Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bbbf…45bdb8
19W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$356
Unrealized P&L
-$694
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved (30d)
412
Trades (30d)
594
3,485 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$36.0K
$98.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$5.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-30 14:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Other
82% 28% -$1,860
Politics
17% 18% +$345
Tech
1% 15% -$21
Sports
0% 6% -$41
Crypto
0% 0% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -812 -$498 94¢ $-767 -$269 08-14 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -798 -$708 95¢ $-759 -$51 09-16 09:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -664 -$337 90¢ $-594 -$257 10-14 07:15
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +595 $502 84¢ $497 -$5 10-30 11:08
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -392 -$291 91¢ $-357 -$66 06-16 09:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -278 -$233 97¢ $-270 -$36 05-11 07:32
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +232 $211 90¢ $207 -$4 10-30 14:23
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +250 $200 80¢ $199 -$1 10-30 14:17
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 No +234 $81 71¢ $166 +$86 10-30 11:14
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -167 -$152 96¢ $-159 -$7 05-05 07:16
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -136 -$119 92¢ $-126 -$7 07-04 08:13
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 No +162 $141 73¢ $118 -$23 10-30 14:21
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 Yes +562 $250 20¢ $115 -$135 08-13 12:00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +73 $50 100¢ $72 +$22 09-29 13:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +89 $46 78¢ $70 +$24 09-25 09:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +94 $50 72¢ $67 +$17 09-24 10:47
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +76 $50 88¢ $67 +$17 08-18 17:40
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -69 -$59 94¢ $-66 -$7 07-04 08:12
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +76 $25 63¢ $48 +$23 10-01 18:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +86 $25 41¢ $35 +$10 08-14 15:30
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +38 $10 91¢ $35 +$25 09-25 09:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +71 $25 48¢ $34 +$9 10-01 08:03
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -45 -$35 70¢ $-31 +$4 10-14 07:16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +70 $25 42¢ $30 +$5 09-09 09:03
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +39 $25 75¢ $29 +$4 08-31 11:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +29 $10 98¢ $28 +$18 10-01 18:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +54 $25 52¢ $28 +$3 10-01 16:35
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +170 $50 16¢ $27 -$23 10-01 08:29
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $20 55¢ $24 +$4 10-01 16:28
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 Yes +303 $100 8¢ $24 -$76 08-26 08:15