Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bbbf…45bdb8
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$771
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
35
Trades
1,210
lifetime
Volume
$37.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-14 10:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
72% 12% +$4
Politics
27% 40% +$770
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No -242 $-232 99¢ $-240 $-7 07-08 07:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -1,659 $-261 11¢ $-188 +$72 07-13 14:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -350 $-192 52¢ $-184 +$8 07-01 15:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -478 $-80 30¢ $-141 $-62 07-06 12:14
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +313 $150 43¢ $134 $-16 06-12 21:36
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -102 $-93 90¢ $-92 +$1 07-04 08:13
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +205 $100 40¢ $81 $-19 07-01 15:11
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -80 $-61 89¢ $-72 $-11 06-16 09:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -69 $-59 88¢ $-61 $-2 07-04 08:12
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No -59 $-54 100¢ $-58 $-4 06-08 07:25
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +81 $61 62¢ $50 $-11 06-12 21:21
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -50 $-40 84¢ $-43 $-2 07-04 08:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +33 $10 82¢ $27 +$17 06-08 07:43
Discord IPO before 2027? No +38 $15 65¢ $24 +$9 06-08 07:43
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +25 $5 65¢ $16 +$11 07-07 07:36
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +35 $15 40¢ $14 $-1 06-29 18:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +59 $10 24¢ $14 +$4 07-01 07:40
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +30 $3 34¢ $10 +$7 06-08 07:43
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +29 $5 30¢ $9 +$4 07-02 19:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +26 $5 32¢ $9 +$4 06-15 09:03
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +146 $4 5¢ $7 +$3 06-17 09:38
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $5 16¢ $5 +$0 06-13 14:03
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +31 $10 16¢ $5 $-5 06-08 10:07
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +21 $3 20¢ $4 +$1 06-13 20:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +17 $5 22¢ $4 $-1 06-08 09:55
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 07-08 08:02
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +50 $5 6¢ $3 $-2 07-06 12:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +19 $3 15¢ $3 $-0 06-14 11:41
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +17 $3 16¢ $3 $-0 07-08 08:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +43 $3 6¢ $2 $-1 07-03 07:46