Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bbbf…45bdb8
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$771
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
35
Trades
858
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-10 06:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
67% 12% +$4
Politics
31% 40% +$770
Tech
2% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No -294 $-285 98¢ $-287 $-1 06-08 12:49
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -117 $-114 97¢ $-114 $-0 06-03 17:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +110 $100 90¢ $99 $-1 06-08 07:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +139 $100 70¢ $98 $-2 06-08 19:29
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No -59 $-54 94¢ $-55 $-0 06-08 07:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +100 $50 52¢ $52 +$2 06-08 07:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +156 $50 32¢ $51 +$1 06-08 07:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +56 $50 90¢ $50 +$0 06-08 12:49
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +61 $50 82¢ $50 $-0 06-08 08:39
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No -79 $-39 55¢ $-43 $-4 06-08 08:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -49 $-44 86¢ $-42 +$2 06-03 16:41
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -31 $-28 91¢ $-28 $-0 06-03 16:41
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -22 $-17 77¢ $-17 $-1 06-04 05:24
Discord IPO before 2027? No +38 $15 39¢ $15 $-0 06-08 07:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -42 $-12 30¢ $-12 $-0 06-08 12:48
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +31 $10 29¢ $9 $-1 06-08 10:07
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +33 $10 25¢ $8 $-2 06-08 07:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +17 $5 26¢ $4 $-1 06-08 09:55
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +28 $5 14¢ $4 $-1 06-08 09:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -18 $-3 20¢ $-4 $-0 06-08 07:35
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +60 $3 6¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +29 $5 12¢ $3 $-2 06-08 07:31
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +30 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes +30 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 06-09 06:25
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +27 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-08 07:42
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -8 $4 24¢ $-2 $-6 06-08 12:07
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $3 6¢ $2 $-1 06-08 19:25
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +35 $3 4¢ $1 $-2 06-08 10:07
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:30
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? No +12 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:20