Busy-Doorpost 0x9690d9…a5f2d5
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$317
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
33.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
7,892
lifetime
Volume
$1.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$4.96K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
52% 50% +$447
Other
38% 0% $-130
Sports
8% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +1,474 $1,268 90¢ $1.3K +$66 07-10 18:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,600 $1,070 55¢ $872 $-198 07-07 19:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,080 38¢ $770 $-310 06-20 20:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,000 $-830 74¢ $-735 +$95 06-01 16:02
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $610 42¢ $420 $-190 07-20 11:49
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +294 $220 88¢ $260 +$40 07-16 12:43
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +242 $170 70¢ $171 +$1 07-21 02:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,216 $-608 14¢ $-164 +$444 05-29 15:16
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -1,803 $-180 8¢ $-135 +$45 07-01 06:40
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +94 $79 85¢ $80 +$1 07-21 11:29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -275 $-74 8¢ $-21 +$53 06-01 08:58