Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bbbf…45bdb8 Create alert
19W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$773
Hit rate
93.9%
Resolved (24h)
5
Trades (24h)
12
3,520 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$65
$99.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$4.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 11-03 08:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 228 days
Categories
Other
82% 29% -$2,307
Politics
17% 18% +$338
Tech
1% 16% +$19
Sports
0% 6% -$41
Crypto
0% 0% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -798 -$708 97¢ $-772 -$64 09-16 09:26
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -812 -$498 94¢ $-767 -$269 08-14 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -664 -$337 92¢ $-607 -$270 10-14 07:15
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +595 $502 83¢ $494 -$8 10-30 11:08
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -392 -$291 91¢ $-357 -$66 06-16 09:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -278 -$233 98¢ $-271 -$38 05-11 07:32
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +250 $200 88¢ $220 +$20 10-30 14:17
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +232 $211 85¢ $197 -$14 10-30 14:23
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +234 $81 76¢ $179 +$99 10-30 11:14
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -167 -$152 96¢ $-160 -$9 05-05 07:16
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -136 -$119 94¢ $-128 -$8 07-04 08:13
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +422 $217 29¢ $120 -$97 10-31 10:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +89 $46 82¢ $73 +$28 09-25 09:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +94 $50 76¢ $72 +$22 09-24 10:47
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +116 $50 62¢ $71 +$21 11-03 08:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -69 -$59 98¢ $-68 -$9 07-04 08:12
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -45 -$35 71¢ $-32 +$4 10-14 07:16
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +39 $25 76¢ $29 +$4 08-31 11:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +54 $25 52¢ $28 +$3 10-01 16:35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +70 $25 40¢ $28 +$3 09-09 09:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +86 $25 32¢ $28 +$3 08-14 15:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +71 $25 36¢ $26 +$1 10-01 08:03
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +170 $50 15¢ $25 -$25 10-01 08:29
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +40 $74 58¢ $24 -$51 11-02 09:36
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $20 52¢ $23 +$3 10-01 16:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +30 $10 76¢ $23 +$13 08-15 10:35
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +101 $20 22¢ $23 +$3 11-03 08:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -32 -$19 68¢ $-22 -$3 07-04 08:09
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 Yes +303 $100 6¢ $18 -$82 08-26 08:15
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +26 $5 64¢ $17 +$12 10-01 16:50