Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
open
Total volume
$72,195
$1,000 in 24h
Trades
410
Unique wallets
139
Liquidity
$37,537
Latest YES mid
96¢
Latest NO mid
4¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-09 20:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $29.1K
vs crowd: 97% YES on $44.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $34.6K | $759 | +$33.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $5.2K | $99 | +$5.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 29 | $2.3K | $127 | +$2.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 66 | $1.2K | $219 | +$982 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $29.1K | — | +$29.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $7.4K | $35 | +$7.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $687 | $1 | +$686 |
| Median | 21 | $2.2K | $6 | +$2.1K |
| Below median | 17 | $252 | $26 | +$226 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | $4 | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $1.5K | $77 | +$1.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $1.0K | $837 | +$196 |
| unranked | 53 | $1.2K | $218 | +$946 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | +30,212 | $27,999 | $27,999 | 3 | 06-07 15:37 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | +3,077 | $2,818 | $9,721 | 27 | 07-09 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f88…703e | Yes | +1,981 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 1 | 07-06 13:29 |
| Fragrant-Firewall 0x1d66…928f | Yes | +1,256 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 2 | 07-04 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x69f1…d0b3 | No | +1,093 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-01 19:41 |
| Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | +1,031 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| Hideous-Bellows 0xc50c…58e8 | No | +1,000 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-07 17:09 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | Yes | +649 | $617 | $617 | 3 | 07-05 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f87…735a | No | +500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-10 14:11 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | Yes | +476 | $452 | $1,532 | 5 | 07-03 08:19 |
| Paltry-Faith-Innocent 0xa6f5…1b2f | No | +333 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 18:43 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +266 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-04 22:20 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| Secondary-Scenery 0x1e33…bf4d | No | +183 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-11 02:03 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | Yes | +122 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 06-16 08:01 |
| Amusing-Care 0xba8a…f934 | Yes | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-10 06:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-07 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c69…4622 | No | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-07 17:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xecf2…a1c0 | No | +85 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 15:44 |
| Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | +75 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | +60 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xff32…dc40 | Yes | +59 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-07 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x49b6…6e80 | Yes | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf26…d436 | Yes | +53 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-09 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d0c…2512 | Yes | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f27…8776 | Yes | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-28 23:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-04 16:10 |
| Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6105…21ee | Yes | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-16 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2c2…8ffd | Yes | +50 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 06-30 14:39 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +50 | $3 | $17 | 6 | 07-05 22:27 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +47 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | Yes | +44 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 06-07 01:51 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +39 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 22:19 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 17:09 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | Yes | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-04 09:53 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | Yes | +31 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-07 15:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-09 16:57 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | Yes | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-07 08:40 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | No | +22 | $101 | $1,299 | 13 | 06-21 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x80dc…05a1 | Yes | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-07 19:10 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +16 | $2 | $17 | 8 | 06-30 14:39 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-07 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c53…0109 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf7…3c63 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 15:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 20:57:22 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x73e70a… |
| 07-09 20:57:22 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x73e70a… |
| 07-09 17:42:47 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xdb1c0d… |
| 07-09 17:42:47 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xdb1c0d… |
| 07-09 17:42:46 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x85f511… |
| 07-09 17:42:46 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x85f511… |
| 07-09 17:28:56 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xca7ca3… |
| 07-09 17:28:56 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xca7ca3… |
| 07-09 17:01:59 | Delectable-Shopper 0x3c27…97c2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x5d2389… |
| 07-09 17:01:59 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x5d2389… |
| 07-09 16:58:29 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x68dd1a… |
| 07-09 16:58:29 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x68dd1a… |
