Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,171
Trades
46
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$333
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-24
last 06-29 05:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-29.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $657
vs crowd: 30% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $138 | $657 | $519 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $152 | $41 | +$111 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $9 | $78 | $69 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $657 | $657 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $33 | — | +$33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| Median | 1 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| Below median | 5 | $49 | $119 | $70 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $60 | — | +$60 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $130 | — | +$130 |
| unranked | 4 | $22 | — | +$22 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +896 | $657 | $657 | 1 | 06-27 04:18 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +378 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-27 04:18 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +110 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-27 04:18 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +108 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 06-29 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +82 | $22 | $29 | 3 | 06-27 04:18 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +69 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-24 08:48 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +50 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-29 03:00 |
| Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | Yes | +50 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-27 04:18 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 19:02 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-29 03:00 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +45 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-29 03:34 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | +45 | $12 | $14 | 2 | 06-29 00:00 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | +35 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-27 04:19 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | +35 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-27 04:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-24 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-29 00:00 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-27 04:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-27 06:18 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 03:34 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 04:18 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 06:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 05:03:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x4bfdca… |
| 06-29 05:03:05 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x4bfdca… |
| 06-29 03:34:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x32c454… |
| 06-29 03:34:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x32c454… |
| 06-29 03:34:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x32c454… |
| 06-29 03:00:55 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0xbe29ab… |
| 06-29 03:00:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xbe29ab… |
| 06-29 03:00:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x3bba6a… |
| 06-29 03:00:53 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x3bba6a… |
| 06-29 03:00:53 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0x3bba6a… |
| 06-29 00:00:28 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb85b6d… |
| 06-29 00:00:28 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb85b6d… |
| 06-28 19:02:07 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x6a99d7… |
| 06-28 19:02:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x6a99d7… |
| 06-27 06:57:11 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x916059… |
| 06-27 06:57:11 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x916059… |
| 06-27 06:18:20 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x24e802… |
| 06-27 06:18:20 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x24e802… |
| 06-27 06:18:20 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x24e802… |
| 06-27 05:57:17 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0d4897… |
| 06-27 05:57:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0d4897… |
| 06-27 05:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xccc401… |
| 06-27 05:40:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xccc401… |
| 06-27 04:19:28 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 35 | 80¢ | $28 | 0xc79453… |
| 06-27 04:19:28 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0xc79453… |
| 06-27 04:18:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd2f780… |
| 06-27 04:18:22 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd2f780… |
| 06-27 04:18:17 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xf2e737… |
| 06-27 04:18:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xf2e737… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $13 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $13 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $13 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 27¢ | $29 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $13 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 378 | 27¢ | $101 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $13 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $13 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-27 04:18:16 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 896 | 73¢ | $657 | 0xdb2702… |
| 06-26 05:44:32 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x1cd4d0… |
| 06-26 05:44:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x1cd4d0… |
| 06-26 05:44:32 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x1cd4d0… |
| 06-24 08:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x65fcbd… |
| 06-24 08:48:14 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 28¢ | $12 | 0x65fcbd… |
| 06-24 08:48:14 | Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | BUY | 69 | 72¢ | $50 | 0x65fcbd… |