Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,587
Trades
124
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$23
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
58¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-27
last 07-02 19:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.1¢
(top1%: 37% YES on $188
vs crowd: 40% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $216 | $232 | $16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $47 | $147 | $100 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $9 | $167 | $158 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $170 | $130 | +$41 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $69 | $119 | $51 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $44 | $136 | $92 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $19 | $7 | +$12 |
| Median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 3 | $12 | $9 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $14 | $39 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $37 | $68 | $31 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $76 | $113 | $36 |
| unranked | 10 | $170 | $185 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +277 | $119 | $119 | 2 | 06-27 14:23 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | +210 | $69 | $69 | 2 | 06-27 14:22 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | +160 | $89 | $114 | 7 | 07-02 17:31 |
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | +125 | $51 | $51 | 4 | 07-02 19:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +57 | $35 | $52 | 2 | 07-02 17:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +54 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-27 04:35 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +51 | $61 | $141 | 4 | 07-02 10:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-27 14:23 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | +50 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-27 04:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +45 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-02 17:31 |
| Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | No | +40 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-02 15:45 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 07-02 15:41 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-02 11:30 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-02 07:36 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-02 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf1a…e414 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-02 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0fc…469d | Yes | +19 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-02 00:40 |
| Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 15:30 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 17:11 |
| Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 16:02 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-27 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4dc3…4702 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-27 14:23 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-27 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-02 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $161 | 14 | 07-02 17:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 19:47:53 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | BUY | 47 | 41¢ | $19 | 0x96f096… |
| 07-02 19:47:53 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | SELL | 47 | 41¢ | $19 | 0x96f096… |
| 07-02 17:31:11 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | BUY | 47 | 42¢ | $20 | 0x47488f… |
| 07-02 17:31:11 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x47488f… |
| 07-02 17:31:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x47488f… |
| 07-02 17:31:08 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | BUY | 43 | 58¢ | $25 | 0xc14296… |
| 07-02 17:31:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 43 | 42¢ | $18 | 0xc14296… |
| 07-02 17:30:20 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 41¢ | $16 | 0x7c87da… |
| 07-02 17:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 41¢ | $16 | 0x7c87da… |
| 07-02 17:11:53 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | BUY | 28 | 41¢ | $12 | 0x0f1257… |
| 07-02 17:11:53 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | BUY | 28 | 59¢ | $17 | 0x0f1257… |
| 07-02 17:11:50 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x4473d6… |
| 07-02 17:11:50 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x4473d6… |
| 07-02 17:07:40 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0xcbb796… |
| 07-02 17:07:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xcbb796… |
| 07-02 16:02:31 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | No | SELL | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x57f14a… |
| 07-02 16:02:31 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x57f14a… |
| 07-02 16:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | No | SELL | 11 | 67¢ | $8 | 0xefd264… |
| 07-02 16:01:47 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xefd264… |
| 07-02 15:45:16 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | No | BUY | 40 | 66¢ | $26 | 0x398e2b… |
| 07-02 15:45:16 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 34¢ | $14 | 0x398e2b… |
| 07-02 15:42:52 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | No | BUY | 19 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x6844d8… |
| 07-02 15:42:52 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 19 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x6844d8… |
| 07-02 15:41:14 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 34¢ | $6 | 0xfcb928… |
| 07-02 15:41:14 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xfcb928… |
| 07-02 15:41:14 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xfcb928… |
| 07-02 15:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xa6d168… |
| 07-02 15:30:22 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xa6d168… |
| 07-02 13:47:52 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xff57a7… |
| 07-02 13:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xff57a7… |
| 07-02 13:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xf3cf47… |
| 07-02 13:30:20 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xf3cf47… |
| 07-02 12:48:07 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xf4d066… |
