Serpentine-Majority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

992

lifetime

Volume

$349.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$353

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 08-10 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% +$47

Crypto

36% 67% +$234

Politics

18% 100% +$1,117

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$21.3K	11,248	11,248	+0	open	—	07-06 16:02
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	19	$18.5K	10,444	9,444	+1,000	open	—	05-21 15:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$16.3K	8,595	8,595	+0	open	—	05-28 00:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	14	$14.9K	7,787	7,787	+0	open	—	05-23 16:00
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	35	$14.1K	7,694	7,694	+0	open	—	04-01 01:45
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	10	$11.0K	12,257	0	+12,257	open	—	07-30 01:07
will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	9	$7.6K	4,213	4,213	+0	open	—	07-23 20:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	10	$7.5K	3,114	5,066	-1,951	open	—	06-18 22:28
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	12	$6.3K	7,133	0	+7,133	open	—	05-28 14:20
israel closes its airspace by july 24	3	$6.1K	6,844	0	+6,844	open	—	07-23 20:28
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	23	$6.0K	4,191	4,191	+0	open	—	08-05 23:40
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	4	$5.1K	5,474	0	+5,474	open	—	08-06 11:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	21	$4.7K	1,807	3,266	-1,459	open	—	06-20 13:22
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	9	$4.5K	2,350	2,350	+0	open	—	07-22 02:23
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	8	$4.3K	5,021	0	+5,021	open	—	08-10 16:08
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$4.2K	2,292	2,292	+0	open	—	04-30 13:52
will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	13	$4.1K	4,971	0	+4,971	open	—	08-04 18:22
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$4.1K	2,225	2,200	+25	open	—	04-30 14:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	14	$3.8K	2,082	2,076	+7	open	—	04-17 13:13
will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	12	$3.7K	2,031	2,031	+0	open	—	07-22 18:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$3.6K	4,671	0	+4,671	No	+$1,071	05-05 19:17
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	10	$3.5K	3,447	500	+2,947	open	—	06-30 17:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$3.5K	1,853	1,853	+0	open	—	05-16 03:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	6	$3.3K	1,832	1,832	+0	open	—	05-22 01:06
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	8	$3.2K	3,944	0	+3,944	open	—	07-24 12:28
will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	5	$3.0K	3,330	0	+3,330	open	—	07-30 02:56
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	3	$2.8K	1,526	1,526	+0	open	—	07-21 16:11
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	3	$2.6K	1,461	1,461	+0	open	—	07-21 16:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$2.6K	1,394	1,394	+0	open	—	05-26 22:12
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	4	$2.5K	2,777	2,777	+0	open	—	07-31 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 20:55:45	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	170	65¢	$111	0x1f4299…
08-10 17:03:46	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x1d7279…
08-10 16:08:25	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x1eb4ed…
08-10 16:08:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	592	84¢	$500	0x73db8a…
08-10 14:53:40	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	254	87¢	$221	0xdb3121…
08-10 12:24:49	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0x2685fc…
08-10 02:28:25	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	133	65¢	$87	0x572e69…
08-10 01:49:13	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0xff6005…
08-10 01:49:13	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	67	65¢	$43	0x1fed02…
08-10 01:48:51	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0579cf…
08-10 00:50:22	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0x9dcb49…
08-10 00:38:58	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x6ff06f…
08-09 23:39:31	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	146	87¢	$127	0x1e0989…
08-09 23:31:01	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	192	87¢	$167	0x434a30…
08-09 22:15:42	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,137	88¢	$1,000	0x0d628f…
08-09 22:09:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	325	87¢	$283	0xa9f700…
08-09 22:09:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xdf2afa…
08-09 20:50:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x79558e…
08-09 20:40:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc1ab9c…
08-09 20:17:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	111	87¢	$96	0x3a2440…
08-09 19:36:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	146	88¢	$129	0x056b36…
08-09 19:09:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	333	88¢	$293	0xa19b37…
08-09 19:06:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x025204…
08-09 19:01:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xf6e626…
08-09 18:55:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xe4dab1…
08-09 18:20:19	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	154	87¢	$134	0x57a1c1…
08-09 18:17:49	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x6581e5…
08-09 14:16:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x91a73d…
08-09 14:16:34	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6f2c27…
08-09 14:12:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x5ccb6a…
08-09 13:49:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	115	84¢	$97	0x7a8c05…
