Serpentine-Majority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$276.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$341

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-20 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 50% +$47

Crypto

30% 67% +$234

Politics

18% 100% +$1,117

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$21.3K	11,248	11,248	+0	open	—	07-06 16:02
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	19	$18.5K	10,444	9,444	+1,000	open	—	05-21 15:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$16.3K	8,595	8,595	+0	open	—	05-28 00:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	14	$14.9K	7,787	7,787	+0	open	—	05-23 16:00
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	35	$14.1K	7,694	7,694	+0	open	—	04-01 01:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	10	$7.5K	3,114	5,066	-1,951	open	—	06-18 22:28
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	12	$6.3K	7,133	0	+7,133	open	—	05-28 14:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	21	$4.7K	1,807	3,266	-1,459	open	—	06-20 13:22
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$4.2K	2,292	2,292	+0	open	—	04-30 13:52
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$4.1K	2,225	2,200	+25	open	—	04-30 14:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	14	$3.8K	2,082	2,076	+7	open	—	04-17 13:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$3.6K	4,671	0	+4,671	No	+$1,071	05-05 19:17
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	10	$3.5K	3,447	500	+2,947	open	—	06-30 17:04
will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	5	$3.5K	4,213	0	+4,213	open	—	07-08 08:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$3.5K	1,853	1,853	+0	open	—	05-16 03:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	6	$3.3K	1,832	1,832	+0	open	—	05-22 01:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$2.6K	1,394	1,394	+0	open	—	05-26 22:12
over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	4	$2.3K	4,119	0	+4,119	open	—	07-02 02:42
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	2	$2.2K	2,350	0	+2,350	open	—	07-16 11:36
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$2.2K	1,282	1,282	+0	open	—	04-30 13:51
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	8	$2.1K	1,213	1,204	+9	open	—	04-23 23:28
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	4	$2.1K	970	1,319	-350	open	—	03-24 17:32
over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	4	$2.1K	2,106	381	+1,725	open	—	07-16 13:12
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$2.1K	1,270	1,270	+0	open	—	04-30 13:50
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	2	$2.0K	1,080	1,076	+4	open	—	04-20 22:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	7	$1.9K	1,116	1,116	+0	open	—	06-18 18:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.9K	2,181	0	+2,181	open	—	05-28 17:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$1.9K	1,961	1,280	+681	open	—	05-28 01:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$1.8K	941	938	+3	open	—	04-28 21:52
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$1.8K	1,060	1,049	+11	open	—	04-30 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:36:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x80f768…
07-21 02:40:27	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	BUY	295	68¢	$200	0x63d3e0…
07-20 03:07:22	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	638	78¢	$500	0x9eb64a…
07-20 00:41:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0xacea19…
07-20 00:40:48	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0xe07f61…
07-20 00:20:33	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0xc47df8…
07-19 20:06:48	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x3bcb71…
07-19 16:51:34	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	234	86¢	$200	0xc548a4…
07-17 22:48:18	credible fdv above 10m one day after launch 20260708144505950	No	SELL	546	23¢	$126	0x85d909…
07-17 19:37:49	credible fdv above 10m one day after launch 20260708144505950	Yes	BUY	468	64¢	$300	0x985b20…
07-17 19:04:25	credible fdv above 10m one day after launch 20260708144505950	No	BUY	342	58¢	$200	0x717648…
07-17 19:03:36	credible fdv above 10m one day after launch 20260708144505950	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xee0a8d…
07-17 19:03:27	credible fdv above 20m one day after launch 20260708144505951	No	BUY	317	95¢	$300	0x30354a…
07-17 19:03:15	credible fdv above 10m one day after launch 20260708144505950	Yes	SELL	348	59¢	$204	0x2ab36b…
07-17 18:11:51	credible fdv above 10m one day after launch 20260708144505950	Yes	BUY	348	86¢	$300	0x29a94d…
07-17 18:07:19	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	261	77¢	$200	0x87b137…
07-17 17:09:12	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0xbbcc11…
07-17 17:06:15	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0xc0f495…
07-17 17:06:06	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x6519ff…
07-17 16:50:31	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0x8c223e…
07-17 16:22:40	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0xbfd117…
07-17 16:01:43	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	642	13¢	$82	0xf891e4…
07-17 16:01:30	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	260	15¢	$39	0xd04193…
07-17 15:26:09	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	457	44¢	$200	0x2ba941…
07-17 15:23:19	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x196a83…
07-17 15:09:28	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	635	79¢	$500	0x323d75…
07-17 13:53:24	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xaeca9e…
07-17 13:08:52	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x238b2d…
07-17 13:02:57	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x5e5980…
07-17 10:44:07	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xd32e5c…
07-17 10:42:37	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0xc28a6e…
