Busy-Doorpost 0x9690d9…a5f2d5
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$317
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
33.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
7,896
lifetime
Volume
$1.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$5.38K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
52% 50% +$447
Other
38% 0% $-130
Sports
8% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +1,474 $1,268 90¢ $1.3K +$66 07-10 18:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,600 $1,070 54¢ $856 $-214 07-07 19:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,080 42¢ $830 $-250 06-20 20:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,000 $-830 72¢ $-715 +$115 06-01 16:02
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $610 37¢ $370 $-240 07-20 11:49
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +500 $350 70¢ $352 +$2 07-21 19:19
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +505 $424 68¢ $341 $-83 07-21 23:36
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +294 $220 88¢ $259 +$38 07-16 12:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,216 $-608 14¢ $-164 +$444 05-29 15:16
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -1,803 $-180 8¢ $-135 +$45 07-01 06:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -275 $-74 7¢ $-20 +$54 06-01 08:58