Grimy-Turnstile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$771

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,334

lifetime

Volume

$39.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-10 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

73% 12% +$4

Politics

26% 40% +$770

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% 0% $-3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	10	$1.2K	849	818	+30	Yes	$-44	05-11 07:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$743	451	451	+0	open	—	07-07 06:06
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	3	$685	391	391	+0	open	—	03-31 16:55
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	4	$675	307	539	-232	open	—	06-29 16:52
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	5	$650	453	453	+0	Yes	+$250	05-11 06:43
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	2	$649	367	367	+0	open	—	04-01 19:20
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$607	368	368	+0	open	—	02-12 17:18
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	2	$606	368	368	+0	open	—	03-03 19:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$604	157	1,013	-856	open	—	07-31 15:35
will tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in q1 2026	3	$594	319	319	+0	open	—	02-03 11:28
will russia capture all of prymorske by february 28 2026	2	$568	329	329	+0	open	—	02-13 07:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	3	$561	110	465	-356	open	—	07-01 06:24
will iran strike jordan in march 375	4	$552	355	355	+0	open	—	03-08 07:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$513	887	887	+0	Yes	+$409	05-09 06:20
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	2	$500	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	02-11 07:12
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	4	$478	298	298	+0	open	—	03-12 21:01
will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	2	$468	269	269	+0	open	—	07-31 15:20
will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	5	$445	256	256	+0	open	—	07-31 15:25
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	3	$420	233	233	+0	open	—	04-07 07:16
will russia capture rodynske by february 28	3	$419	333	298	+34	open	—	02-11 07:39
will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	1	$400	648	0	+648	open	—	06-29 17:27
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	5	$393	465	360	+105	open	—	02-11 07:25
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by march 31	2	$384	898	449	+449	open	—	03-16 20:08
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	4	$365	42	334	-292	open	—	06-30 06:57
will russia enter sofiivka by february 28	2	$356	274	274	+0	open	—	02-02 07:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	1	$350	0	607	-607	open	—	06-12 21:15
will russia enter ternuvate by february 28	3	$336	196	170	+25	open	—	01-30 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$313	257	280	-23	open	—	07-13 10:03
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	5	$306	165	165	+0	open	—	05-25 19:15
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	4	$300	971	0	+971	open	—	07-13 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 17:09:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xd061df…
08-10 17:06:18	will helaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401070	No	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x47ac59…
08-10 17:05:22	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x78c8e4…
08-10 17:03:21	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x57c631…
08-10 17:01:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x659900…
08-10 17:00:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x6ccfa8…
08-10 16:59:18	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x864d10…
08-10 16:57:22	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	217	1¢	$3	0xf67328…
08-10 16:57:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf37240…
08-10 16:56:43	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x615643…
08-10 16:55:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x28ce1c…
08-10 16:55:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xebbd39…
08-06 16:27:44	will donald trump publicly insult nicolas maduro by august 31 2026 20260730161742261	No	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x77a7d6…
08-06 16:25:26	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7d8a1f…
08-06 16:11:56	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc9a919…
08-06 16:11:56	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x58c6b9…
08-06 16:11:56	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4d6da1…
08-04 16:54:45	Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb9c968…
08-04 16:50:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x2600f2…
08-04 16:50:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe533e1…
08-04 16:43:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x512708…
08-04 16:43:14	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xacde6f…
08-04 16:36:36	will the earnings call not air 20260803163357344	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7d834…
08-04 16:36:26	will airbnb say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260803163357336	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2c5e9d…
08-04 16:36:11	Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x3b2430…
08-04 16:36:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x246017…
08-04 16:36:02	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x01f605…
08-04 16:34:47	will disney say attendance during earnings call 20260803163137845 798	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5cb8e9…
08-04 16:34:44	will disney say toy story 5 during earnings call 20260803163137849 527	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe50734…
08-04 16:34:38	will the earnings call not air 20260803163038785 621	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x6a0bc2…
08-04 16:34:30	will disney say espn during earnings call 20260803163137847 828	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb0f15c…
08-04 16:34:20	will disney say debt 10 times during earnings call 20260803163137840	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeeb0a0…
08-04 16:34:02	will the earnings call not air 20260803162908281	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e4545…
08-04 16:33:50	will uber say delivery 10 times during earnings call 20260803163025066	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0ff13e…
