Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a35…3d83d3
whale cold 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.22K
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved
1,729
Trades
8,449
lifetime
Volume
$243.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$21
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 10-25 23:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
89% 49% -$3,200
Sports
6% 29% -$483
Politics
4% 42% -$442
Tech
1% 42% -$94
Crypto
1% 40% -$36
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 454 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA VI released by November 30? No +50 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 10-15 13:38
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $2 5¢ $2 +$0 09-17 20:05
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 09-23 04:18
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No +50 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-19 10:40
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 10-04 22:06
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? No +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-08 21:03
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $3 3¢ $1 -$1 09-26 17:16
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +50 $1 3¢ $1 +$1 10-15 13:20
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +47 $3 3¢ $1 -$1 10-14 16:57
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +50 $6 2¢ $1 -$6 10-06 19:40
Epic Games IPO before 2027? Yes +41 $3 2¢ $1 -$3 09-22 18:42
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +50 -$3 1¢ $1 +$3 10-19 03:55
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? No +50 $3 1¢ $1 -$3 09-25 19:30
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $1 2¢ $1 $0 09-29 16:38
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $2 1¢ $0 -$1 09-29 10:23
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $17 1¢ $0 -$16 10-06 17:15
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +35 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 09-07 12:52
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-01 19:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +50 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-29 22:46
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-01 06:50
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +50 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 09-12 15:42
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +0 $0 91¢ $0 +$0 08-18 22:51
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 08-08 03:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +0 $0 46¢ $0 +$0 10-04 16:03
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +0 $0 60¢ $0 +$1 09-22 00:57
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +0 $0 34¢ $0 +$1 10-13 04:12
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? No +0 $0 14¢ $0 +$0 08-17 02:23
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 09-11 12:50
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 09-20 10:51
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-06 10:03