Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
open
Total volume
$988
$332 in 24h
Trades
90
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$3,332
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-13 10:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-17.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $55
vs crowd: 17% YES on $516)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $5 | $39 | $34 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $34 | $104 | $70 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $7 | $165 | $158 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $43 | $119 | $77 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $55 | $55 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| Median | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 11 | $6 | $99 | $93 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 15 | $21 | $104 | $83 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $15 | $74 | $60 |
| unranked | 9 | $36 | $56 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alienated-Bargain 0xbdaf…02d8 | Yes | +162 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 17:05 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +107 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-28 02:12 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 02:12 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +80 | $73 | $73 | 4 | 06-09 00:36 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +60 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-11 14:40 |
| Ideal-Bread 0x5018…398b | No | +37 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 17:05 |
| Distant-Essay 0x73d2…2ed6 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x88da…15c6 | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 16:13 |
| Prime-Centurion 0x5709…22c3 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +29 | $25 | $53 | 3 | 06-03 07:39 |
| Critical-Percentage 0xfe5b…babf | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-01 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-06 12:00 |
| Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-04 19:38 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-04 20:02 |
| Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | Yes | +16 | $3 | $4 | 2 | 06-11 14:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-11 16:20 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-13 10:39 |
| Clear-Nobody 0x6119…e67a | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-06 12:00 |
| Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 16:20 |
| Glum-Girl 0x0cba…bcb0 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x294a…495c | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-05 19:42 |
| Ill-Fated-Pegboard 0x837f…7f46 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 20:02 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 13:20 |
| Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-01 18:52 |
| Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 19:38 |
| Yellowish-Receptor 0xa0b9…6048 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-11 14:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 10:39:00 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb49e93… |
| 06-13 10:39:00 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xb49e93… |
| 06-12 12:30:15 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xfc627d… |
| 06-12 12:30:15 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfc627d… |
| 06-11 16:20:00 | Plush-Thong 0x7028…e0e9 | No | SELL | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0x09f99a… |
| 06-11 16:20:00 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x09f99a… |
| 06-11 16:20:00 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x09f99a… |
| 06-11 16:20:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x09f99a… |
| 06-11 14:40:06 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x0f14c6… |
| 06-11 14:40:06 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0f14c6… |
| 06-11 14:40:06 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0f14c6… |
| 06-11 14:40:06 | Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8ab527… |
| 06-11 14:40:06 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x8ab527… |
| 06-11 14:40:06 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | SELL | 119 | 11¢ | $13 | 0x0f14c6… |
| 06-11 14:40:06 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x0f14c6… |
| 06-11 14:40:06 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x0f14c6… |
| 06-11 14:21:51 | Yellowish-Receptor 0xa0b9…6048 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x4411d7… |
| 06-11 14:21:51 | Handmade-Dickey 0xe16b…3101 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x4411d7… |
| 06-09 10:31:06 | Yellowish-Receptor 0xa0b9…6048 | No | BUY | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0x3a1f96… |
| 06-09 10:31:06 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0x3a1f96… |
| 06-09 00:37:01 | Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x3bb3b9… |
| 06-09 00:37:01 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x3bb3b9… |
| 06-09 00:36:33 | Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | No | SELL | 102 | 90¢ | $92 | 0xa54d3c… |
| 06-09 00:36:33 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0xa54d3c… |
| 06-09 00:36:33 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0xa54d3c… |
| 06-08 08:37:57 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x89ee40… |
| 06-08 08:37:57 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x89ee40… |
| 06-07 15:04:06 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x12b0de… |
| 06-07 15:04:06 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x12b0de… |