| 07-02 12:48:07 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xf4d066… |
| 07-02 12:37:08 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xa0b5b3… |
| 07-02 12:37:08 | Brown-Object 0xdc31…3fe8 | No | SELL | 4 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xa0b5b3… |
| 07-02 12:37:08 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa0b5b3… |
| 07-02 12:36:44 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 32 | 36¢ | $12 | 0x194ee0… |
| 07-02 12:36:44 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 32 | 64¢ | $21 | 0x194ee0… |
| 07-02 12:36:19 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 32 | 62¢ | $20 | 0xc7c732… |
| 07-02 12:36:19 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | No | SELL | 38 | 62¢ | $24 | 0xc7c732… |
| 07-02 12:36:19 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xc7c732… |
| 07-02 12:36:10 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | BUY | 38 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x8e8165… |
| 07-02 12:36:10 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | SELL | 38 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x8e8165… |
| 07-02 12:00:29 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x86741d… |
| 07-02 12:00:29 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x86741d… |
| 07-02 11:30:29 | Brown-Object 0xdc31…3fe8 | No | SELL | 16 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x601463… |
| 07-02 11:30:29 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x601463… |
| 07-02 11:30:29 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x601463… |
| 07-02 11:30:29 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x601463… |
| 07-02 10:00:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $7 | 0x30a747… |
| 07-02 10:00:20 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x30a747… |
| 07-02 10:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x30a747… |
| 07-02 10:00:20 | Brown-Object 0xdc31…3fe8 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x30a747… |
| 07-02 09:30:25 | Brown-Object 0xdc31…3fe8 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x663f15… |
| 07-02 09:30:25 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x663f15… |
| 07-02 09:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x663f15… |
| 07-02 09:30:25 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x663f15… |
| 07-02 09:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | SELL | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0x63b005… |
| 07-02 09:30:19 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | No | BUY | 26 | 63¢ | $16 | 0x63b005… |
| 07-02 09:30:19 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | BUY | 14 | 63¢ | $9 | 0x63b005… |
| 07-02 08:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | BUY | 40 | 65¢ | $26 | 0xce176d… |
| 07-02 08:15:16 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | No | BUY | 12 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x1b27d3… |
| 07-02 08:15:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 12 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x1b27d3… |
| 07-02 08:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | SELL | 40 | 65¢ | $26 | 0xce176d… |
| 07-02 08:15:14 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 12 | 64¢ | $8 | 0xd5ef03… |
| 07-02 08:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0xd5ef03… |
| 07-02 08:15:14 | Brown-Object 0xdc31…3fe8 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xd5ef03… |
| 07-02 08:15:14 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xd5ef03… |
| 07-02 07:36:55 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xb053c7… |
| 07-02 07:36:55 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xb053c7… |
| 07-02 07:36:55 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb053c7… |
| 07-02 07:36:55 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x0e0d97… |
| 07-02 07:36:55 | Doting-Permafrost 0x0678…5e7a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x0e0d97… |
| 07-02 07:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x414914… |
| 07-02 07:30:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x414914… |
| 07-02 07:30:56 | Doting-Permafrost 0x0678…5e7a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x414914… |
| 07-02 07:30:56 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 35¢ | $6 | 0x414914… |
| 07-02 07:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | SELL | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0x5cc260… |
| 07-02 07:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0x5cc260… |
| 07-02 07:14:50 | (anonymous) 0x118a…cc4d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xe7be24… |
| 07-02 07:14:50 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xe7be24… |
| 07-02 07:00:23 | (anonymous) 0x118a…cc4d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x8731aa… |
| 07-02 07:00:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x8731aa… |
| 07-02 07:00:23 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | BUY | 40 | 64¢ | $26 | 0x8731aa… |
| 07-02 07:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 37¢ | $15 | 0xf1be1b… |
| 07-02 07:00:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 37¢ | $15 | 0xf1be1b… |
| 07-02 05:30:23 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | SELL | 40 | 62¢ | $25 | 0xae7738… |
| 07-02 05:30:23 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x0745f5… |
| 07-02 05:30:23 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x0745f5… |
| 07-02 05:30:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 40 | 62¢ | $25 | 0xae7738… |
| 07-02 04:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x7084fe… |
| 07-02 04:15:49 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x7084fe… |
| 07-02 04:15:29 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x31680e… |
| 07-02 04:15:29 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x31680e… |
| 07-02 04:15:19 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 38¢ | $15 | 0x004b79… |
| 07-02 04:15:19 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x004b79… |
| 07-02 04:15:19 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x004b79… |
| 07-02 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0xdf1a…e414 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 46¢ | $0 | 0x799825… |
| 07-02 02:44:22 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x799825… |