07-17 10:41:19	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	173	82¢	$142	0xa97a44…
07-17 00:28:59	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	445	67¢	$300	0xe5a4ba…
07-16 13:12:52	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x6210c6…
07-16 13:12:32	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	363	83¢	$300	0xb1b2e1…
07-16 11:36:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	2,002	95¢	$1,900	0x2901b1…
07-16 01:22:05	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xcd4ae1…
07-15 23:42:31	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xa57bdd…
07-15 22:33:55	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xf2d111…
07-15 13:08:26	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xa6273f…
07-15 12:59:08	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x6f0f55…
07-14 23:49:14	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x95f807…
07-14 23:49:01	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x3eec63…
07-14 23:48:25	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x764a5f…
07-14 23:48:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x4dce26…
07-14 23:20:04	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x1cf407…
07-14 23:18:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	500	64¢	$322	0x958b60…
07-14 12:31:40	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	592	84¢	$500	0x508849…
07-13 17:10:59	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	SELL	381	74¢	$283	0xa75f26…
07-12 15:32:14	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x22eae6…
07-11 14:16:53	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xcb0d5d…
07-11 14:11:38	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	381	79¢	$300	0xe48226…
07-10 21:38:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	348	86¢	$300	0x3d31e2…
07-10 16:52:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0xe18ffb…
07-10 16:44:32	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xa16e96…
07-10 13:53:20	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xac8bdf…
07-10 13:41:31	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xe9d6cb…
07-10 13:34:32	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x7f4a17…
07-10 13:33:13	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	283	71¢	$200	0xe74f28…
07-10 12:59:04	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	264	76¢	$200	0x4a4098…
07-10 02:33:50	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x55f7b4…
07-09 18:38:34	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x48cbc8…
07-09 14:17:34	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0xa08a01…
07-09 03:04:43	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1,160	86¢	$998	0x8f159a…
07-09 02:24:50	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	367	82¢	$300	0x87839b…
07-09 02:23:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0xc7729b…
07-08 22:52:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	609	82¢	$500	0x6084ba…
07-08 22:27:56	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	157	75¢	$118	0xd72fc6…
07-08 19:32:34	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xe30061…
07-08 19:31:56	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xf1e6fb…
07-08 17:21:53	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	249	80¢	$200	0xc6755a…
07-08 08:23:55	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	189	84¢	$159	0x85cc0c…
07-08 07:05:04	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	311	84¢	$261	0x6bc62e…
07-08 06:51:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x6117c2…
07-08 06:49:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	481	84¢	$404	0xf0b824…
07-08 02:34:38	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xe68c44…
07-07 22:20:28	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	325	92¢	$300	0x47e5d6…
07-07 19:41:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0x391d80…
07-07 15:57:50	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x557489…
07-07 15:55:05	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0x585470…
07-06 22:38:38	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	1,205	83¢	$1,000	0x833ea7…
07-06 16:02:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	299	98¢	$294	0x0a21a8…
07-06 16:02:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	11,248	100¢	$11,237	0x8275e7…
07-05 16:45:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	418	72¢	$300	0xb0e21e…
07-05 03:25:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xfa1879…
07-04 23:36:56	laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	242	83¢	$200	0x0606e2…
07-04 20:38:10	laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	402	75¢	$300	0xda53a9…
07-04 20:34:53	laso finance fdv above 15m one day after launch	No	BUY	298	84¢	$250	0x856b9b…
07-04 20:34:50	laso finance fdv above 12m one day after launch	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x7f658b…
07-04 20:05:43	laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x7b868b…
07-04 20:05:25	laso finance fdv above 15m one day after launch	No	BUY	337	83¢	$280	0xbc10a0…
07-04 19:19:59	laso finance fdv above 8m one day after launch	No	SELL	726	51¢	$369	0x6e2203…
07-04 19:19:50	laso finance fdv above 5m one day after launch	No	SELL	1,604	8¢	$122	0xc115f0…
07-04 18:59:26	laso finance fdv above 12m one day after launch	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xb057f6…
07-04 18:18:29	laso finance fdv above 12m one day after launch	No	BUY	381	79¢	$300	0xf19d68…
07-04 18:18:14	laso finance fdv above 15m one day after launch	No	BUY	209	77¢	$160	0x2fe177…
07-04 18:14:49	laso finance fdv above 8m one day after launch	No	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x094ff6…
07-04 18:07:28	laso finance fdv above 8m one day after launch	No	BUY	387	77¢	$300	0x55f243…
07-04 18:05:37	laso finance fdv above 5m one day after launch	No	BUY	937	32¢	$300	0x8840dc…
07-04 18:05:26	laso finance fdv above 5m one day after launch	No	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x97ccee…