| 07-09 16:58:07 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xce1a32… |
| 07-09 16:58:07 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | No | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xce1a32… |
| 07-09 16:57:49 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x87c6a6… |
| 07-09 16:57:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x87c6a6… |
| 07-09 16:57:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x792287… |
| 07-09 16:57:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x792287… |
| 07-09 16:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x792287… |
| 07-09 16:57:49 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x87c6a6… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0x49b6…6e80 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 96¢ | $72 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Delectable-Shopper 0x3c27…97c2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0xaf26…d436 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0x1d0c…2512 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0xff32…dc40 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 96¢ | $57 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | BUY | 1,031 | 4¢ | $40 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 16:57:44 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf8b525… |
| 07-09 09:12:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf26…d436 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0eba80… |
| 07-09 09:12:50 | Lumpy-Golf 0xe811…77e5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0eba80… |
| 07-08 16:31:13 | Disguised-Leap 0x0dcc…031e | Yes | SELL | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0x58a089… |
| 07-08 16:31:13 | (anonymous) 0xaf26…d436 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0x58a089… |
| 07-08 08:11:46 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x356b61… |
| 07-08 08:11:46 | (anonymous) 0xbfe0…f0c6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x356b61… |
| 07-07 15:00:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x5fafff… |
| 07-07 15:00:46 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x5fafff… |
| 07-07 15:00:46 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x5fafff… |
| 07-06 23:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x73431b… |
| 07-06 23:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x5e91…269b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x73431b… |
| 07-06 23:06:11 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd539d1… |
| 07-06 23:06:11 | (anonymous) 0x5e91…269b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xd539d1… |
| 07-06 13:29:08 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2ffcc5… |
| 07-06 13:29:08 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2ffcc5… |
| 07-06 13:29:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2ffcc5… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 900 | 96¢ | $863 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x9fff…8e68 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | Roasted-Skullduggery 0xa357…f408 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x9f88…703e | Yes | BUY | 1,981 | 96¢ | $1,900 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 13:29:05 | (anonymous) 0xbea3…2816 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x5e0a01… |
| 07-06 12:22:10 | (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0535a9… |
| 07-06 12:22:10 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0535a9… |
| 07-06 12:22:07 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6b5f0b… |
| 07-06 12:22:07 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | BUY | 734 | 96¢ | $703 | 0x6b5f0b… |
| 07-06 12:22:07 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 714 | 96¢ | $684 | 0x6b5f0b… |
| 07-06 12:22:07 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x6b5f0b… |
| 07-06 12:19:56 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe664d8… |
| 07-06 12:19:56 | (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe664d8… |
| 07-06 12:19:55 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 492 | 96¢ | $471 | 0xdf9a06… |
| 07-06 12:19:55 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | BUY | 492 | 96¢ | $471 | 0xdf9a06… |
| 07-06 09:35:40 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 207 | 96¢ | $198 | 0x0589ed… |
| 07-06 09:35:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 452 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x0589ed… |
| 07-05 22:27:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xf3dba5… |
| 07-05 22:27:17 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $52 | 0xf3dba5… |
| 07-05 21:41:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2e38c5… |
| 07-05 21:41:01 | Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | Yes | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x2e38c5… |
| 07-04 22:20:10 | Fragrant-Firewall 0x1d66…928f | Yes | BUY | 419 | 96¢ | $400 | 0xb53eef… |
| 07-04 22:20:10 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 153 | 96¢ | $146 | 0xb53eef… |
| 07-04 22:20:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 266 | 5¢ | $12 | 0xb53eef… |
| 07-04 22:19:38 | Fragrant-Firewall 0x1d66…928f | Yes | BUY | 837 | 96¢ | $800 | 0x901f83… |
| 07-04 22:19:38 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x901f83… |
| 07-04 22:19:38 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 302 | 96¢ | $289 | 0x901f83… |
| 07-04 22:19:38 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 47 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x901f83… |
| 07-04 16:10:59 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x94f263… |
| 07-04 16:10:59 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x94f263… |
| 07-04 16:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x94f263… |
| 07-04 16:10:59 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 131 | 95¢ | $124 | 0x94f263… |
| 07-04 16:10:59 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x94f263… |
| 07-04 09:53:25 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xf93398… |
| 07-04 09:53:25 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xf93398… |
| 07-04 05:38:19 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x4205ee… |
| 07-04 05:38:19 | (anonymous) 0xd4ca…6bb8 | No | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4205ee… |
| 07-04 05:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4205ee… |
| 07-03 23:05:04 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xdd74c9… |
| 07-03 23:05:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 452 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xdd74c9… |
| 07-03 23:05:04 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | BUY | 836 | 96¢ | $800 | 0xdd74c9… |