Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10,215
lifetime
Volume
$17.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$62
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 07-20 15:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
92%
Politics
5%
Other
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 1142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +69 $12 24¢ $17 +$4 07-16 22:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +76 $18 19¢ $14 $-3 07-03 09:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +31 $10 34¢ $10 +$0 07-16 02:56
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +26 $14 37¢ $10 $-5 07-11 18:49
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +9 $7 86¢ $7 $-0 07-10 15:40
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 $-1 07-04 11:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +9 $3 16¢ $2 $-1 07-02 23:17