08-09 13:46:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0x09f41e…
08-09 12:12:01	will xagusd dip to 54 in august 2026	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x4b0e30…
08-09 12:10:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x08b4bb…
08-09 12:09:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x856b88…
08-09 11:47:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0xd0920e…
08-09 01:41:22	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xaaf45d…
08-08 23:19:22	wta sabalen alexand 2026 08 09	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xca7730…
08-07 17:27:15	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	71	65¢	$46	0x49d806…
08-07 16:40:28	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xf38f86…
08-07 15:44:43	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x4a9fcb…
08-07 12:33:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x680153…
08-07 12:16:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0xb3a2f9…
08-06 11:10:51	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	309	95¢	$294	0xd41276…
08-06 01:02:44	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xefda8d…
08-06 00:58:41	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0xccf9ca…
08-05 23:48:36	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	3,466	94¢	$3,268	0x7e84b1…
08-05 23:40:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	3,710	78¢	$2,894	0x389352…
08-05 23:39:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	55	78¢	$43	0xbaeb6a…
08-05 23:39:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	426	78¢	$332	0x52016e…
08-05 18:46:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	192	51¢	$98	0x832fdd…
08-05 02:12:35	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,196	92¢	$1,101	0x616fa7…
08-05 02:08:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	75	68¢	$51	0xc2a6ed…
08-05 01:55:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	171	68¢	$117	0x05f390…
08-05 01:54:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1,006	68¢	$684	0xd0e94d…
08-04 20:29:59	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	367	68¢	$250	0xc1b1f3…
08-04 19:44:59	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	502	93¢	$467	0x6ebcdc…
08-04 18:22:24	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0xa6195b…
08-04 18:20:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0x902e21…
08-04 02:40:24	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x3e2566…
08-03 21:44:26	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xd8b9fe…
08-03 09:37:02	will solana dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xc7ae8b…
08-03 02:48:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0xc8d188…
08-02 16:33:38	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x7f6f31…
08-02 15:18:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	300	61¢	$183	0x38b89f…
08-02 02:41:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	125	66¢	$83	0x4a543a…
08-02 02:41:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	101	66¢	$67	0xeb6e9e…
08-02 02:41:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	73	66¢	$48	0xced4ca…
08-02 02:20:48	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xf7a195…
08-02 02:20:15	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	371	81¢	$300	0x097dc2…
08-02 02:19:14	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	350	86¢	$300	0x7cafbd…
08-02 02:00:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0xb357a6…
08-02 01:26:57	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0x33ea47…
08-02 00:30:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	BUY	137	93¢	$128	0x28e4a2…
08-02 00:30:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	145	88¢	$128	0xb4d4d8…
08-02 00:24:56	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	BUY	127	93¢	$118	0x4f12d5…
08-02 00:24:30	brco vas flu 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xa26d96…
08-01 22:58:14	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x38a45f…
08-01 22:57:57	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x399ae7…
08-01 22:52:36	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	136	86¢	$117	0xb9eaaa…
08-01 22:24:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	277	77¢	$213	0x19c94d…
08-01 22:18:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x50a795…
08-01 22:05:06	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0xb94546…
08-01 22:02:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	217	77¢	$167	0x02d3c3…
08-01 21:05:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x8442a3…
08-01 20:34:54	brco vas flu 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x5588cc…
08-01 20:08:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	146	58¢	$85	0x450978…
08-01 19:54:05	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	154	58¢	$89	0xb668b3…
08-01 18:58:15	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	405	81¢	$328	0x76028b…
08-01 18:23:12	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	95	81¢	$77	0x532beb…
08-01 18:04:42	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	308	77¢	$237	0x875f26…
08-01 17:51:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	435	77¢	$335	0x889d01…
08-01 17:42:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	55	77¢	$42	0xadeea1…
08-01 17:37:56	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5ae340…
08-01 17:35:44	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcf62b6…
08-01 17:31:56	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x543a24…
08-01 16:37:24	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xbe4583…
08-01 13:11:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	69	55¢	$38	0xf86161…
08-01 13:10:33	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0x3f7fbe…
08-01 12:08:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x6d9f93…