | $577 | 0xb9f5eb… |
| 07-29 20:22:24 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | BUY | 794 | 96¢ | $763 | 0xb9f5eb… |
| 07-29 20:22:24 | Hideous-Bellows 0xc50c…58e8 | No | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xb9f5eb… |
| 07-29 20:18:45 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9d3409… |
| 07-29 20:18:45 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9d3409… |
| 07-28 15:05:47 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 96¢ | $191 | 0x8af394… |
| 07-28 15:05:47 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $191 | 0x8af394… |
| 07-28 13:25:49 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xd9b2c6… |
| 07-28 13:25:49 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xd9b2c6… |
| 07-27 08:40:22 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x7b8033… |
| 07-27 08:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x135a…b4ed | Yes | BUY | 57 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x7b8033… |
| 07-27 00:55:22 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xf54cc8… |
| 07-27 00:55:22 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xf54cc8… |
| 07-26 15:58:04 | (anonymous) 0x5a69…81a8 | No | SELL | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x707e22… |
| 07-26 15:58:04 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x707e22… |
| 07-26 12:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x8b7b…14fe | No | BUY | 180 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x2f7b84… |
| 07-26 12:29:45 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | BUY | 180 | 95¢ | $171 | 0x2f7b84… |
| 07-25 20:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x8b7b…14fe | No | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x33b73d… |
| 07-25 20:33:07 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x33b73d… |
| 07-25 16:13:33 | Innocent-Kid 0x386c…8323 | No | SELL | 88 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x707a83… |
| 07-25 16:13:33 | (anonymous) 0x8b7b…14fe | No | BUY | 88 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x707a83… |
| 07-25 14:22:48 | (anonymous) 0x8b7b…14fe | No | BUY | 800 | 4¢ | $34 | 0x701ef8… |
| 07-25 14:22:48 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $287 | 0x701ef8… |
| 07-25 14:22:48 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 96¢ | $478 | 0x701ef8… |
| 07-25 11:34:31 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 324 | 96¢ | $311 | 0xbbd820… |