Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bbbf…45bdb8
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$771
Unrealized P&L
-$300
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
35
Trades
1,018
lifetime
Volume
$32.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-30 09:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
69% 12% +$4
Politics
29% 40% +$770
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -607 $-350 99¢ $-600 $-251 06-12 21:15
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No -294 $-285 100¢ $-293 $-8 06-08 12:49
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No -292 $-285 99¢ $-290 $-5 06-30 06:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -1,707 $-264 15¢ $-256 +$7 06-11 18:04
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -232 $-321 100¢ $-232 +$89 06-29 16:52
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -123 $-129 99¢ $-122 +$7 06-29 16:53
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -117 $-114 100¢ $-117 $-3 06-03 17:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -470 $-72 24¢ $-115 $-44 06-21 18:30
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +313 $150 36¢ $114 $-36 06-12 21:36
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +157 $100 50¢ $78 $-22 06-11 18:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -75 $-71 100¢ $-75 $-3 06-29 16:54
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -80 $-61 81¢ $-65 $-4 06-16 09:06
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? No -62 $-57 99¢ $-62 $-5 06-29 16:54
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +61 $50 97¢ $59 +$9 06-08 08:39
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No -59 $-54 99¢ $-58 $-3 06-08 07:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +81 $90 70¢ $56 $-34 06-29 18:08
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +56 $50 99¢ $56 +$6 06-12 21:17
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No -45 $-44 99¢ $-45 $-1 06-29 17:36
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +81 $61 50¢ $41 $-20 06-12 21:21
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -31 $-28 99¢ $-30 $-2 06-03 16:41
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +33 $10 75¢ $25 +$15 06-08 07:43
Discord IPO before 2027? No +38 $15 44¢ $17 +$2 06-08 07:43
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +35 $15 42¢ $15 +$0 06-29 18:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -42 $-12 30¢ $-13 $-1 06-08 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +59 $10 16¢ $10 $-0 06-29 17:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +26 $5 34¢ $9 +$4 06-15 09:03
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +30 $3 23¢ $7 +$4 06-08 07:43
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +21 $3 30¢ $6 +$3 06-13 20:38
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $5 19¢ $6 +$1 06-13 14:03
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +31 $10 17¢ $5 $-5 06-08 10:07