| 06-06 12:00:21 | (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd8f3cd… |
| 06-06 12:00:21 | Clear-Nobody 0x6119…e67a | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0xd8f3cd… |
| 06-05 19:42:33 | (anonymous) 0x294a…495c | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x5c0050… |
| 06-05 19:42:33 | (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5c0050… |
| 06-05 15:48:03 | Bowed-Path 0xf670…e778 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x62a23e… |
| 06-05 15:48:03 | (anonymous) 0x294a…495c | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x62a23e… |
| 06-04 20:02:39 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcbd160… |
| 06-04 20:02:39 | Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0xcbd160… |
| 06-04 20:02:39 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xcbd160… |
| 06-04 19:38:55 | Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf5ff04… |
| 06-04 19:38:55 | Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf5ff04… |
| 06-03 22:31:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe2ae6d… |
| 06-03 22:31:46 | Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xe2ae6d… |
| 06-03 22:31:46 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xe2ae6d… |
| 06-03 22:31:46 | Distant-Essay 0x73d2…2ed6 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xe2ae6d… |
| 06-03 07:39:01 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xa7be17… |
| 06-03 07:39:01 | Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xa7be17… |
| 06-02 17:00:25 | Ill-Fated-Pegboard 0x837f…7f46 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x684f41… |
| 06-02 17:00:25 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x684f41… |
| 06-02 09:50:44 | Glum-Girl 0x0cba…bcb0 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x283fc9… |
| 06-02 09:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x283fc9… |
| 06-01 18:52:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x299cc0… |
| 06-01 18:52:51 | Critical-Percentage 0xfe5b…babf | No | BUY | 28 | 89¢ | $25 | 0x299cc0… |
| 06-01 18:52:51 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x299cc0… |
| 06-01 17:05:06 | Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | No | BUY | 68 | 80¢ | $55 | 0xd6d820… |
| 06-01 17:05:06 | Alienated-Bargain 0xbdaf…02d8 | Yes | BUY | 162 | 18¢ | $30 | 0xd6d820… |
| 06-01 17:05:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xd6d820… |
| 06-01 17:05:06 | Ideal-Bread 0x5018…398b | No | BUY | 37 | 82¢ | $30 | 0xd6d820… |
| 06-01 16:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x88da…15c6 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0x00a114… |
| 06-01 16:13:46 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x00a114… |
| 06-01 16:13:46 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x00a114… |
| 06-01 16:13:46 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x00a114… |
| 06-01 13:35:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 23 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xd57b03… |
| 06-01 13:35:25 | Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xd57b03… |
| 06-01 13:26:23 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xb455ca… |
| 06-01 13:26:23 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | BUY | 27 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xb455ca… |
| 06-01 13:26:23 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xb455ca… |
| 06-01 13:26:23 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xb455ca… |
| 06-01 13:26:11 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xa8b346… |
| 06-01 13:26:11 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xa8b346… |
| 06-01 13:26:11 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | BUY | 92 | 12¢ | $11 | 0xa8b346… |
| 06-01 13:26:11 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 44 | 88¢ | $39 | 0xa8b346… |
| 06-01 13:25:51 | Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x19a072… |
| 06-01 13:25:51 | Prime-Centurion 0x5709…22c3 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x19a072… |
| 06-01 13:20:31 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x947105… |
| 06-01 13:20:31 | Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x947105… |
| 06-01 13:20:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x947105… |
| 05-28 19:13:41 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0xbe8e2b… |
| 05-28 19:13:41 | Submissive-Yoga 0xef38…a12f | Yes | SELL | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xbe8e2b… |
| 05-28 11:46:02 | Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2df153… |
| 05-28 11:46:02 | Submissive-Yoga 0xef38…a12f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2df153… |
| 05-28 10:18:11 | Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x7a659c… |
| 05-28 10:18:11 | Submissive-Yoga 0xef38…a12f | Yes | BUY | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x7a659c… |
| 05-28 02:14:45 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x3e4302… |
| 05-28 02:14:45 | Intentional-Inhibition 0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3e4302… |
| 05-28 02:12:29 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 168 | 94¢ | $158 | 0xa514a6… |
| 05-28 02:12:29 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xa514a6… |
| 05-28 02:12:29 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xa514a6… |
| 05-28 02:12:29 | Intentional-Inhibition 0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | SELL | 332 | 6¢ | $20 | 0xa514a6… |
| 05-27 22:51:07 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x421dd1… |
| 05-27 22:51:07 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x421dd1… |