Realized P&L
-$582
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved
291
Trades
820
lifetime
Volume
$29.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$816
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-25 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
63% 50% +$430
Politics
25% 74% -$732
Sports
8% 40% -$254
Crypto
3% 58% -$3
Tech
2% 67% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -258 -$241 98¢ $-253 -$11 05-27 15:44
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +222 $182 85¢ $188 +$7 10-19 19:57
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -97 -$90 99¢ $-96 -$5 05-12 19:34
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +311 $62 25¢ $78 +$16 10-25 20:57
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -68 -$62 96¢ $-65 -$3 06-28 14:42
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +200 $38 22¢ $45 +$7 09-15 11:41
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +50 $29 64¢ $32 +$3 09-13 17:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No -20 -$18 98¢ $-20 -$1 05-12 19:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 -$1 09-08 16:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 -$1 09-08 16:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -3 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-15 15:12