08-04 16:33:23	will the earnings call not air 20260730164425714	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x262083…
08-04 16:33:14	will amd say data center 10 times during earnings call 20260730164425702	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xd7052c…
08-04 16:32:54	will amd say game or gaming 5 times during earnings call 20260730164425703	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xb60506…
08-04 16:32:45	will amd say cpu 20 times during earnings call 20260730164425700	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x715035…
08-04 16:32:42	will amd say ai or artificial intelligence 20 times during earnings call 20260730164425699	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x4bde1a…
08-04 16:32:24	will spacex say elon or musk 3 times during earnings call 20260730164309232	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xfa30b6…
08-04 16:32:24	will spacex say elon or musk 3 times during earnings call 20260730164309232	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x1203ca…
08-04 16:32:17	will spacex say grok during earnings call 20260730164309235	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x573c24…
08-04 16:31:51	will the earnings call not air 20260730164309245	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xb17be0…
08-04 16:31:51	will the earnings call not air 20260730164309245	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x57e0c5…
08-04 16:31:14	will trumps remarks not air 20260803153421461	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x03575d…
08-04 16:31:08	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa23cdf…
08-04 16:30:48	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd8026e…
08-04 16:30:20	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x6300e0…
08-04 16:30:09	will trump say stock market during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421457	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc29eaa…
08-04 16:30:00	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x60f1d1…
08-04 16:27:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd2a014…
08-04 16:25:35	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0dd83d…
08-04 16:22:09	will spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy pop	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x166522…
08-04 16:22:02	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy booster	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0ca997…
08-04 16:12:44	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	156	13¢	$20	0x892c06…
08-04 16:12:23	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	46	8¢	$4	0xba6295…
08-04 16:12:03	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xa8f22f…
08-04 16:07:20	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6be592…
08-04 16:07:12	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0xfe3bb9…
08-04 16:06:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x513bcf…
08-04 16:05:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x48d9a7…
08-04 16:05:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x2ce8bf…
08-04 16:01:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	508	1¢	$3	0x1f82cc…
08-04 15:59:59	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x68bd6f…
08-04 15:59:45	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x6cdedb…
08-04 15:59:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x11e886…
08-04 15:58:05	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x1c9595…
08-04 12:56:44	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xf2db03…
08-04 12:49:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb08173…
08-04 12:44:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xf44a08…
08-04 12:44:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x9a8b60…
08-04 12:41:36	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb05140…
08-04 12:37:32	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xad697b…
08-04 12:37:27	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x894344…
08-04 12:34:44	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xe0c58c…
08-04 12:34:18	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by september 30 20260709004922353	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x212a8c…
08-04 12:33:57	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x333a5b…
08-04 02:40:51	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	33	83¢	$28	0xdc0b80…
08-04 02:39:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x710265…
07-31 20:50:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x2c7830…
07-31 16:24:56	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	197	8¢	$15	0x109f5c…
07-31 16:10:08	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x406897…
07-31 16:09:20	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	210	24¢	$50	0x3a030e…
07-31 16:05:32	untitled market 1 20260630004444282	No	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0xc90bad…
07-31 15:44:06	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x4c2645…
07-31 15:36:45	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x5f535a…
07-31 15:35:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	507	42¢	$213	0x5b343e…
07-31 15:31:53	will russia enter borova by september 30	No	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xa2b4c6…
07-31 15:25:53	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	128	98¢	$126	0xf3f63d…
07-31 15:23:32	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf027da…
07-31 15:20:51	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	269	99¢	$268	0xe3767f…
07-31 11:46:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7a7e2d…
07-31 11:43:48	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x333063…
07-31 11:42:33	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x45be99…
07-30 11:57:42	will russia enter serhiivka by december 31	No	BUY	207	24¢	$50	0x2d1b82…
07-29 15:41:00	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x593548…
07-29 15:37:32	will russia capture bilytske by december 31 2026 252	No	SELL	108	31¢	$33	0xd747b8…
07-29 15:36:36	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x92a292…
07-29 15:34:24	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	No	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x8b1ccc…
07-29 15:31:51	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x533a20…