Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bbbf…45bdb8
19W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$509
Unrealized P&L
-$633
Hit rate
36.5%
Resolved (24h)
5
Trades (24h)
0
3,507 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$99.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$4.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-31 10:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
82% 29% -$2,343
Politics
17% 18% +$336
Tech
1% 16% +$19
Sports
0% 6% -$41
Crypto
0% 0% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -798 -$708 97¢ $-772 -$64 09-16 09:26
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -812 -$498 94¢ $-759 -$261 08-14 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -664 -$337 90¢ $-594 -$257 10-14 07:15
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +595 $502 82¢ $491 -$11 10-30 11:08
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -392 -$291 92¢ $-361 -$70 06-16 09:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -278 -$233 98¢ $-271 -$38 05-11 07:32
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +250 $200 89¢ $222 +$22 10-30 14:17
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +232 $211 86¢ $200 -$11 10-30 14:23
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +234 $81 78¢ $181 +$101 10-30 11:14
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -167 -$152 96¢ $-160 -$8 05-05 07:16
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -136 -$119 94¢ $-128 -$9 07-04 08:13
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 Yes +422 $217 30¢ $124 -$93 10-31 10:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +89 $46 84¢ $75 +$30 09-25 09:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +94 $50 72¢ $67 +$17 09-24 10:47
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -69 -$59 96¢ $-66 -$7 07-04 08:12
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +76 $25 62¢ $47 +$22 10-01 18:24
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +81 $93 53¢ $43 -$50 10-31 10:05
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +38 $10 90¢ $34 +$24 09-25 09:58
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -45 -$35 70¢ $-31 +$4 10-14 07:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +71 $25 43¢ $31 +$6 10-01 08:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +86 $25 36¢ $31 +$6 08-14 15:30
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +39 $25 79¢ $30 +$5 08-31 11:06
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +70 $25 40¢ $28 +$3 09-09 09:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +54 $25 52¢ $28 +$3 10-01 16:35
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $20 60¢ $26 +$6 10-01 16:28
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +170 $50 13¢ $22 -$28 10-01 08:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +30 $10 72¢ $22 +$12 08-15 10:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -32 -$19 64¢ $-21 -$2 07-04 08:09
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +26 $5 64¢ $17 +$12 10-01 16:50
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +80 $15 20¢ $16 +$1 08-14 15:36